Dune 2 MiniTC2 T-1 Day
Thursday - 6288/57500 (228 showings)
Comps
0.90x Oppy - $9.4M
0.50x Avatar 2 - $8.5M
Avatar 2 behaved kind of normally here given it had general audience appeal while Oppy having less GA appeal underindexed, so that is a closer comp.
Pace is meh. Final Oppy comp may drop to $9M even though Oppy had very low walkups itself due to Capacity constraints
Friday is ~81% of Oppy and ~52% of Avatar 2. That comps around $18.2M and $18.7M.
SAT is relatively doing better than FRI but its also more to FRI being low. Korea had bad walkups, which is at times a sign for DOM as well. Sub $70M is a possibility now. What a roller coster ride in last 4 days.
Ideally IO2 should be doing 150+, D&W should be 200-250 but things are going bad for Disney so not too hopeful. GOTG3 was potential 200 opener, crapped the bed with sub 120.
Think DPvW is next 100M opener, that will be longest gap between two 100M opener since first Spiderman and Matrix in 2003.
For the sake of this I am considering those mid-week opener which would have opened to 100M if they were 3 day weekend as 100M opener. Like say Spiderman 2 or some Transformers films.
Comp with Dune 1
THU
T-7: 184%
-4: 182%
-3: 188%
-2: 187% ($9.53M, inf adj $10M)
FRI
T-7: 188%
-4: 187%
-3: 190%
-2: 188% ($23.3M, inf adj $25M)
Dune 1 had poor walkups on final day, Dune 2 has potential to improve there a bit, unless ofc it repeats as well
Dune 2 MiniTC2 T-2 Days
Thursday - 5282/56989 (223 showings)
Comps
0.97x Oppy - $10.2M
0.51x Avatar 2 - $8.7M
Oppy comp started dropping again though daily pace is up from last week when it looked like will drop to $9-9.5M type final. It still may but Oppy had very low sales on final day which this should be able to meet.
In limited sample of best locs, tix sold are 74% of Dune 1 final number. The only IMAX I have has outsold Dune 1 due to 1 extra IMAX show. In comparison MTC 1 is 17% ahead of Dune 1 final. Either MTC 1 is way overindexing due to that 1 extra IMAX show or I am underindexing.