That's why I didn't comment on weekdays thread.
So much doom and gloom regarding Sonic.
I wanted to say that it will have a good increase but there were some people not ready to accept the success of Sonic.
If SMZS flops that would not be good look for India. The message sent will be bad.
I hope this movie is good and is hit at box office. Lots of homophobia in ruling government.
So, after pessimistic predictions here is my optimistic one.
Onward 65m/280m
Mulan 85m/280m
Black Widow 145m/385m
Soul 75m/340m
Jungle Cruise 45m/180m
Eternals 150m/400m
Raya 85m 5-day/300m
Total 2.165b
So,even in optimistic prediction it's a big drop.
I hate when most of the DC movies surprises are leaked 1/2 years in advance.
They should have tight security.
Shazam, Joker, BOP and WW84 script and story leaked way earlier.
I haven't seen this issue with Disney /Sony Superhero movies.
It's infuriating.
Feels like Onward and Mulan both gonna flop/underperform + flopping of Call of the wild.
Not looking good for Disney this year.
There is strong chances Disney ends up 4th at box office.
No movie looks like a sureshot 300m+ Domestic. There are always breakouts but what a tragic year of them.
Only 1 movie looks like sureshot 300m+ Domestic and that's WW84.
Pessimistic predictions for Disney : ow/Domestic total
Onward 40m/140m
Mulan 55m/140m
Black Widow 100m/270m
Soul 55m/170m
Jungle Cruise 30m/100m
Eternals 95m/250m
Raya the last dragon 70m 5-day/180m
Total Domestic :1.25b
Not looking good.
Birds of prey will finish with 220-240m WW
Marketing budget of 100m is the biggest problem here.
With 50m marketing budget for medium budget movie this could have been modest hit.
And yes marketing budget do matter. 'It' movie was made of just 35m but its marketing budget was 100m+. The studio expected better numbers.
Not very happy with the performance. Hoping that this doesn't hinder GCS movie.
DC wants to make this all part of same universe.
Flash point is only way they can do that without angering fans.
I do agree Flashpoint as first Flash film is bad in every way possible but that's the only way.
Imagine a Gotham City Sirens movie :
Margot Robbie as Harley Quinn
Lupita Nyong'o as Poison Ivy
Ana De Arams as Catwoman
It will easily to 600m+ WW. WB make it happen. This time go for big talent.
Calculation is done after the weekend. This is not BOP first weekend.
I am talking about multiplier from here onwards.
Usually the movies do 2.5x-3x more the second weekend but as this is holiday weekend. 2x-2.5x is the best case scenario.
One of the problem was no big star except Robbie and Ewan McGregor.
Deadpool was exception otherwise CBMs always try to get big actor in good supporting role.
The main problem with BOP was marketing.
Movie is actually quite good. The movie should have been marketed in more friendly way rather than on your face.
They should have marketed this as a big event.
BOP is the first Superhero female ensemble. WB had an opportunity to set a benchmark.
BOP
62 +17.3*2.5 = 105. 25m
62 +17.3*2 = 96.6m
62+17.3*1.75= 92.275m
Seems all certain to cross 90m Domestic. With good holds will cross 100m.
Not a big underperformer.
Sequel should happen.