MagnarTheGreat

Daily Domestic Multiplier Gravity (4.91) A Star Is Born* ASIB Minus Gravity Venom Minus Logan Venom* Logan (2.56) Solo: A Star Wars Story Blade Runner 2049 Oct. 2013 Oct. 2018 Oct. 2018 Mar. 2017 May 2018 Oct. 2017 Weekend 1 FSS $55,785,112 $42,908,051 $80,255,756 $88,411,916 $84,420,489 $32,753,122 Weekend 1 FSS 1.000 1.000 0.000 0.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 Day 4 M 1.108 1.189 0.081 0.039 1.120 1.081 1.220 1.137 Day 5 T 1.227 1.330 0.103 0.044 1.223 1.179 1.307 1.245 Day 6 W 1.323 1.437 0.114 0.039 1.281 1.243 1.364 1.320 Day 7 T 1.419 1.542 0.123 0.036 1.335 1.299 1.417 1.389 Weekend 2 FSS 2.193 2.205 0.012 0.041 1.771 1.730 1.765 1.862 Day 11 M 2.304 2.273 -0.031 0.036 1.806 1.770 1.800 1.906 Day 12 T 2.376 2.365 -0.011 0.036 1.853 1.816 1.847 1.962 Day 13 W 2.438 2.433 -0.005 0.029 1.880 1.852 1.877 2.002 Day 14 T 2.501 2.495 -0.006 0.023 1.907 1.884 1.907 2.041 Final Multiplier 4.913 TBD TBD TBD TBD 2.559 2.532 2.811 Days to 90% Final Gross 56 TBD TBD 26 24 27 Final Gross $274,092,705 TBD TBD $226,277,068 $213,767,512 $92,054,159 * still in theaters Gravity's Day 11 was Columbus Day in October and it received a January expansion. Solo's Day 4 was Memorial Day. Day 4 was Columbus Day for the other October releases featured. Venom @ 2.53 to 2.58 = $203.0M to $207.1M

This thing seriously comes out in 2.5 weeks? I've seen zero ads anywhere. I saw Wrinkle ads. Hell, I even saw Strange Magic ads, and next to nobody remembers that movie ever existed.

Daily Domestic Multiplier Solo: A Star Wars Story Logan Venom* Weekend 1 FSS $84,420,489 $88,411,916 $80,255,756 Weekend 1 FSS 1.00 1.00 1.00 Day 4 M 1.22 1.08 1.12 Day 5 T 1.31 1.18 1.22 Day 6 W 1.36 1.24 1.28 Day 7 T 1.42 1.30 1.33 Weekend 2 FSS 1.76 1.73 1.77 Day 11 M 1.80 1.77 1.81 Day 12 T 1.85 1.82 TBD Day 13 W 1.88 1.85 TBD Day 14 T 1.91 1.88 TBD Final Multiplier 2.53 2.56 TBD * still in theaters Venom multiplier = Logan +0.04, +0.04, +0.04, +0.03, 2nd Weekend +0.04, +0.04 It's pretty steady with Logan so far. If it stayed always stuck at +0.04 its final domestic multiplier would be 2.60 and its gross would be ~208.7M. March isn't too bad a comparison to October. Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier January 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red

Venom skewing young makes it more of a weekend monster when the schools are in session.

Cume Domestic Multiplier Gravity Blade Runner 2049 Venom* A Star Is Born* Weekend 1 FSS $55,785,112 $32,753,122 $80,255,756 $42,908,051 Weekend 1 FSS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Day 4 M 1.11 1.14 1.12 1.19 Day 5 T 1.23 1.25 1.22 1.33 Day 6 W 1.32 1.32 1.28 1.44 Day 7 T 1.42 1.39 1.33 1.54 Weekend 2 FSS 2.19 1.86 1.77 2.20 Day 11 M 2.30 1.91 1.81 2.27 Day 12 T 2.38 1.96 TBD TBD Day 13 W 2.44 2.00 TBD TBD Day 14 T 2.50 2.04 TBD TBD Final Multiplier 4.91 2.81 TBD TBD * still in theaters Columbus Day was Gravity's Day 11 and Gravity received a January expansion. Venom trails BR2049: -0.02, -0.03, -0.04, -0.06, 2nd Weekend -0.09, -0.10 ASIB above and below Gravity: +0.08, +0.10, +0.12, +0.12, 2nd Weekend +0.01, -0.03

Gravity Blade Runner 2049 Venom* A Star Is Born* ASIB % change from Venom Weekend 1 FSS $55,785,112 $32,753,122 $80,255,756 $42,908,051 -46.54% Day 4 M $6,027,128 $4,471,019 $9,631,343 $6,744,451 -29.97% Day 5 T $6,638,467 $3,557,142 $8,228,610 $6,053,663 -26.43% Day 6 W $5,338,032 $2,462,894 $4,731,282 $4,591,089 -2.96% Day 7 T $5,346,180 $2,234,210 $4,255,160 $4,513,106 6.06% Domestic Gross on Day 7 $79,134,919 $45,478,387 $107,102,151 $64,810,360 -39.49% Multiplier on Day 7 1.42 1.39 1.33 1.51 Final Multiplier 4.91 2.81 TBD TBD Final Domestic Gross $274,092,705 $92,054,159 TBD TBD * still in theaters Columbus Day wasn't Gravity's Day 4 but its Day 11. Gravity received an expansion in mid-January 2014 at $256.4M.

Could be worse. There's no Jumanji 2 and Star Wars 8 to suck up >$1B in ticket sales domestic together this time (but next year is a different matter). So there's more potential money available to the numerous releases.

IGN - PETER JACKSON'S MORTAL ENGINES LOOKS KIND OF AMAZING http://www.ign.com/articles/2018/10/05/peter-jacksons-mortal-engines-looks-kind-of-amazing

For the curious. Note that not all movies launched on a weekend, such as TASM, though I haven't gotten around to specifically noting the titles. Sequels are more frontloaded than origins or first entries in general, and the calendar also has an effect, as does the overall opening and box office. Live-action Comic Book Superhero Movies (2008 – 2018) Multiplier (DG ÷ FW) 90% of Gross on Day Domestic Gross First Weekend Release Month Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 1.99 18 $330.4M $166.0M Mar. 2016 X-Men Origins: Wolverine 2.11 24 $179.9M $85.1M May 2009 Kick-Ass 2 2.16 17 $28.8M $13.3M Aug. 2013 Fantastic Four 2.18 20 $56.1M $25.7M Aug. 2015 Green Lantern 2.19 20 $116.6M $53.2M Jun. 2011 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 2.21 24 $202.9M $91.6M May 2014 Captain America: Civil War 2.28 23 $408.1M $179.1M May 2016 Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance 2.34 22 $51.8M $22.1M Feb. 2012 Iron Man 3 2.35 25 $409.0M $174.1M May 2013 X-Men: Apocalypse 2.36 20 $155.4M $65.8M May 2016 Avengers: Age of Ultron 2.40 26 $459.0M $191.3M May 2015 Kick-Ass 2.42 20 $48.1M $19.8M Apr. 2010 Suicide Squad 2.43 30 $325.1M $133.7M Aug. 2016 The Incredible Hulk 2.43 23 $134.8M $55.4M Jun. 2008 Iron Man 2 2.44 27 $312.4M $128.1M May 2010 Justice League 2.44 23 $229.0M $93.8M Nov. 2017 Man of Steel 2.50 22 $291.0M $116.6M Jun. 2013 The Wolverine 2.50 24 $132.6M $53.1M Jul. 2013 Deadpool 2* 2.54 29 $318.5M $125.5M May 2018 Logan 2.56 26 $226.3M $88.4M Mar. 2017 Thor: Ragnarok 2.57 29 $315.1M $122.7M Nov. 2017 X-Men: Days of Future Past 2.58 28 $233.9M $90.8M May 2014 Avengers: Infinity War 2.63 30 $678.8M $257.7M Apr. 2018 X-Men: First Class 2.66 24 $146.4M $55.1M Jun. 2011 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 2.66 30 $389.8M $146.5M May 2017 Captain America: The First Avenger 2.72 26 $176.7M $65.1M Jul. 2011 Captain America: The Winter Soldier 2.73 30 $259.8M $95.0M Apr. 2014 Doctor Strange 2.74 29 $232.6M $85.1M Nov. 2016 Deadpool 2.74 31 $363.1M $132.4M Feb. 2016 Thor 2.75 26 $181.0M $65.7M May 2011 The Dark Knight Rises 2.79 30 $448.1M $160.9M Jul. 2012 Ant-Man and the Wasp* 2.85 31 $216.2M $75.8M Jul. 2018 Spider-Man: Homecoming 2.86 36 $334.2M $117.0M Jul. 2017 Marvel’s The Avengers 3.01 35 $623.4M $207.4M May 2012 Ant-Man 3.15 37 $180.2M $57.2M Jul. 2015 Iron Man 3.23 37 $318.4M $98.6M May 2008 The Dark Knight 3.37 36 $533.3M $158.4M Jul. 2008 Black Panther 3.47 38 $700.1M $202.0M Feb. 2018 Guardians of the Galaxy 3.53 43 $333.2M $94.3M Aug. 2014 Wonder Woman 4.00 41 $412.6M $103.3M Jun. 2017 The Amazing Spider-Man 4.23 25 $262.0M $62.0M Jul. 2012 average of table 2.70 28 median of table 2.57 27 * numbers are not final / still in theaters display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand this is an incomplete work-in-progress / numbers current as of October 2, 2018 Calendar effect Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier January 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018

Some new guy directed the film it's not Peter Jackson. Which is either good or bad depending on your point of view. I might check it out in December if I find someone else that interested to go. December is a pretty friendly time for multiple movies doing well. Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier January 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018 On the other hand you can wind up like The Golden Compass (Dec. 2007 - 2.72 domestic multiplier; $70.1M/$93.6M domestic adjusted to ticket price of 2018; made about as much money as Solo did globally 11 years ago) (I read all the books and don't hate that movie and will check out the TV series when it launches) but I think the environment is a little friendlier domestically now than 11 years ago for that type of movie (December Star Wars has done better; The Hobbit December movies did well riding the coattails of The Lord of Rings movies) but I don't know if this book series was anywhere as popular worldwide as Philip Pullman's book series is - I'll guess not.

The state of the MCU: comparison table / calendar table Ant-Man 2 as of this weekend has the slowest burn rate to 90% of its domestic total out of all the MCU sequels. Sequels: 31 days: Ant-Man 2 30 days: Avengers 3 30 days: Guardians of the Galaxy 2 30 days: Captain America 2 29 days: Thor 3 27 days: Iron Man 2 26 days; Avengers 2 25 days: Iron Man 3 24 days: Thor 2 23 days: Captain America 3 First entry: 43 days: Guardians of the Galaxy 38 days: Black Panther 37 days: Iron Man 37 days: Ant-Man 36 days: Spider-Man 35 days: Avengers 29 days: Doctor Strange 26 days: Thor 26 days: Captain America 23 days: The Incredible Hulk

2015-2018 High domestic earners (>$200M) stamina update (last week's table):

Yeah. Here's everything new opening between $17M and $15M since 2008 in September. The lowest was $39.3M. The highest was $55.7M. Title Studio Opening* % of Total Theaters Average Total Gross^ Date** American Made Uni. $16,776,390.00 32.70% 3024 $5,548.00 $51,342,000.00 9/29/17 Righteous Kill Over. $16,288,361.00 40.60% 3152 $5,168.00 $40,081,410.00 9/12/08 Legend of the Guardians: The Owls of Ga'Hoole WB $16,112,211.00 28.90% 3575 $4,507.00 $55,675,313.00 9/24/10 A Simple Favor LGF $16,050,000.00 100.00% 3102 $5,174.00 $16,050,000.00 9/14/18 Dolphin Tale 2 WB $15,873,397.00 37.80% 3656 $4,342.00 $42,024,533.00 9/12/14 Lakeview Terrace SGem $15,004,672.00 38.20% 2464 $6,090.00 $39,263,506.00 9/19/08

September multipliers are on the lower side...but not that low. I mean, it's not even a sequel which would typically make it more first weekend frontloaded so it's hard to see a multiplier that low (1.8x). Viewer feedback isn't weak on it either so far. Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier January 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018

Day 49 Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation: 32 days to 90% of domestic gross (final result 37 days); 3.41 opening weekend to dom. gross multiplier (final result multiplier 3.51) Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 31 days to 90% of current domestic gross; 3.49 opening weekend to current dom. gross multiplier Great results for July sequels and similar performance numbers though Fallout has grossed more than its predecessor.

I like Cavill as Superman and Man of Steel despite a few issues that make it second to Wonder Woman, but I had to make my peace that Man of Steel 2 was very remote when they used up his appearances with the Batman v Superman and Justice League direction. Even Cavill's recent musing on the topic of his contract and Man of Steel 2 didn't move me otherwise.

Stamina for Top 10 high domestic earners >$200M (2015-2018) (last week's table):

Stamina for Top 10 high domestic earners >$200M (2015-2018) (last week's table):

Avengers movies (unadjusted) Release First Weekend % Change Domestic Gross % Change 90% of Gross on Day Multiplier (DG ÷ FW) Foreign Gross % Change Worldwide Gross % Change Cinematic Universe Release # Marvel’s The Avengers May 2012 $207.4M $623.4M 35 3.01 $895.5M $1518.8M #6 Avengers: Age of Ultron May 2015 $191.3M -7.79% $459.0M -26.37% 26 2.40 $946.4M 5.69% $1405.4M -7.47% #11 Avengers: Infinity War* Apr. 2018 $257.7M 34.73% $678.7M 47.86% 30 2.63 $1367.5M 44.49% $2046.2M 45.59% #19 Jurassic World movies (unadjusted) Jurassic World Jun. 2015 $208.8M $652.3M 31 3.12 $1019.4M $1671.7M #4 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom* Jun. 2018 $148.0M -29.11% $413.3M -36.64% 28 2.79 $882.3M -13.46% $1295.6M -22.50% #5 Star Wars episodes (unadjusted) Star Wars: The Force Awakens Dec. 2015 $248.0M $936.7M 30 3.78 $1131.6M $2068.2M #7 Star Wars: The Last Jedi Dec. 2017 $220.0M -11.27% $620.2M -33.79% 23 2.82 $712.4M -37.05% $1332.5M -35.57% #9 * numbers are not final / still in theaters display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand data current as of August 30, 2018 Cinematic Universe Release numbers for the live-action movies (so not counting the Clone Wars movie). Jurassic World 2 cranking out a 2.8x multiplier from June is way more impressive than Star Wars cranking out a 2.8x multiplier in December. The overall drop of JW2 domestically is similar to the foreign drop of Star Wars Episode 8 (~36% vs. 37%). Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier January 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018 And how about those Mission: Impossible sequels? They sure do well beyond their openings. Great stats for sequels. Ant-Man 2 has the best MCU sequel multiplier, but to be fair it was released in July which outside of December is one of the best months to release in to have a longer run beyond the opening while the previous highest sequel multiplier for the MCU was released in April (Winter Soldier). Since Infinity War was released in April, its multiplier as a sequel is also stronger than it appears on first glimpse.

Ant-Man and the Wasp: +2 days to 29 days to 90% of dom. gross (MCU highest ever sequel is 30 days; Ant-Man was 37 days) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom: +1 day to 28 days (Jurassic World was 31 days) Incredibles 2: +1 day to 32 days (The Incredibles was 44 days) Stamina for Top 10 high domestic earners >$200M (2015-2018) (last week's table): Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier January 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018 M:I-F will join the table next time.

M:I - Rogue Nation M:I - Fallout* M:I-F % change from M:I-RN Weekend 1 $55,520,089 $61,236,534 10.30% Day 4-7 $23,734,118 $28,250,837 19.03% Weekend 2 $28,502,372 $35,323,815 23.93% Wknd. 1 → Wknd. 2 drop -48.66% -42.32% Day 11-14 $13,379,976 $17,156,098 28.22% Day 4-7 → Day 11-14 drop -43.63% -39.27% Weekend 3 $17,186,540 $19,352,090 12.60% Wknd. 2 → Wknd. 3 drop -39.70% -45.22% Day 18-21 $7,739,944 $8,919,347 15.24% Day 11-14 → Day 18-21 drop -42.15% -48.01% Weekend 4 $11,451,746 $10,773,347 -5.92% Wknd. 3 → Wknd. 4 drop -33.37% -44.33% Day 25-28 $4,571,745 $4,888,592 6.93% Day 18-21 → Day 25-28 drop -40.93% -45.19% Weekend 5 $8,155,581 $8,087,385 -0.84% Wknd. 4 → Wknd. 5 drop -28.78% -24.93% Domestic Gross on Day 31 $170,242,111 $193,988,045 13.95% Final Domestic Gross $195,042,377 TBD Multiplier on Day 31 3.07** 3.17 90% of Total Domestic Gross on Day 37 23 * still in theaters ** final gross multiplier: 3.51 (total divided by weekend 1)

Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier Release Month Average Multiplier Median Multiplier January 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top openings (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018 Movie 90% of Gross on Day Multiplier (DG ÷ FW) Domestic Gross First Weekend Release Month Box Office Position Crazy Rich Asians* TBD 2.90 $76.8M $26.5M Aug. 2018 Suicide Squad 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M Aug. 2016 Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M Dec. 2017 * still in theaters / numbers not final / projected numbers from Deadline.com CRA is kind of like "Jumanji 2 in August" might end up being a better comparison... (Jumanji 2 made more money than the first weekend in its second weekend during the holiday break and third weekend; CRA won't have that environment in August.)

M:I - Rogue Nation M:I - Fallout* M:I-F % change from M:I-RN Weekend 1 $55,520,089 $61,236,534 10.30% Day 4-7 $23,734,118 $28,250,837 19.03% Weekend 2 $28,502,372 $35,323,815 23.93% Wknd. 1 → Wknd. 2 drop -48.66% -42.32% Day 11-14 $13,379,976 $17,156,098 28.22% Day 4-7 → Day 11-14 drop -43.63% -39.27% Weekend 3 $17,186,540 $19,352,090 12.60% Wknd. 2 → Wknd. 3 drop -39.70% -45.22% Day 18-21 $7,739,944 $8,919,347 15.24% Day 11-14 → Day 18-21 drop -42.15% -48.01% Weekend 4 $11,451,746 $10,773,347 -5.92% Wknd. 3 → Wknd. 4 drop -33.37% -44.33% Day 25-28 $4,571,745 $4,888,592 6.93% Day 18-21 → Day 25-28 drop -40.93% -45.19% Domestic Gross on Day 28 $162,086,530 $185,900,660 14.69% Final Domestic Gross $195,042,377 TBD Multiplier on Day 28 2.92** 3.04 90% of Total Domestic Gross on Day 37 20 * still in theaters ** final gross multiplier: 3.51 (total divided by weekend 1)

Much like with Star Wars and other old movies, Box Office Mojo doesn't do a great job in breaking it down domestically (and for foreign re-releases it's even more difficult.)