charlie Jatinder

He didn't project, he just did commentary on Variety's bit, iirc said that "175 seems excessive"

Seems believable to me. Knowing what Disney has been doing, make sense they will have Fleabag replacing Indy in the end or something like that. Edit: Are we sure he isn't just a Disney hater. Look at his BP2 preview https://www.worldofreel.com/blog/2022/10/ji8ert7hs0egswmbhpvcqvww8gfuly

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Harkins Previews Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP 602 127,648 40,060 31.38% $467,472 $11.67 Comps 0.85x Thor: Love and Thunder - $24.25M 0.70x Doctor Strange in Multiverse of Madness - $25.31M As we know from MTC 1, Mountain Time Zone is under-indexing. Regional variance was visible in chain itself, locations in California were 95% of Thor while Arizona were 80%. Would guess around ~$27M (+/- $0.5M).

1.5M THU. 2.6M 2-days. 5-days I guess 11.75-12.

It didn't release in Russia but did in CIS mkts like Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, etc.

Waiting for Posttrak, RT seems around A. Cinemascore at times have a bit higher score for Christian and Black movies, so who knows.

Technically all US comps should over-index a bit as CAN will be under Thor 4 but most comps will have demographic funkiness, so don't matter.

Looks like may hit 150K FRI. 1M 5-days doable.

Yeah 28M seems about right and where was thinking from yday numbers.

Yes. The diff is entirely Korea. It's better than BP1 elsewhere. Right now I am thinking $150M OW as compared to $148M of BP1 adj for ER and inflation. Just adj for ER would be $140M ish. Without Korea weekend be around +13% BP1 adj for inflation and ER.

$5M OD would be huge. Unless you mean WED+THU+FRI = $5M

I suppose if you remove complete African American demo, that will still be around $100M+ OW from all other demos.

11.5M 5-days I guess.

idk he does post very reasonable flop bar.

@Legion By Night but is Flop bar?

WED 1.1M THU 1.4-1.5M range

I think backloaded and frontloaded are to be taken in context.

$140-150M possible. A big decline from BP 1 will come in Korea and some minor drops in other Asian markets but that should be neutralised by gains in Europe, India, LATAM etc.

Yeah more likely to be error with these sales.

I will probably ignore the two. How much they had sold before? If 0 well likely the shows are canned to change in some other timing or format. The film isn't selling well enough to have SOLD OUTs that too in 3D that too in B-tier theater.

BP did very well here with 17.7M 6-days and 22.68M 10-days. FSS was 10.5M, probably would have done 12-13M if it was normal FSS release. Can BP 2 do 13M? On one hand, it should be over Batman but then Thor didn't do that well and everywhere BP2 is below Thor. Top FSS 2022 DSitMoM - £14,918,960 (+£4,847,458 Thursday) The Batman - £13,531,855 Thor 4 - £9,130,857 (+£3,152,862 Thursday) Batman opening very impressive here. This does include some previews but don't know how much as SAT dropped from FRI.

Black films does have better CS so this may too otherwise Korea reactions are B, which is one of the most pro-MCU market.

Looks like 180K OD. 1M 5-days can be struggle.

12 out of last 40 are rotten. This is going in 70s.

Interstellar was also Nolan + Space visual. Emotion works great in Asia sure but emotion should connect too. Most of bad the reviews I saw on Megabox are saying it boring. The Black lead factor isn't gonna travel well in most of Asia too. Egg drops further to 83%