Joyous Legion

Eh more like 32% wknd drop perhaps, now targeting high 8s midpoint to my eye

Basically no chance to beat 650+/1.5+, cmon now

AQP is a very different kind of horror than hereditary it couldn't survive anything like a D+ (and won't get one)

Thinking finish in 9s for now, could be like 8.5-10+ depending on when it starts to have some more serious drops

With ~156M IO2 scores 6th biggest 2nd week, as expected. Only behind AEG outside of xmas period Updated est of mid 90s for 3rd week, guessing it will just short of Av2 for 4th, but top 3 definitely in play. Should definitely surpass Barbie for biggest 3rd week outside xmas May do 4ths in a bit if I get some time to kill

Anyway bit weak Th for IO, hop it can come in more like 11.5 but probably looking at 55-60ish Looking very bad reception for AQP which I think will cost the weekend, but still have it mid 50s so very much a competitive race

When horizon+bikeriders pull 10M combined we can have ourselves a nice refreshing 20 page discourse about the death of adult cinema

Realistically there are no good comps for twisters from a PS length+genre combo. I wouldn’t worry much about comps until we get a week or two closer (this is not to say they’ll necessarily make some huge improvement, just that that’s a defensible prior)

No he’s saying that in big cities it looks like a 10M opener and in west/midwest it looks like 30. If you take that at face value then because cities are the main BO driver it would suggest 13-17 or something (I would say more like 8&25 for 10-12ish

US playing like LATAM while Canada plays like India? A true mystery 🤪

Yeah, not even on the level of DS2. It’s going to play well below the limits of the R rating so not much need to worry what those are

Yeah taking everything into account I would probably say Reloaded corresponds to >300M OW nowadays. Now does that guarantee DPW can do 2/3 of that? Not whatsoever. But I think people are a bit overly concerned with the R “ceiling” — the real r ceiling is like 350M or something, it’s not remotely in play here

Even more stark diff with bp2. Sacto is at d-26 right now, mtc1 is at t-15

Didn’t necessarily want to comment but I guess it’s unavoidable now. Very strong “IO2 80M” vibes for me with that 150 expectation. And I would be very careful using Sacto as your primary market for this — I know we like to joke about black magic but it is still just one city at the end of the day that will occasionally have idiosyncratic behavior, and it’s under indexing there massively right now just as it has since D1. I would guess that Sacto will come into line with more national picture by D-1 or whenever but until then… we’ll it’s a gap worth minding is all

Thinking 195ish for IO2. Should start getting a better sense for 3rd weekend in around 12 hrs