Menor the Destroyer
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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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From the lawsuit text it was 55 DOM out of 67 WW. -
I don't think this has to do with the internet. Pretty sure they go out and poll people to get these samples.
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I really wonder how the awareness/interest stats can be so off sometimes. Someone posted those stats on r/boxoffice where Shang-Chi was lagging behind Free Guy in both awareness and interest. Are they just getting bad samples or what, or not accounting for fanbase factors.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah I saw that. Another point regarding the Saturday is that we are getting this data with a couple of hours to go, and since Friday late nights are equal to or greater than Saturday the ratio would decrease in those two hours. -
Pirated version for this will be in shit quality. For BW there was HD quality which is what made it more enticing.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
23-23.25 is...an 11-12% jump though. -
Technically, this has multiple interpretations, although I suppose only one of them makes sense with your earlier post.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah if it's 9% and 6% down from final I would consider that quite strong. At first I interpreted it as down from the same point in time. I would have considered the latter disastrous since based on the earlier update it was running around 5-10% ahead of what I would have estimated Friday's gross at that point (was expecting the ratio to increase until evening shows and then decrease again to around 10%). -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Uh, 9% down? That seems pretty bad this late in the day. Edit: On second thought 9% down at the same point does not make sense with the number you posted earlier today. Do you mean 9% down vs the final Friday number? -
Seeing this tomorrow morning. Super hyped. I haven't loved any MCU content since FFH (maybe Whatif but that is dependent on the later episodes), so I'm hoping this one really delivers.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It looks like around 10% increase to me but we will know more in the night (especially once our Comscore trackers weigh in). -
Unless COVID gets disastrously bad, I don't see this going anywhere as low as 60M. The buzz is higher than what Shang-Chi had and that is still doing 70.
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Not happening. I am very confident in this. The increase may be small but it will increase.
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Deadline is saying 19.67 million for Saturday lmao. They are spinning so much BS this weekend just so they can keep saying it "overperformed"
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Frankly a 30 OD is really great. DS's OD/Th ratio was 3.47. For this to get 3.41 5 years later, with a fanbase that is a lot more solidified, is excellent.
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Ok. In what universe can 29.7 be an "ew"? That is a 21 million true Friday.
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80+ depends on the Saturday. I'm not sure if it will have quite a big enough bump to do so. Still F9 is toast for sure.
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Frankly I thought EG and IW both had great pacing. Was never bored during either one.
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Looking into it, your analogy does open up some...interesting possibilities. I guess adjust up that high end Sunday by 1-2 million. But realistically I don't think it will hold that well.
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Maybe. We don't have any openers of this scale on Labor Day to compare, so used BP and adjusted down slightly since the WOM is not quite as good.
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After seeing Keyser's latest post in the Tracking thread I feel this will be done unless there is some weird surprise. On the higher end it can go 8.8-21-25.2-22.7 for a 77.8 OW. Obviously this is not the bar for success but I believe it is possible. Even if it does 8.8-20.5-23-20 it will do it.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
By morning I suppose it will be ahead of Fri. Could have quite a solid increase actually. Especially since given the walkup trend today it's not playing frontloaded. -
Even if it had come in at 16 you would have been closer than a lot of people on this board were before PS started. Frankly I don't quite understand why there seems to be such a negative attitude here toward high predictions. Nobody is obligated to take those predictions as a bar for success.
