charlie Jatinder

IMO the best comp to CM is Black Panther. I will be updating it daily. If missed, please do my bid. Time Captain Marvel Black Panther Spider-Man: Homecoming Ant-Man and The Wasp Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change 14 Days Out 13 Days Out 12 Days Out ¥2.46 11 Days Out ¥3.15 28.05% 10 Days Out ¥3.65 15.87% ¥1.86 ¥2.82 9 Days Out ¥4.22 15.62% ¥2.60 39.78% ¥3.47 23.05% 8 Days Out ¥2.15 ¥4.93 16.82% ¥3.70 42.31% ¥4.09 17.87% 7 Days Out ¥5.77 17.04% ¥4.80 29.73% ¥4.81 17.60% 6 Days Out ¥6.82 18.20% ¥6.00 25.00% ¥5.87 22.04% 5 Days Out ¥8.19 20.09% ¥7.50 25.00% ¥7.08 20.61% 4 Days Out ¥10.19 24.42% ¥9.00 20.00% ¥8.43 19.07% 3 Days Out ¥14.03 37.68% ¥10.50 16.67% ¥11.25 33.45% 2 Days Out ¥19.20 36.85% ¥13.75 30.95% ¥15.42 37.07% 1 Day Out ¥26.78 39.48% ¥20.00 45.45% ¥23.68 53.57% Final ¥45.50 69.90% ¥36.00 80.00% ¥46.55 96.58% Opening Day ¥0.00 ¥131.77 ¥134.63 ¥154.49 PSm 2.90 3.74 3.32 The opening day presales are already 3.5mn, by the end of day shall hit 5mn. Edit: Added S-M:H and A-M&TW

Early Estimates HTTYD3: $2mn Alita: Battle Angel: $0.85mn Isn't it Romantic: $0.47mn Fighting with my Family: $0.44mn LEGO Movie 2: $0.37mn What Men Want: $0.36mn Green Book: $0.32mn Cold Pursuit: $0.26mn Happy Death Day 2 U: $0.25mn The Upside: $0.23mn. Final TD YD Title (Click to View) Studio Daily Gross % +/- YD / LW Theaters / Avg Gross To-Date Day 1 1 How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World Uni. $2,038,040 -45% - 4,259 $479 $65,602,270 6 2 2 Alita: Battle Angel Fox $893,530 -40% -48% 3,802 $235 $64,328,215 14 3 3 Isn't It Romantic WB (NL) $486,333 -42% -45% 3,444 $141 $35,147,775 15 4 4 Fighting with My Family MGM $461,417 -45% +7,802% 2,711 $170 $9,789,017 14 5 5 What Men Want Par. $396,885 -41% -36% 2,389 $166 $46,575,931 20 6 6 The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part WB $387,604 -36% -68% 3,833 $101 $84,658,519 20 7 7 Green Book Uni. $338,720 -37% +17% 1,253 $270 $70,870,506 104 8 9 Happy Death Day 2U Uni. $274,240 -37% -46% 3,212 $85 $22,491,520 15 9 8 Cold Pursuit LG/S $271,699 -42% -42% 2,320 $117 $28,003,110 20 10 10 The Upside STX $239,644 -38% -40% 2,148 $112 $100,553,135 48 11 11 Run the Race RAtt. $148,000 -41% - 853 $174 $2,702,713 6 12 12 Glass Uni. $147,870 -30% -44% 1,446 $102 $108,437,710 41 - - The Prodigy Orion $110,748 -24% -56% 1,331 $83 $13,868,209 20 - - Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $87,957 -21% -49% 743 $118 $185,202,444 76 - - Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $81,973 -32% +3% 424 $193 $213,407,222 118 - - Aquaman WB $64,531 -24% -49% 741 $87 $333,140,633 69 - - They Shall Not Grow Old WB $61,089 -17% -41% 448 $136 $16,586,896 73 - - The Favourite FoxS $60,857 -24% +2% 288 $211 $32,328,218 97 - - Total Dhamaal FIP $56,274 -58% - 202 $279 $1,248,669 6 - - Arctic BST $50,122 -28% +126% 257 $195 $1,219,058 27

If latter happens I will reduce it. Simple.

FIFY

I may be very wrong but I am expecting Women's day to help it in big way. I am expecting 75-80mn weekend with normal 8.7-8.9 Maoyan score word of mouth. If over 9.1, she will go up.

So this Saturday, Wandering Earth will beat Avatar USA alone (excluding Canada) gross becoming 3rd highest grossing single country film after Wolf Warrior 2 and TFA. However in term of actual gross i.e. without ticket booking charges it will takr some time.

In comparison with Black Panther had released in rest of the world by then and had positivity of gangbuster US business and also the hype of great reviews.

The Wandering Earth 3rd Tuesday $57k. Total US so far $5.47mn.

If Captain Marvel is excellent it will do $100mn, if its mediocre will do $150mn. End of debate

Glass $220k

Captain Marvel China pre sales At midnight T-8 Days Previews - ¥0.63mn Opening Day - ¥2.15mn ($320k) 28707 shows Saturday - ¥0.91mn Sunday - ¥0.50mn Total - ¥4.19mn ($625k)

Maoyan keep adjusting numbers after few days, increasing the previous numbers. The final would be 38mn surely.

Maoyan keep adjusting numbers after few days, increasing the previous numbers. The final would be 38mn surely.

I won't be surprised to see bigger Friday bump since there isn't any big wide release this weekend, also 2nd Friday was basically coming off Holiday Monday and ticket offers in weekdays (some user said in weekend thread).

Nope. The best I see it doing is 67% drop. Anything between 60-67%, will be really good IMO.

¥38mn ($5.7mn) Wednesday for Alita. Cume ¥565mn ($84.2mn). • -8.25% Tuesday (Bumble Bee was 8.74%) • Wednesday +6.4% Bumble Bee. • Cume +7.6% Bumble Bee after 6 days.

Tuesday actuals HTTYD 3: $3.85mn Alita: $1.49mn IIR: $0.85mn FWMF: $0.83mn WMW: $0.64mn Lego 2: $0.61mn Green Book: $0.56mn Cold P: $0.47mn HDD2U: $0.44mn The Upside: $0.4mn

http://piaofang.maoyan.com/dashboard?date=2019-03-08&movieId=341139

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How is it doing in comparison with Black Panther and Homecoming. Those are better comps. Jurassic World is anomaly, why is it in comps.

Hum Aapke Hai Kaun had 250x. The big Blockbuster having big/good opening as well, like DDLJ had 33x approx while Gadar was 20x.