Spider-man: Far From Home 7 days Out
Midnight: ¥2.6mn (6.5k shows) (+¥0.65mn)
Friday: ¥7.2mn (56k shows) (+¥2mn)
Saturday: ¥3.2mn (34k shows) (+¥0.65mn)
Sunday: ¥2.1mn (29k shows) (+¥0.4mn)
Total: ¥15.1mn or $2.2mn
http://bit.ly/ChinaPreSale
Still enroute ¥60mn pre-sales and shall open ¥220mn. Usually I would have gone with 2.75-3x PSm for an MCU film but, its a summer release and Maoyan ain't that accurate as it used to be. PSm have increased in last 1.5 months. So Expecting something around 3.25-4x multiple.
Spirited Away 9.7 Maoyan score seems to come in play. ¥16mn OD pre-sales likely. That will bode into ¥65-75mn OD going by recent multiples. Though I won't put force on that.
With Korea saying lol to that $55mn, $75mn is actually possible. That point toward $670mn. lol.
It will be crazy if this miss $1 Billion by some $10mn. Perhaps we will need a Labour Day expansion for this one as well 😛
To beat Avatar, we certainly need more than that. Need additional 3mn people to watch the film worldwide, when first run conclude at $2.77 Billion. Out of that 3mn, South Korea will need to contribute in excess of 150k people.
I was expecting ¥6mn pre-sales but ¥5mn seems like best case scenario. Accordingly will reduce my expectations to ¥30mn OD and ¥130-150mn OW, in same range/trend that of Aladdin and Incredibles 2.
I think perhaps 7.1-7.2 going by current pace. That will go around ¥60mn final PS, which will be same as Venom but lower than CM. That said, it will have bigger PSm from CM being a summer release, also we don't know for sure how PSm will behave with new Maoyan as seen in last few releases, getting 5-7x OD from PS, a ratio which was 4x in best cases.
please stop spamming. I am reading this comment for atleast 7th-8th time since morning.
We are on BoT, we are here to speculate, deduce, predict, see the actuals only.
Re-releases and expansions are not usual norm in most countries and i don't think there were any such for any film. Expansions in international market depend on the local releases and local branch of studio there.