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PKMLover

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  1. 2nd week: friday is bigger, and sat seems it can catch up the OW too.
  2. The number in boxoffice vietnam website is less than the actual number around 8%
  3. If the 2nd weekend doesnt drop hard, I think it has high chance to challenge EG record.
  4. Yes. This is the biggest local hit in VietNam recently since re-opening. Lets wait for its hold during the weekdays and next weekend to see if it has a shot at Avenger:Endgame ($12M) or not
  5. From Corpse: Unfortunately, Raya and the Last Dragon is a major bomb. It barely made the Top 10 (10th place) for Friday, only grossing around $40,000. It'll do better over the weekend since it skews younger/toward families, but it doesn't look like it has any chance of debuting in the Top 5 and might be closer to 10th than 5th (thinking ~8th right now). Even if it doubles up on Saturday and increases on Sunday, I don't see an opening much higher than $200,000 if it gets there. It's only playing in 244 locations (~30-40% less than the typical Disney release), largely due to Toho Cinemas (the busiest chain in the country) not playing it. I'm guessing they weren't on board with Disney's Disney+ same-day release and/or Disney's rumored higher share request to play their films now. Also, I didn't check many Movix Cinema locations, but the handful I did also aren't playing Raya. So Toho and Movix combined account for almost 100 theaters, which would have brought Raya's count up closer to the typical big Disney release. And without Toho Cinemas, your film is pretty much DOA in Japan.
  6. This is aud dollar, right? Finger gross for its total gross prediction.
  7. Weekend Actuals (02/20-21):01 (01) ¥188,166,540 ($1.8 million), -06%, ¥1,786,049,090 ($17.0 million), Loved Like a Flower Bouquet (Tokyo Theaters, Co./Little More) WK4 02 (03) ¥150,705,300 ($1.4 million), +25%, ¥37,776,680,150 ($361.7 million), Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (Toho/Aniplex) WK1903 (---) ¥144,973,600 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥205,898,980 ($2.0 million), Liar x Liar (Asmik Ace) NEW 04 (02) ¥111,066,500 ($1.1 million), -12%, ¥494,804,200 ($4.5 million), Detective Conan: The Scarlet Alibi (Toho) WK2 05 (04) ¥x55,703,050 ($529,000), -32%, ¥347,422,490 ($3.3 million), First Love (Kadokawa) WK2 06 (06) ¥x49,413,840 ($469,000), -25%, ¥262,286,900 ($2.5 million), Under the Open Sky (Warner Bros.) WK2 07 (05) ¥x48,741,610 ($462,000), -26%, ¥442,850,190 ($4.2 million), Jukai Village (Toei) WK308 (---) ¥x46,898,400 ($445,000), 0, ¥x46,898,400 ($0.4 million), Super Sentai Ranger Movie 2021 (Toei) NEW 09 (09) ¥x42,843,000 ($407,000), -13%, ¥2,158,149,600 ($20.7 million), Poupelle of Chimney Town (Toho) WK9 10 (07) ¥x35,714,760 ($339,000), -44%, ¥1,633,071,800 ($15.7 million), Gintama: The Final (Warner Bros.) WK7Sounding like a broken record at this point, but the box office continues to thrive (remember, many theaters are closing by 8pm for another week or two) with decent debuts for the openers, especially for this time of year, and excellent holds by almost all the holdovers. >Loved Like a Flower Bouquet claims its fourth-consecutive weekend atop the box office, which is impressive, but perhaps even more impressive is that its fourth weekend is only 2% lower than its opening weekend! A total of ¥2.5 billion (~$25 million) is looking quite likely now, and I also believe it'll approach ¥3 billion (~$30 million) and possibly become Tokyo Theater Co.'s highest grossing film ever. Incredibly impressive performance going on here. >Demon Slayer: Mugen Train had been delivering excellent holds over the past 5 weeks, but it decided to do better than that with a big weekend increase. Why did it increase? I'm guessing from the announcement of Season 2 of the anime. Its run is far from over even as it nears its 20th week of release, so expect to see it high on the charts for many more weeks, and likely in the Top 10 until early Summer at least. >Liar x Liar opened well in third place (second in admissions however), selling 109,000 admissions over the weekend frame, and 155,976 admissions over its first three days in release. This one may have a shot at reaching ¥1 billion (~$10 million), which is quite good for an Asmik Ace release. >Detective Conan: The Scarlet Alibi's run has been extended beyond its 3-week run, so it might actually make a run at ¥1 billion. And if it reaches ¥1 billion, it may very become the first compilation film to ever reach this milestone. Expect a major performance when Detective Conan: The Scarlet Bullet in April (which is also opening day-and-date in over 20 territories!). I'm short on time again today, so I'll be posting the 2021 Chart Updates (Top Opening Weekends/Top Grossing Films) later this afternoon.
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