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JWR

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Everything posted by JWR

  1. By all indications, the movie is really good. But, when your lead star is in rehab and has too many scandals to do press tours, you need to find any alternatives possible to promote the movie.
  2. Definitely. Elemental needs similar reactions to stand a chance.
  3. Damn. Maybe it could pick up a bit as it gets closer? Otherwise, this spells trouble.
  4. The reviews that come out of Cannes will be critical. Best case scenario, it has good word of mouth and walkups compensate.
  5. We'll see. But I won't be surprised. Better hope that Cannes screening helps the word of mouth and that it's walkup heavy.
  6. Like most originals and animated family films? Although even that might be optimistic...
  7. This movie was always going make more than Shazam 2. But it does further highlight how poorly the later did.
  8. Bigger OW but more competition and won't have holiday legs like ITSV had back in 2018.
  9. Doesn't help that DeSantis isn't even in his own state ATM and is flailing in the polls.
  10. I feel like Wall-E or Brave numbers would be the best case scenario for this. Maybe Monsters Inc or Ratatouille numbers if word of mouth is REALLY strong.
  11. In hindsight, some of the projections for Lightyear were beyond unfeasible. That movie has a lot of baggage that seems obvious now. It didn't help that it had very little connection it had to Toy Story was confusing in the marketing campaign as to what it actually was. Not that it makes your point any less salient, though.
  12. Spider-Verse is the least likely to be affected. It's the only release in June that I feel is a lock.
  13. In hindsight, I think Universal releasing Mario in April instead of June or July was the best case scenario Disney could have hoped for.
  14. That depends on three factors: 1. Is the word of mouth following Cannes strong or mid? 2. Is the last minute push in the marketing going to move the needle? 3. Will there be a large enough demand for families?
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