Legion Again

NWH could be 9+ I guess, which at least beats may 14, may 7, April 16, Mar 5. Certainly going to be the doldrums though.

Now that is a full on disaster. Only upcoming movie that can accept below 150 is ant man.

100 is weak 😒

Looks like it’s going over 1M likes I think, would be the second TV trailer over the mark after GoT S8 if so? Hardly the same in 2022 as 2019 and the like:view ratio is going to be waaaaaaaay lower but it’s certainly overindexing my rough expectations.

Yeah, so far it seems that they”re willing to release anything from HW… as long as it won’t make any money

Has been holding better+meteorologically deflated sunMon (+competition is the pits)

Should easily have a better mlk multi than TFA. 2.5-3x

I agree with 770 (or maybe even 80), expecting really strong hold the next few weeks.

MK with 650k at 10 hours, easily beating the nonHawkeye stuff. Of course Hawkeye has the weakest views, so the predictive value here is… not high. But at least indicates some strong level of pre-release interest, I guess. Perhaps a bit notable as it’s the first about a new character.

If it can’t at least 3x the runner-up this whole universe is cancelled 😒

Naomi Scott Jatinder

Sure, looks pretty cool.

Now that it's flopping in Japan I guess 1.05 could be tough 770+1040

Beating Avatar US+UK would be neat, I guess it’s the next sensible target.

We’ll already got Jon Watts directing live-action Incredibles, what more do you want?

NTTD is 15% higher in gross, so if it’s true NWH has to have 13% lower atp. I guess it”s a kids movie whereas no kids went to see NTTD or something 🤨

Legging better than TFA I guess. 93-95?

WTF was going on with NTTD ATP if this is true?

Pika was too scared to try 457 so went for 57 instead, sad 😢

If Endgame had been delayed to July last minute Pika might make like 10% more. It didn’t come out on day 5 like Matrix, it was day 14 when Endgame was just normal sized competition.

Think you’re using larger as denominator when really it’s actual as denominator. I have you at 89.19, me at 89.24, Cjohn as I was saying earlier is going to win unless something crazy happens (currently 92.11 with only other above 90 Talisman Ring at 90.53)

Decent, thinking ~13 for both

Yep, still feel that was way low with the data on hand at the time. I had 3.5*10 as an absolute worst case for the 4day, so I think we’re coming in way on the low end and while on course that does make the forecast look good an n of 1 doesn’t demonstrate too much either way. If you expand to a larger set of OWs where I strongly disagreed with the BOP forecast (or look at the derby (or behavior from smart players in other BO games this week)) I think there is actually pretty robust evidence that we are indeed coming fairly on the low side of where things looked Th — and still beating that forecast.

Check the tag 😎