charlie Jatinder
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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder
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Every other film would love to open to 250mn but not Endgame. Its not doing bad enough to worry about profitability. In all probability, domestic returns itself will be enough for breakeven and foreign returns plus home video being a huge plus. -
Alright, let's admit it. Disney saw it opening $140mn. Anything below that is straight out disaspointing, considering how conservative they usually are. BTW @Menor how are Saturday pre-sales on pulse.
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Among others CP : 4.25 (5.9 inc Previews) Aladdin: 3.7 MIBi: 3.35 SLoP 2: 3.35 RM: 1.7 A:EG: 0.55
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37-38 True Friday for TS4.
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Why Tuesday most likely TS4 will start performing close to SA dailies, if not cross them.
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There is nothing like comScore but we do have boxoffice data with local trackers which is 95-100% accurate, more close to latter.
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Saturday PS compared with Friday Spirited Away: ¥14mn (-13%) Toy Story 4: ¥8mn (+60%) Shall bode well for ¥35-37mn Saturday for You Story 4. Spirited Away will mostly be 55-60.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
@Menor how is pulse doing. I am seeing 42+, may reach 45-46. -
I am feeling more confident about upper limit than 2 hours ago. In fact, even $45mn is possible. But let's just stick $42mn for next 6-7 hours.
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Iirc TS3 admissions were less than 2.
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Bright burn did $3mn of $1mn previews. Since I don't really tracked film that small, $5.65mn is basically how R rated films generally perform.
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Dory didn't had the Saturday bump, considering Saturdays have been stronger this year, I am hoping for atleast 10% jump, may be 15%. 12 42 48 36 138 Approx I had 150 as number; below which I won't be disaspointed. Hopefully it go on the high end of range I was getting. BTW if TS 4 did 110mn in 2010, don't just consider inflation. There's business frontloaded-ness over last 9 years as well. That's much bigger factor.
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
charlie Jatinder replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Spider-man: Far From Home 6 days Out Midnight: ¥3.15mn (6.8k shows) (+¥0.55mn) Friday: ¥9.15mn (61k shows) (+¥2mn) Saturday: ¥3.95mn (36k shows) (+¥0.75mn) Sunday: ¥2.4mn (32k shows) (+¥0.3mn) Total: ¥18.65mn or $2.7mn http://bit.ly/ChinaPreSale The next 2 days gonna be doing normal numbers, in fact next 3. The important time start from Tuesday and last days especially, which can make it ¥55mn or ¥65mn. -
WTF. Screw you China Film board. You are reason we are on cliff whether EG will cross Avatar or not.
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I am guessing $4mn true Friday from early morning numbers.
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That's true friday. Don't be that cruel.
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Mojo article was actually BS. Don't know what he was implying? First of all, I hate the fact that they have fixed a template for every article i.e. IMDb page views. I mean WTF and then they hardly follow that. TS4 was lagging behind Dory and I2 but they bring 165mn donno from where. Atleast follow your own criteria. Then there's one line saying its having record pre-sales. Also lol forecast for MIBI.
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The range is pretty wide for estimating from early morning numbers; which are basically pre-sales and morning shows of East coast. The early morning numbers suggest $40-42mn Friday. I will take these with pinch of salt because range for the two comps is pretty big and I am using the median of two, conservatively. There will be more clarity during mid day but don't expect any update, because its no MCU film that I will not sleep for. So next update 8-9 hours from now, unless I gave one in another hour or two or RTH fly by.
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I think its 28 days will be over by them.
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fwiw, Deadline seems like hit bull's-eye this time.
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Literally 2 months ago.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Ohh, you have said that. I am thinking somewhere near upper limit of that. 38-40. -
Just 3.6x PSm for Toy story 4. That's low for low pre-sales despite high Maoyan score.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I will wait for 2-3 hours to say anything concrete but perhaps $50mn true Friday is off the table. That said, still let's see how walk-ins go. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I don't have source for Midnight previews but trying to figure out them using Friday early numbers. The best I am getting is around $12mn Approx.
