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PKMLover

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  1. Weekend Estimates (03/27-28):01 (01) ¥549,000,000 ($5.0 million), -19%, ¥6,055,000,000 ($55.6 million), Evangelion 3.0+1.0: Thrice Upon a Time (Toho/Toei/Khara) WK302 (---) ¥250,000,000 ($2.3 million), 0, ¥350,000,000 ($3.2 million), Monster Hunter (Toho-Towa) NEW 03 (07) ¥195,000,000 ($1.8 million), +135%, ¥39,060,000,000 ($373.6 million), Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (Toho/Aniplex) WK2404 (---) ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥160,000,000 ($1.5 million), Kiba: The Fangs of Fiction (Shochiku) NEW 05 (02) ¥108,000,000 ($990,000), -51%, ¥600,000,000 ($5.5 million), Caution, Hazardous Wife: The Movie (Toho) WK206 (---) ¥x90,000,000 ($823,000), 0, ¥150,000,000 ($1.4 million), Girls und Panzer the Finale - Part 3 (Showgate) NEW 07 (03) ¥x83,000,000 ($759,000), -45%, ¥390,000,000 ($3.6 million), Tom & Jerry (Warner Bros.) WK2 08 (04) ¥x71,000,000 ($650,000), -38%, ¥235,000,000 ($2.2 million), Healin Good Pretty Cure: GoGo! Big Transformation! Town of Dreams (Toei) WK2 09 (06) ¥x55,000,000 ($503,000), -29%, ¥3,400,000,000 ($32.9 million), Loved Like a Flower Bouquet (Tokyo Theaters, Co./Little More) WK9 10 (05) ¥x48,000,000 ($439,000), -48%, ¥610,000,000 ($5.6 million), Brave: Gunjyo Senki (Toho) WK3Evangelion 3.0+1.0: Thrice Upon a Time continues its reign atop the box office, possibly delivering a sub-20% hold in its third weekend, which is pretty astounding for a heavily fanbase-driven release. Of course, its third weekend benefitted from a giveaway event in addition to previously delayed stage greetings being rescheduled for this Sunday, but it's very impressive even with these boosters. It's likely exceeded ¥6 billion already, becoming the highest grossing film in the franchise even before going into the weekend, and should it have a solid Spring Break this week too, so it could be looking at a total of ¥8-9 billion (~$75-85 million). That total should also be plenty to give it a Top 3 spot (Top 5 worst-cast) this year at the 2021 box office.Monster Hunter settled nicely in second place over its opening weekend, and it did quite well, really. Given the size of its fanbase (a few million at least in the market), this isn't a particularly good opening, but it's pretty respectable and the biggest opening for a Hollywood film since Tenet back in September. Also, Milla Jovovich succeeds once again. She has been a longtime consistent draw in the market from Resident Evil to independent films, with pretty much all her films doing well in Japan, and even many of them having Japan as their #1 overseas (or even overall) market. It might end up being a bit frontloaded, although its Sunday slightly beating its Saturday is an early indication it may not be, but it should be able to approach ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million) with this start. It's a little unlikely, but it has a chance for Japan to become its top grossing market, ahead of even the U.S.Demon Slayer: Mugen Train took big advantage of its Dolby Cinema expansion and fifth giveaway event, rising back into the Top 3 in its 24th week of release. It ended up jumping around 125% in admissions and possibly closer to 150% in revenue when taking the higher ticket prices from the Dolby showings and additional premium format showings it regained. This estimate is nearly double the previous Biggest 24th Weekend Record, so despite this late stage, it's still checking off more records. The final countdown to ¥40 billion has begun now that it's less than ¥1 billion away, and with Spring Break this week and its sixth (and presumably final) giveaway event starting on April 3rd, it could get there sometime in the next 10-days or so.Kiba: The Fangs of Fiction was a nice surprise over the weekend. It was looking like it'd come in around ¥100 million, but it got above the mark pretty comfortably and came in fourth place in its debut. Big performers like Evangelion are obviously important for the box office, but it also needs mid-performers like this pretty often. Reaching ¥1 billion (~$10 million) will be a challenge, but this is a good enough start to get it there if it develops legs just a bit above average.Girls und Panzer the Finale - Part 3 came in noticeably lower than its predecessors (around 35-40% less at the usual locations) and likely missed the Top 5. It was very frontloaded from the get-go, dropping pretty hard each day. This is still great for only being in 64 theaters, but since Part 1 and Part 2 had nearly identical openings, it's interesting that Part 3 dropped off like this. I'm not familiar with the series besides knowing its name and such, but Part 3 is also only 48-minutes long. Perhaps that had an impact on it from some fans skipping it.Nomadland ended up missing the Top 10, debuting in 11th place with around ¥40 million ($350,000-400,000) or so. Potential Oscar winners tend to open this time of year because the Academy Awards have already occurred, thus the winners can take advantage of this in the market, but with the Oscars delayed it wasn't able to gather any interest on that front. This upcoming week is Spring Break, so look for some very strong dailies for any films that has family or student (teens/young adults) appeal. Other films can still benefit somewhat, but for films in with the benefitting genres, they can usually double up their weekend gross over the week. That should include Demon Slayer, Tom & Jerry, and Loved Like a Flower Bouquet as the films with the biggest opportunities to rake in the money. Evangelion may also benefit a bit, but the weekend events could have taken away some weekday business.
  2. Mugen Train movie will be available Bluray and DVD June 16 in Japan. 3 months left for the ultimate ¥40B milestone mark huh....
  3. The official annoucement for 200B just was just made 30 mins ago. And this Sat 31B.
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