Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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I mean the key to being a better script would be not having the same beats 😛
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T&A of course plus it did actually deliver on the other nostalgia appearances people wanted with the villains and gave them decent arcs
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They absolutely fumbled Wanda who was the biggest draw of the movie. Chavez wasn’t handled great either, nor was the multiverse. Fake cameo rumors didn’t help but it could have gotten an A anyway with a strong script
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FWIW I almost entirely discount his longer term predictions for this reason but his dailies have become very solid for the most part with more of an evenly distributed error spread
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Ironically while I was very skeptical when you said that I’m now on 100+ train
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Pretty easily top 3 at least I would say (with dragon ball and one piece) Personally I would go OP DS DB but it’s not obvious how to weight longevity vs burst strength and so on
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Cooper Legion replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Do you have some 2nd wknd show comps @katnisscinnaplex? I feel like that DPW is a tracked record or maybe 2nd to only nwh but it would be a relatively pain to look up -
2 weeks ago you could reasonably believe that DPW might be doing <3x Trap this weekend (like 70 vs 25). Now it will likely be over 5x, maybe even 6x+
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You didn’t even like movie so isn’t Uk being cool this time 🤔
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Should be approx 3.42x for DPW if I was to guess, thinking 28+ Fri is possible though
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Currently MCU has 1/top DOM 2, 2/4, 3/6, and 4/8. If DPW can land in top 10 (beating IO2 and JW) then 5/10 achieved as well for true perfect balance. Still a stretch goal for now
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Tbh I think it’s more likely to miss that range high than low. Geomean is 644.5 so equivalently would take the over on that. 644 would be like 96M 2nd wknd, 47% drop on d11-17, 39% avg drops from there. None of which would be shocking to beat looking at history with summer MCU, well received nonholiday affected Multiverse saga, or DP1/2
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DOM may be more like 395-400ish. Finishes low 1.3s sounds right
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How about 620-670 Main caveat for now is we don’t have any track record for R rated MCU 2nd weekends, maybe Fri jump will be very soft, but basically looking good right now
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Going even bigger with late night pace
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I have a Thursday number 4,237
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Next record breaker may be $2B 👀
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As always wed/Tues is useless, Wed/mon is key
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Sure? Like 575 and 625 or something are also pretty realistically not going to be missed
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INSIDE OUT II | 958.1M overseas | 1596.0M worldwide
Cooper Legion replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Some of those are affected by later markets but none *too* badly. Existing markets should likely be able to run at at least a -33% avg clip given no more HW competition in quite a while, which would take them to 893+2*43.8=980M. Japan should have a good shot 20+, so still thinking 1B+, how much plus depends a little on Japan and mostly on late legs in current markets -
In general this is a solid way to be thinking about it, problem is: AM1 true fss drop of 51% takes it to 84.75M (60% drop) FFH true fss drop of 51% tak… oh, it’s the same 38.5M is just a huge drag on the denominator, even if it holds well in reality the goofy fss/ThFSS metric will struggle to have a nice topline
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Everycooper cooperwhere all at cooper
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This is a coherent explanation but a very silly name for such an object imo
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No I want to be very clear — I have absolutely no interest in that whole debate. What I find hilarious is a “top 10” list with 16+ items
