Joyous Legion

Oh, and I really doubt this is going for a total below JW now. If we could put both members of the Thanos duology into the WW top 5 it would truly warm my heart — deserving of his status as an A+ villain, wouldn’t you agree @Fullbuster?

2017+1B is frikkin’ dead. 4B is the new number to watch for 2018 MCU Also I think an 850 all markets opening looks good now. 900 with the current ERs probsbly isn’t in reach, but would be absolutely juicy.

I knew not the can of worms I was opening. Still, if IW can be the first movie to do unadjusted 200M between 6AM Friday and 6AM Monday, that will put a smile on my face.

So if I had put down, say, 2353M, would I be able to specify later whether this was a typo of 235M or of 253M

Unfortunately the brilliance of this post is beyond my ability to decipher

Less than 15 from here to beat DH2? Looking pretty possible after this DOM weekend...

But it is opening on a holiday. IW weekend

Yes, only the unadjusted record is in contention. My optimistic projections generally had IW doing exactly TA adjusted true FSS, but that looks pretty out of reach now.

Ah, so that is the technicality in question. I was under the impression that shows between 12:01 and 6AM or so were conventionally counted as part of the Thursday preview gross rather than the true Friday though?

??? Avengers wasn’t too preview heavy, but it still had 18.6 million, roughly 189 true FSS. The highest so far are it, JW, and TFA, all clustered around 189-191, leading to some claims of a “ceiling” around there. IW looks to be proving that wrong, as Deadline’s current 237 estimate for the weekend would be a nice 198 true FSS.

If we miss the OW record (as still seems likely), first 200M+ true FSS would be a nice consolation record.

From now until the end of time, BP will miraculously and mysteriously show up to place in 5th whenever a new MCU movie comes out.

I think it looks good for biggest true Friday and Saturday ever, also a very real shot at best Sun ever. It just seems a little less exciting because I’ve been expecting both for weeks. Human psychology can be funny sometimes.

Okay, new prediction for the weekend. IW is below TFA’s OW — but the MCU movies combined are above it

Boom, Deadline officially has BP in the top 5. Rampage is out of reach, but I think it can come in above 4M at least.

1B OS-UK&SK, maybe. Aside from 1B, the OS goalposts I’ll be paying attention to are: Civil War WW Fast 7 OS IM3 WW Titanic first run OS

Basically the worst plausible score, but honestly the plus was pretty unlikely too. Basically changes nothing.

Certainly gunning for it. Gunning for a 2nd highest first-release OS, imo.

Could he not?

I don’t think anyone has been saying that 220 would be an objective disspointment. At least, I certainly hope not — that would be absurd. I think people were just trying to express how 220 would be a personal disspointment, and were told that they needed a perspective check for their troubles. That’s all I was trying to push back against.

It’s like you completely missed the point of my post. 225 is disspointing if you were expecting notably more. Many people were expecting more. Ergo, for many people, 225 is disappointing. How “rational” those expectations may have been plays no part in the simple truth that they weren’t met. It is completely possible both to know that your hopes were a lonshot that was unlikely and to have an emotional reaction of disappointment anyway. If someone was hoping to get accepted to Stanford, and they get rejected, are you going to tell them “oh, that was an irrational hope anyway considering their acceptance rate, this isn’t ‘actually’ a disspointment?”

It wasn’t!? But it’s right there in the name

Maybe part of the issue is people talking past each other by interpreting “disappointing” as “not great.” 225 is great. It is just also disappointing. These concepts are not mutually exclusive if you were hoping for “super great.” (Not that you need to be *expecting* super great for great to be dissapointing, mind you. Even if you were expecting 225 and hoping for 250, 225 could be both great and disappointing.)

Lol at people trying to tell others that they need a “perspective check” just because they dared to dream a little bigger. There was a movie that had at least somewhat of a chance to break a big #1 record, and it didn’t. As someone following the box office for fun, that will never be anything but disappointing. Any kind of performance can be relatively disappointing if it gets very close to something and misses, no matter what the absolute numbers may be.

Hoping for 10 then