Legion Again
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Everything posted by Legion Again
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80M would require a 61-62M Sunday depending on OD actuals, could be reached even with a 23% Sun drop. EZ I’m expecting more like a 76 Sat, needing a 65-66 Sun, 13% to 14.5% drop allowed. That is a near miss imo, but still in play.
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More than in play, outright favored.
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Legion Again replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Nah, 250 in China is a bridge too far. Maybe TLJ’s OW is a fun target... -
Don’t worry, we’ll be up to a N̖̭̜̟͈̯̦̼͆ͮ͊̏ͮͪ͜ͅi̷͖̬̳̔ͬ̔̈́̿̔ͬ͜ç̱͕̞͌̐͐̎ͮ́͝è̛͉̪͑ͣ͢ 106.9M with actuals.
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Is it safe to type those letters in this thread? I have been staying away out of fear.
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That “highest gross from a single franchise on a weekend where one of its members opens” record is pretty much locked now, huh? MCU with 250M over Star Wars 248? This is definitely a very meaningful and not at all contrived category, let me assure you.
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Bit of a conservative range there. And that high end seems like it might have some kind of special significance somehow...
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Legion Again replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
A pretty simple calculus. More than 1 showing a day indicates you loved it, less than 1 showing a day is dislike. Exactly 1 a day shows ambivalence. -
But breaking the WW OW record by 300 instead of 100 is sooooo important — they should have just delayed it to May 11 everywhere /s
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Could fall short still, but probably wouldn’t be by too much.
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Good timing on that account sale. When I ran out of reacts at 11AM with a dozen pages to go, I knew what had to be done. Edit: My screen is so wide now it’s disorienting. Almost want the ads back
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Adjusted: 78.6... -
Winston Duke’s very first movie of his career came out in mid February. 5 months later, movies he has been in (exactly 2) will pass 3B WW. All-time record for fastest actor to pass 3B?
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Oh, and I really doubt this is going for a total below JW now. If we could put both members of the Thanos duology into the WW top 5 it would truly warm my heart — deserving of his status as an A+ villain, wouldn’t you agree @Fullbuster?
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2017+1B is frikkin’ dead. 4B is the new number to watch for 2018 MCU Also I think an 850 all markets opening looks good now. 900 with the current ERs probsbly isn’t in reach, but would be absolutely juicy.
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I knew not the can of worms I was opening. Still, if IW can be the first movie to do unadjusted 200M between 6AM Friday and 6AM Monday, that will put a smile on my face.
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So if I had put down, say, 2353M, would I be able to specify later whether this was a typo of 235M or of 253M
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Unfortunately the brilliance of this post is beyond my ability to decipher
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BLACK PANTHER | 646.8 M overseas ● 1346.9 M worldwide
Legion Again replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Less than 15 from here to beat DH2? Looking pretty possible after this DOM weekend... -
brazil Brazil Box Office Thread
Legion Again replied to Fullbuster's topic in International Box Office
But it is opening on a holiday. IW weekend -
Yes, only the unadjusted record is in contention. My optimistic projections generally had IW doing exactly TA adjusted true FSS, but that looks pretty out of reach now.
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Ah, so that is the technicality in question. I was under the impression that shows between 12:01 and 6AM or so were conventionally counted as part of the Thursday preview gross rather than the true Friday though?
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??? Avengers wasn’t too preview heavy, but it still had 18.6 million, roughly 189 true FSS. The highest so far are it, JW, and TFA, all clustered around 189-191, leading to some claims of a “ceiling” around there. IW looks to be proving that wrong, as Deadline’s current 237 estimate for the weekend would be a nice 198 true FSS.
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If we miss the OW record (as still seems likely), first 200M+ true FSS would be a nice consolation record.
