LegendaryBen

Any BO predictions? I'm thinking a similar run to last year's Jungle Cruise.

What kind of BO gross in SK translates to 10M admission?

It's all Bob Chapek's fault.

For sure. Not like a huge smash hit (TGM) but also not like a huge flop (Lightyear).

What about Jurassic World Dominion?

Even if that were to happen, TBP can still make it to at least $70m, though I'm thinking a $7.5m Saturday (slight increase vs. True Friday). Unless it theaters correlate well with Santikos, I can't see it dropping 40% today.

Needs at least $10.5M Saturday to be at $30M OW.

Predictions for its final total gross in SK?

Unless it gets a 40%+ increase and a small sunday drop, I doubt it.

Only after it gets to the $100m domestic mark, it can happen.

99.99% chance of it happening.

$8.25m for TGM

As long as Minions 2 doesn't fall below $100M domestically, it will still be a modest success.

EEAO may have its worst drop in its run yet due to new competition from Elvis but still a wonderful run. (-44% vs. Last Friday). DS2 got hurt by D+.

I hope Elvis doesn't fall below $30M OW. It can still make it to $100m with excellent WOM despite the unnecessary 45-day window (HBO Max, long shot, but should extend the window to 60 days). Meanwhile, great for TBP and TGM. Even if TBP barely increases today vs. True Friday, its still on track for $23-24M weekend. $25M is still within reach with a solid $80-90M total. More impressed with it than Elvis. TGM continues to hold well. $30M 4th weekend is still on the table and might still have a chance to take the top spot this weekend. $600M is obviously locked unless Minions 2 opens better than its predecessor and Thor 4 opens better than NWH. JWD's chances of $400M are over but $350M will still happen. LY will drop over 60%. Even with Minions 2 possibly opening worse than LY, it will see another 60%+ drop next weekend.

@katnisscinnaplexTHank you for your hard work as usual. I love your nickname. 2 questions: 1. Are you a fan of Hunger Games? 2nd one is the best in the series. 2. Is it possible Minions 2 will open worse than Lightyear with the way family sequels have underperformed?

Although TBP may have the 17 day PVOD window, The Forever Purge last year dealt with that; yet, ended up with a 3.54 multiplier. Assuming it gets a $7.5M+ Saturday (assuming a good Sunday drop), it may finish with $80-90M, but the more, the merrier for this critically acclaimed horror film.

I'm out of likes. 100% agree with you on this. Elvis aimed for the same audience as TGM while the millennials may have seen that may have gone to see TBP.

Hoping for higher Friday but at least TGM has been a huge success and rare phenomenon.

Thank you, Eric for taking action! Also, love your avatar! Brings back great memories when I was in 7th grade loving Lilo and Stitch!

Any chance TBP will get to $7M True Fri, it's walkhelp heavy?

Slightly underwhelming for TBP compared to Thursday previews but should still be enough for a $20M OW. That would still be great for Elvis.

For Early Friday? Yes, please if you have them.

Thanks

Very proud of TGM's run. Passing $500m in only 4 weeks, something that DS2, JWD, Thor 4 will not achieve domestically.