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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    As @keysersoze123 says the Pulse sales are heavily, heavily skewed towards Thursday. The Thursday sales were about equal to Aladdin (slightly under), but the FSS are way below, close to half of Aladdin at the same point for each day.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    Godzilla's Pulse sales for Friday do not look promising. Half of Aladdin at the same point. But I will wait until 1 pm to see what the pace for today looks like.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    Same, but I am adjusting up to 6.5 due to its strength in IMAX
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    Actually this thread is pretty close most of the time. Even Endgame's high-variance preview-number was predicted pretty well here.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    6.5-7 actually considering that Aladdin has probably been depressing Pulse #s for other films a bit compared to PR2 which pretty much only had 5th/6th weekend BP as it's competition. @Porthos see here for comps
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    Zilla was 21853 at 5pm, so a little under. My times are all in CT btw.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    Pulse comps for Godzilla (its pacing slightly behind Aladdin so I'm assuming that's where it'll finish, at about 26k for the day). PR2: 5.1 JW: FK: 8.63 Aladdin: 6.75 Pikachu: 6.18 Venom: 5.5 Mission Impossible Fallout: 7.2 AMATW: 8.28 FB2: 5 Aquaman: 6.84 John Wick 3: 4.83 Since it seems to be doing well on IMAX, going with 6.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    Now that 5pm numbers are in I can directly comp the FSS numbers with Aladdin at least and...this is just not great. All three days are half of Aladdin at the same point despite the preview sales being almost equal. I was optimistic in an above post but this is just looking bad.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    Apocalypse got 4150 theaters, this will rise a bit but it won't be anywhere near that. Very bad.
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    Even with the reactions I've seen being pretty mixed, I don't think this needs great WOM for say a 12x multiplier. It just needs better WOM than G2014, which didn't have very good WOM.
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    A big factor was that movie opened in the heart of summer, while for KOTM many kids are still in school. Also dinosaurs are just much more popular for casual audiences/walkups than Godzilla. Tbh PR2 had a 12x and Kong Skull Island had a 16.5x (I think) internal multiplier, and I'm not sure if 4pm starts are going to affect this that much. I think 60m would still be in play with a number in the 5s.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    KOTM is picking up steam on Fandango...for Thursday. Friday presales are just anemic, as is the rest of the weekend. Still, if it stopped selling right now it would be at 46% of JW2 which gives 7.04, and if it keeps up the pace it will probably end with the comp suggesting 9.03 (!!!). However, I think Pacific Rim Uprising may be a better comp in this case because I'm really not seeing the kind of GA interest in this one that the Jurassic movies have. Uprising got about 12,000 tickets sold for its previews. I expect Godzilla to end with 26-27, which gives 5.3 with the Uprising comparison (yikes). Gonna go with 6 since some more kids are off school now.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    I meant the sales specifically for today, on the other akvalley link. Still looking good for 6-7 million though, which would be fine.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Misworded. But late/day-of sales can be an indicator of walkups
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    KOTM is getting slower walkups than Aladdin was getting on day-of. It's only gained 2000 since 9am.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    1 month is plenty of time. If anything it will be more a problem for FFH, but that should have pretty different demographics for its OW than TS4 would be getting at that point.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    I'm still not sold on this beating I2's opening. That movie really caught fire on release week, it remains to be seen if TS4 will do the same.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    The presales so far do indeed suggest 200 million is possible...I just don't really get where the extra hype came from the 3rd one, which only opened to 110 million.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    Godzilla is almost exactly on pace with Aladdin for Thursday previews only on Fandango. Both were in the 15k range at 8 am Central.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    If Endgame can stay in this weekend it will have been in the MT top 5 for two full months
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    Today's sales for Godzilla's Friday are not too far off sales for the previews. That is a healthy trend finally, hopefully it will keep up
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    There isn't. Pace is almost double yesterday which is an expected jump.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    Dark Phoenix only 553 sold for yesterday. So, so weak. It had better pray for some great reviews or a final week miracle surge.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    For Godzilla I'll be worried if FSS sales don't show some good growth later today/tomorrow. Thursday #s are quite solid for now.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    Rn its Pulse numbers for Thursday are pacing ahead of Aladdin but they're behind where Aladdin was at this point for FSS (from what I can remember). But we shall see, Aladdin had a very good multi which KOTM doesn't need to match.
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