Legion Again

If we miss the OW record (as still seems likely), first 200M+ true FSS would be a nice consolation record.

From now until the end of time, BP will miraculously and mysteriously show up to place in 5th whenever a new MCU movie comes out.

I think it looks good for biggest true Friday and Saturday ever, also a very real shot at best Sun ever. It just seems a little less exciting because I’ve been expecting both for weeks. Human psychology can be funny sometimes.

Okay, new prediction for the weekend. IW is below TFA’s OW — but the MCU movies combined are above it

Boom, Deadline officially has BP in the top 5. Rampage is out of reach, but I think it can come in above 4M at least.

1B OS-UK&SK, maybe. Aside from 1B, the OS goalposts I’ll be paying attention to are: Civil War WW Fast 7 OS IM3 WW Titanic first run OS

Basically the worst plausible score, but honestly the plus was pretty unlikely too. Basically changes nothing.

Certainly gunning for it. Gunning for a 2nd highest first-release OS, imo.

Could he not?

I don’t think anyone has been saying that 220 would be an objective disspointment. At least, I certainly hope not — that would be absurd. I think people were just trying to express how 220 would be a personal disspointment, and were told that they needed a perspective check for their troubles. That’s all I was trying to push back against.

It’s like you completely missed the point of my post. 225 is disspointing if you were expecting notably more. Many people were expecting more. Ergo, for many people, 225 is disappointing. How “rational” those expectations may have been plays no part in the simple truth that they weren’t met. It is completely possible both to know that your hopes were a lonshot that was unlikely and to have an emotional reaction of disappointment anyway. If someone was hoping to get accepted to Stanford, and they get rejected, are you going to tell them “oh, that was an irrational hope anyway considering their acceptance rate, this isn’t ‘actually’ a disspointment?”

It wasn’t!? But it’s right there in the name

Maybe part of the issue is people talking past each other by interpreting “disappointing” as “not great.” 225 is great. It is just also disappointing. These concepts are not mutually exclusive if you were hoping for “super great.” (Not that you need to be *expecting* super great for great to be dissapointing, mind you. Even if you were expecting 225 and hoping for 250, 225 could be both great and disappointing.)

Lol at people trying to tell others that they need a “perspective check” just because they dared to dream a little bigger. There was a movie that had at least somewhat of a chance to break a big #1 record, and it didn’t. As someone following the box office for fun, that will never be anything but disappointing. Any kind of performance can be relatively disappointing if it gets very close to something and misses, no matter what the absolute numbers may be.

Hoping for 10 then

Holy shit, if this is Iron Jimbo’s reaction we’re doing 600 after all.

Avengers finished with 8.8, right? I assume IW will have worse legs, but how much worse?

Yeah, really impressive stuff. If IW pulled a similar kind of OD:final multiplier (never going to happen, purely demonstrating the insanity of BP’s) it would end up near or above TFA in the 900s

N=1

Great for AQP, hoping for 200. BP vs ST2 for the last top 5 slot interests me a fair bit. IW should pull a true FSS between TA’s 189 and adjusted 215, for 228-254. Probably on the lower end of that though, #2 opening looks quite likely right now. Getting to 600 off a 230 opening could be pretty rough sadly, though that RT audience score makes me slightly more hopeful for an A+ than before.

Please not a 2 digit OD. Praying to Feige.

Down about 5% from last week Still not sure how the weekend will shake out then.

Yeah, 3.5 has been looking good for a while. Should end up pretty close to 4 even.

Even if IW misses, A4 will have a very pompetitive shot. Even a 5% improvement on IW might be enough to take the record.

I see we’re getting the crumbling out of the way early with this one. Still hoping for a less frontloaded weekend and the adjusted OW crown then, but hard to really say until we see Friday.