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charlie Jatinder

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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder

  1. charlie Jatinder
    @Porthos you failed us. Shame on you. Yeah MTC2 is around $200K less than what I was expecting.
  2. charlie Jatinder
    Subject to MTC1 actuals which I will get tomorrow, $9.25-9.4M previews. Just to reiterate. The $10M number reported for previews is just $10M. We never get actual previews from the studio but they are just clubbed with opening day, for which we get actuals. So this isn't a fudge like what Sony did last week for Ghostbusters where they inflated actual dailies for every day of the weekend.
  3. charlie Jatinder
    How is G*K looking?
  4. charlie Jatinder
    Think Mexico is way bigger still.
  5. charlie Jatinder
    Godzilla x Kong MiniTC2 T-0 Day Friday - 12789/136489 (587 showings) $170K Great day. Will target 42K+ tomorrow, which would mean $26M ish, though Holiday could be behaving a bit differently, so that needs to be seen.
  6. charlie Jatinder
    Naa now everything gets 9+. Ratings are manipulated so doesn't really matter.
  7. charlie Jatinder
    Back in day this would have been CRAZY. Now not so much.
  8. charlie Jatinder
    Godzilla x Kong MiniTC2 Final Previews - 14252/56235 (218 showings) $190K Normally this would mean $9.5M. I think I should be fine taking that.
  9. charlie Jatinder
    Guess I should start coming here with Hollywood starting to get bit better. If Deadpool 3 can do $200M that will be really good incentive.
  10. charlie Jatinder
    WOW. should clear 375K I guess, on high end 390K type may be. $26M+ OD be done deal with that. I can see $28M+.
  11. charlie Jatinder
    I hear you, but... Black Magic gotta account for something.
  12. charlie Jatinder
    well Porthos has called 9.1 (+/- 0.5), so 10 is anyways dead 😵‍💫
  13. charlie Jatinder
    Probably not much, maybe $275M. Summer OW be $300M I guess.
  14. charlie Jatinder
    $10M seems tough IMO as actuals will probably be $2.65M range. $9.5-9.75M type may be but WB may just round off to $10M.
  15. charlie Jatinder
    I suppose there is a diff between March 2021 and Oct 2021 in BO health. That said, I did thought Dune 2 OW be lower than Dune 1 real value OW but seeing Dune 2 performance elsewhere, I feel Dune 2 OW > Dune 1 real value OW. So probably $60-70M in normal BO times.
  16. charlie Jatinder
    So 9M final possible?
  17. charlie Jatinder
    I don't think there is anything abnormal happening here. It's a sequel to film which would have opened $90-110M, $70-80M OW is pretty much par course. Inflation adj Monster Verse openings G 2014 - 125 Skull Island - 75 KOTM - 58 GvK (in normal times) - 90-110
  18. charlie Jatinder
    18:45 update - MiniTC2 11539/56452 (220 showings) $155K Seems like 14K final. Good day. Should be fine for ~$9M previews. CA is accounting for 24% of total, normally for such film it would be 16-20%, so around 20-50% over-indexing due to spring break.
  19. charlie Jatinder
    I summon thee, @Brainbug
  20. charlie Jatinder
    Won't call great walkups unless it hit $85M+. $70-75M be pretty much normal.
  21. charlie Jatinder
    Good. Good. Now let's see if it can take on Dune 2 OW. WW is nearly a lock, DOM be close, US closer.
  22. charlie Jatinder
    If Flash and Dune comps are $1M, I think this can do $1.5M+. However, Transformer comp being $1.1M is not good.
  23. charlie Jatinder
    GB:FE my ests. (15.35) (16.80) (10.65) // 42.8 (2.85) (4.32) (2.89)
  24. charlie Jatinder
    Godzilla x Kong MiniTC2 T-1 Day Friday - 7707/136291 (586 showings) $105K Comps John Wick 4 - $18.2M Indiana Jones - $19M Fast X - $26.3M Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $26.8M Same as above, tickets sold comps. Gross comps are 5% higher. Points to $20M+ could be in the $23-25M range.
  25. charlie Jatinder
    Godzilla x Kong MiniTC2 T-1 Day Previews - 5208/55979 (218 showings) $74K Comps John Wick 4 - $6.5M Indiana Jones - $7.8M Fast X - $8.8M Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire - $8.8M The above are tix sold comps, gross comps are roughly 5% higher due to higher ATP. California locs are over-indexing being around 27% of total, normally they are 17-20%
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