jedijake
Free Account+-
Posts
2,227 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Everything posted by jedijake
-
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
jedijake replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Or the next Spidey movie if he faces Tom Hardy's Venom. Or Deadpool with Jackman. Or the next Star Wa.....nevermind LOL. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
jedijake replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Do we have numbers we can look at? All I've seen are the Alamo Drafthouse numbers. What are true Friday and Saturday predictions? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
jedijake replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Is that good? Doesn't seem that great to me. Didn't SM: NWH do about that in the first 24 hours? Seems like BPWF's sputtering along. WOM will be okay but not enough to push the presales up a ton in the last couple of days, eh? -
You can go to RT and look it up yourself. I'm not trying to argue, I'm just stating what is on there. It is much more likely that BPWF will end up between 88-91%. That is most likely. But I am just saying what the reviews are posted from IW in the first 109 reviews. 106 were fresh. THEN, the next 14 in a row were all rotten. So it dropped to 86% immediately. Not sure why there were 14 rotten scores in a row. That seems odd, but it is what it is. Probably not going to happen for BPWF. Also not sure how movieweb got their numbers (unless some reviews were dropped), but it should have been 17 rotten out of 123 reviews. That's when it dropped. You can go by the article or manually count yourself. Data is data, but it doesn't speak for other movies.
-
You can go to RT and click on reviews. Just look at the first 100 reviews (they are listed in reverse chronological order). There were 3 rottens in the first 100 reviews. BUT it also had 14 rotten scores in a row after that. So go figure! That's why I said "conceivable". It is equally as conceivable that it stays in the 90's.
-
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
jedijake replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
We don't have any big Friday Veterans Day to compare. The closest we have is Doctor Strange's 2nd weekend. We can see the Friday-Saturday change, but we can't see to what extent Friday was elevated over what it WOULD have been on a "normal" Friday. -
Answered my own question: Shang Chi: 91% after 117 reviews (currently has 91%), steady No Way Home: 95% after 100 reviews (currently at 93%), dropped 2% MoM: 78% after 106 reviews (currently 74%), dropped 4% I'd say that staying at 90% is very possible for this. Unless there is a slew of negatives, it will be in the upper 80's which is very very good.
-
I don't think it does as much as you may have heard. If anything, I think it sets up the future of its own world than any other MCU story. I get the impression that they want to make BP its own franchise more than other MCU movies. Have characters show up in Avengers movies, sure, but not make them dependent on each other. Perhaps they are doing that with Shang Chi as well. As a matter of fact, other than Antman QM, it looks like all phase 4 films are/have set up their own universes. (oh yeah, QM is phase 5). Where were Shang Chi, NWH, and MoM in RT scores at 100 reviews? Anyone remember? (people here are data banks of valuable info).
-
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
jedijake replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
What is your definition of "merely solid"? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
jedijake replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
There could be. A lot of schools are not closed this Friday (opting to close today for Elections instead). -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
jedijake replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
I hope that BPWF beats the Lion King remake in domestic. That's my hope and goal. @Menor RebornI was just going off of the tabloid projections and lower range of the BOP numbers (since the last two MCU movies came in under theirs). -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
jedijake replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
A lot of uncertainty that depends on today's RT scores and walk-ups. The first BP surprised us all with the weekend hold. Veterans Day also makes things less certain. Seems most comps point to around $28 million for previews. However, there are a few hold-outs (Megaplex, Denver, and Santikos) that could pull it lower. I think after DSMoM and ThLT having higher preview numbers, expectations may be a bit tempered. Despite preview numbers being lower than ThorLT, it will have a higher OW. However, while it is expected to be lower than DSMoM, I don't think it will be an even ratio based on the preview number. However, things REALLY need to shoot up this week. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
jedijake replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah what's the deal with Santikos? That's some pretty bad numbers! -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
jedijake replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Cap3 was a unique situation because it was, for all intents and purposes, a follow up to AOU. But yet you can't call it a direct drop from that one. Very unique indeed. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
jedijake replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Avengers $207 m--->Age of Ultron $192 m -
No Way Home: Critic:93% Aud: 98% Shang Chi Critic:91% Aud: 98% Black Panther Critic: 96% Aud: 79% We all know why the BP audience score was lower than the other two. The BIG question (and saddest one) is whether the ever growing racist sentiment in the USA will hurt WF's audience score. And the bigger question is whether growing racism will hurt its box office numbers. It's sad and pathetic, but it's where we are.