charlie Jatinder

Dune 2 HOYTS FRI - 11866/80629 Forget to check yday. Probably 22K final. Should be good for A$1.75-2M day.

Brampton is basically India. Dune will obviously won't do well there.

54K type final I guess. 161 105 200+ 200+ 170+ // 850k ish

Kung Fu Panda 4 MiniTC2 T-8 Days Previews - 274/35594 (167 showings) Comps 1.77x Elemental - $4.25M 2.11x Trolls 3 - $2.75M 0.33x Minions 2 - $3.5M 0.78x Haunted Mansion - $2.4M

Dune 2 MiniTC2 T-1 Day Thursday - 6288/57500 (228 showings) Comps 0.90x Oppy - $9.4M 0.50x Avatar 2 - $8.5M Avatar 2 behaved kind of normally here given it had general audience appeal while Oppy having less GA appeal underindexed, so that is a closer comp. Pace is meh. Final Oppy comp may drop to $9M even though Oppy had very low walkups itself due to Capacity constraints Friday is ~81% of Oppy and ~52% of Avatar 2. That comps around $18.2M and $18.7M.

SAT is relatively doing better than FRI but its also more to FRI being low. Korea had bad walkups, which is at times a sign for DOM as well. Sub $70M is a possibility now. What a roller coster ride in last 4 days.

Updated:

Ideally IO2 should be doing 150+, D&W should be 200-250 but things are going bad for Disney so not too hopeful. GOTG3 was potential 200 opener, crapped the bed with sub 120.

Think DPvW is next 100M opener, that will be longest gap between two 100M opener since first Spiderman and Matrix in 2003. For the sake of this I am considering those mid-week opener which would have opened to 100M if they were 3 day weekend as 100M opener. Like say Spiderman 2 or some Transformers films.

Two graphs. One is absolute daily change of Dune 2, Avatar 2 and Oppy in MTC 1 and another is % of daily pace of Dune 2 against Avatar 2 & Oppy.

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12PM - 40K Meh pace. May be just 55K final but not a bad hold from 75K Culture Day OD, though tomorrow being holiday could have been better,

Seems like a meh day in MiniTC2 with pace coming back to pre Monday level against Oppy/Av2.

I used actual raw gross of Dune 1 and Dune 2.

Based on rest of Europe, it must. Prob 12+.

Comp with Dune 1 THU T-7: 184% -4: 182% -3: 188% -2: 187% ($9.53M, inf adj $10M) FRI T-7: 188% -4: 187% -3: 190% -2: 188% ($23.3M, inf adj $25M) Dune 1 had poor walkups on final day, Dune 2 has potential to improve there a bit, unless ofc it repeats as well

Abysmal walkups but not entirely surprising. CGV final may be 76-77K type for 160K OD. Weekend may be 850-900K.

90k previews

Kung Fu Panda 4 MiniTC2 T-9 Days Previews - 238/33625 (157 showings) Comps 1.83x Elemental - $4.4M 2.34x Trolls 3 - $3M 0.32x Minions 2 - $3.5M 0.76x Haunted Mansion - $2.4M

Oppy had 1592k 6 days weekend and 1050k ish 5 days.

Dune 2 MiniTC2 T-2 Days Thursday - 5282/56989 (223 showings) Comps 0.97x Oppy - $10.2M 0.51x Avatar 2 - $8.7M Oppy comp started dropping again though daily pace is up from last week when it looked like will drop to $9-9.5M type final. It still may but Oppy had very low sales on final day which this should be able to meet. In limited sample of best locs, tix sold are 74% of Dune 1 final number. The only IMAX I have has outsold Dune 1 due to 1 extra IMAX show. In comparison MTC 1 is 17% ahead of Dune 1 final. Either MTC 1 is way overindexing due to that 1 extra IMAX show or I am underindexing.

So it was indeed an anomaly. Good to see that. Still a pretty great opening but better to have it follow the trend.

Korea and China used to be very interesting markets with data heaven. Shame they have become nothing markets Post CoVID.

MTC 1 ATP is around 5% up from Dune 1. Can just take 5-10% higher ATP, its no big deal I feel.

I would go on to say, ignore everything else and just Oppy comp is what really matters. For those who have Dune 1, that's probably even better.