These numbers don’t look very depressed to me (anymore ),. But hey, if Sat comes in with great jumps, all the better
IW’s previous Fri:FSS multis:
OW — 3.25
2nd — 3.65
3rd — 3.88
So, being quite optimistic perhaps we can have a 4.1 IM for a 30M weekend. Gets IW to 596, which is a OW: 4th wknd cume ratio of 2.31, vs:
2.78 for BP (insanity)
2.475 for TA
2.32 for GotG2
2.12 for AoU
2.11 for IM3
2.08 for CW
So, gotg2 continues to look like the best leg comp for me in terms of May MCU blockbusters. GotG made about 18.32M this week, vs 18.27M for IW, so again extremely close. GotG did 12M this upcoming schoolweek, which would take IW to 608. Then a 40% drop for Memorial 3-day is 18M for 626 cume, about 5M from holiday Monday for 631. About 2.5-3x the memorial 3-day is likely from there, for 676-685, with the option of kicking in another 5-8ish with a Labor Day reexpansion if they so desire.
Tl;dr We seem to be narrowing in on a finish between Titanic and BP.
It will all come down to the Ant-Man bump