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JWR

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Everything posted by JWR

  1. Like most originals and animated family films? Although even that might be optimistic...
  2. This movie was always going make more than Shazam 2. But it does further highlight how poorly the later did.
  3. Bigger OW but more competition and won't have holiday legs like ITSV had back in 2018.
  4. Doesn't help that DeSantis isn't even in his own state ATM and is flailing in the polls.
  5. I feel like Wall-E or Brave numbers would be the best case scenario for this. Maybe Monsters Inc or Ratatouille numbers if word of mouth is REALLY strong.
  6. In hindsight, some of the projections for Lightyear were beyond unfeasible. That movie has a lot of baggage that seems obvious now. It didn't help that it had very little connection it had to Toy Story was confusing in the marketing campaign as to what it actually was. Not that it makes your point any less salient, though.
  7. Spider-Verse is the least likely to be affected. It's the only release in June that I feel is a lock.
  8. In hindsight, I think Universal releasing Mario in April instead of June or July was the best case scenario Disney could have hoped for.
  9. That depends on three factors: 1. Is the word of mouth following Cannes strong or mid? 2. Is the last minute push in the marketing going to move the needle? 3. Will there be a large enough demand for families?
  10. This. The ONLY thing that can save this is word of mouth.
  11. See... the one thing I'm betting on (and could easily be wrong about) is the fact that Spider-Verse is family-friendly, not exactly a family film the way Mario Bros and Puss in Boots were. It'll do well, but not be the default for people who want something other than a blockbuster.
  12. The reboot announcement didn't help, but I get the feeling that this would have tanked either way. After the failure of Black Adam and how rudderless the DCEU has been. If anything, this is further proof that Gunn and Safran need to hit the reset button.
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