Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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To be fair, AM&TW will be within a few mil of Fallout, and not necessarily below. CR and Meg both getting pretty outstripped by CRA though, so the Aug poll is a big miss.
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Good news about Monday. I wonder what the first solo SH film to 1B will be. FFH? DS2? AM3?
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This is why no one is able to take a word you say seriously.
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Only needs 620 to beat AM1 by 100, but it looks to me like it will be 220+275+130=625ish, with more room to go up than down.
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The best Marvel films of the last few years are Infinity War and Infinity War. Logan and Deadpool couldn't crack the top 5, although I guess they probably would both make 10.
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Now we just need a wedding plot in BP2 and it’ll be an easy 1B
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Looking at this year, it appears they only need 3 movies for this
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brazil Brazil Box Office Thread
Cooper Legion replied to Fullbuster's topic in International Box Office
Well, whenever Brazil gets back on track economically and the ER b comes nice, the MCU should still be around to take advantage of it. Be it Avengers 5, Avengers 6, Avengers 7, ... that is the power of longevity 😎 -
+4% is kind of a bummer with an 8.9, looks like DOM and China weekends are both going to be unexpectedly frontloaded. Still, headed for the highest non-team up SH OW in lc unless Sun dissapoints.
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Release Dates Discussion | Avengers Endgame 2019
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Wrong thread, ignore -
If the 8.2 holds, franchise best is looking really good again. It really amuses me how this summer has one film a bit under 700, one 600, ~400, ~300, and then the 3 in the 200-300 range will lol be so close to each other.
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Solo, MI6, and AM&TW May well all fall between 214 and 219 or so. Would be really funny if CRA landed in the same 5M window, though I’d still take the under on 200 for now.
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I hope 1B+ can happen for the total, but 900+ is looking pretty good and already an excellent result for a solo SH movie.
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I doubt this is anything more than moving a 2021 movie up to 2020 and doing GotG3 in 2021 so they have ample time to get a new director.
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Not to mention Thor4 and Avengers 5.
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180+173 would suffice to beat the US OW
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After that crazy 2nd weekend, it now looks like Fallout could land below MI2 or even Solo. Fingers crossed for a good Labor Day weekend for it.
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I think it’s a bit above 930m yuan now (now meaning before I the Fri number is added), and $150m would take about 1020m. I’m expecting 990m+ before MI shows up, maybe past 1B, so I think it should still be able to pass $150m but it could be really close. I’ll let a more experienced CBO analyst correct any of this if need be.
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Looks like 11-12M for Meg on Fri, -60% from Thursday and minus -85% from last Friday, getting hit hard by AM2. Not sure how much it will rebound Saturday, but maybe a weekend around 30-40? That would be $4M-6M or so USD. And with MI6 coming up, the run seems to really be winding down.
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70-80, maybe 130-170 with a bit of summer days and some potential for Maoyan to roll up to 9.0. Low end gets MCU past 4B after all, the high end could maybe put a certain November 2017 movie in play but it sort of requires everything to break right and is not very likely at all.
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IW was a bit review bombed early, but ended up at 8.9 as well. Over 155 would have been cool, but 150-155 is still great. With 1009m it would be closer to Civil War than to any of the non team-up movies, though I’m still a little concerned about upcoming competition.
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Biggest non-team up mcu OW is SMH’s 450, iirc? An OD 160 or above could lead to beating that by over 100m.
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150m (+10MN) 180m (a bit of a pessimistic +20%) 150 (a bit of a pessimistic -17%) Would be 490. Unless you’re including midnight there, not totally sure what the convention is.
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So beautiful to see toxic fandom transcending cultures :/
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Wow, so even a 3x would be 140m Friday. 500m+ weekend would be sweet.
