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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    How did this underperform tracking? Consensus of the tracking thread was high 8s to low 9s. It landed within that range.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    Ok you are just being unreasonable with that Sunday drop. This is Labor Day weekend. Why on earth would it have a worse Sunday drop than BW? Anyway it's funny how many people were saying that this movie was gonna open with 30 or 40 million after TSS's OW and now an 8.8 preview is being treated as a disappointment (and btw 8.8 was entirely in the range that the tracking thread was predicting).
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    So MTCs did overindex slightly. Still a good number.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    Ok Friday showcount is quite big at 6632. F9 had 6719 the night before but that included a lot of duplicate DBOX shows, and that was in the summer. So there is space for a big true Friday and given that today had very good walkups, it has a good chance of happening.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    That was the time Keyser usually posts the final update I think. It was around this time for BW and F9 I remember, I think TSS as well.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    I think there is potential to go higher. MTC1 is at 77% of BW gross (!). MTC2 is probably 70%ish. Then factor in Canada and it would go quite high. But I do think the MTCs may be overindexing for this so it's better to be cautious. Will go with around 9.3. Ok after looking into it TSS gross comp suggests ~8.7-8.8, BW gross comp suggests around 9.8-9.9, F9 gross comp suggests around 9 (using some estimated values for MTC2 ATP). So I guess take your pick lol.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    Shang-Chi was at 109400 at MTC2 in the latest run I took. Should be around 5-6k ahead of F9 at the same point. Pace is really good. 125k minimum, more likely heading for 130k at MTC2.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    Do you have an F9 final number? Probably won't be of much use but still I'm curious.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    Unfortunately I've been unable to get a full run of MTC2 since my last one but partial data is looking really good. It's probably doing better than my projection from earlier. Will be more specific when I can get full data.
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    If MTC1 is normal, I agree. MTC2 is on pace for that.
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah I am familiar with Fandango's BS. One time I tried to scrape Fandango and was blocked within 30 minutes. But at least you got a nice surprise with those sales. I didn't expect it to finish ahead of F9 after yesterday.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    Not sure about that. I would have estimated F9 did around 39k from this point. But late night may see more bumps during non-summer as kids get out of schools.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah NJ is fine as well. There will be issues in some of the big metros (expecting a poor final day out of Philly for example) but I don't think this will cause some precipitous drop nationwide.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Factoring in the higher ticket price 7 is less than half of BW. Even if it stopped selling tickets right now it probably wouldn't be far off 7.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    125k is probably the high-end finish if it can keep pace with F9 (it was not doing so in the morning but recovered in the afternoon). If it does very badly in night shows and plays like BW it will be 115k. Probably in between, around 120.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    Well we can't yet say that the bad pace was only from the morning. Night pace is crucial. That was where BW fell off a cliff after looking really good earlier. But yeah the afternoon pace is much better. I have a feeling that later preview start time + no summer played a factor in the bad morning pace.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    MTC2 was at 76903 in my last run. F9 at a comparable point was 74649. I don't have a proper comparison for BW yet. I would say it's running at a good pace after the bad morning pace noted by Keyser. But the night will tell the tale.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    Are you planning on taking the final update for SC before first shows start or at the same time as BW?
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    It looks very likely. The flood didn't have a huge effect on the national number even last night. Doubt it will matter that much today.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    No. It may finish slightly below in raw tickets at MTC2 (it is currently ahead though) but F9 overperformed hugely at MTC2. This is going way above F9 in raw tickets at MTC1, then factor in Canada and a significantly higher ticket price as well.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    Hmm. That is odd. Either way the number you are using for comparison led to 122k in my tracker.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    That was several hours later. "Morning" was more like noon CT. The number you have for SC would be around 3.5 hours earlier. F9 final was 122k.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    Looking at imdb reviews I see a lot of praise for the CGI sequences...lol.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    This is all over the place lol. Hopefully the final day boosts it a good bit vs BW. Though I think it's underperforming in your theaters anyway but would still like to see that raw tickets comp over 7m.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    Ok. I had mistook the number of likes for the number of reviews. If there are only 26 ratings then the score will bounce around all over the place I suppose.
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