JimmyB

Those are still huge numbers from what we seen these past couple years. Disappointment is Indy 5 only grossing 178m or Flash 108m. 220m for Beetlejuice would be the 7th highest grossing movie at the domestic box office last year.

IDK what that has to do with anything but no one saw movie after movie disappointing last year. At least GOTG3 came close to matching GOTG2 box office.

Barbenhemier saved the summer. A one off pop culture event. Hoping that happens again vs a much of movies disappointing,

Someone at Paramount called in a favor to Deadline. It takes balls to say a Barbie and Mario movie wasnt greenlight with merch sales in mind.

I was looking at last year's thread and people were locking in 300m for Indy and Flash. 400m for Mermaid. 200m plus for Mi7, The Marvels, Fast X. 100m plus for Haunted Mansion. Some 200m love for Aquaman. My point is a bunch of movies coming out in the 2nd half of 2024 will disappoint.

Theaters are already in bad shape losing another major studio to provide content would hurt....badly. From Variety: If it happens, the combination of Sony Pictures with Paramount Pictures would likely result in mass layoffs — and knock the number of major Hollywood studios from five to four,

Re-watched all 3 during Covid and TPM was like Ambien...it was putting me to sleep multiple times. AOTC is just a bad movie IMO.....the detective story, the love story...woof. ROTS is the best of the 3 by far. Watching all 3 in the same day probably makes ROTS seem like a better movie than it is but it's like the Godfather compared to the other two.

What I got right about April 2024 pretty much everything, lol. Box Office Mojo has April's box office at 420m but that's missing Tuesday's numbers so probably around 430m is the real number for April. I think Summer will be around 3.4 billion. Summer of 2022 numbers. Kids movies are going to lead the way. May isnt going to be pretty under 700m. But, June has Garfield coming in hot from Memorial weekend, Bad Boys, Inside Out 2 should lead to June just being under a billion. Maybe Horizon can pull a Sound of Freedom. July with Twisters, Deadpool and DM4 plus the holdovers from June should lead to a billion dollar month. August is filled with wild cards and late summer movie dumps. Looks like last year's August IMO. 700-800m August.

How much would it take to finish in 2nd? 7.5m? I think it'll finish in 2nd place this weekend.

If Fall Guy does Bullet Train numbers offshore that seems like a win. From Deadline: As noted above, the weekend was good for $8.7M in 38 markets and is coming in above The Lost City and just off Bullet Train in the same markets and excluding previews. Australia was a No. 1 opening with $2.9M across 132 screens, above Bullet Train and The Lost City. The release capitalized on Thursday’s Anzac Day holiday, and 40% of schools are also on holiday this week. Here in Spain, a $1M opening was a clear No. 1 and above The Lost City and Mad Max: Fury Road. In the Netherlands there was also a No. 1 start. Israel, releasing into Passover, saw Thursday deliver the biggest opening day of 2024 with $400K which marks the best non-animated opening weekend of the year (excluding previews). The start is above John Wick: Chapter 4 and The Lost City, and more than double Bullet Train. Other No. 1s include Ukraine, Belgium, Sweden, Finland and Norway. The Top 5 so far are: Australia ($2.9M), Spain ($1M), Netherlands ($556K), New Zealand ($435K) and Hong Kong ($381K).

Yeah, Im down on the box office and I was looking for a little hope...maybe false hope, lol

I dont see anything in the article. Could be Deadline Anthony tossing out a best case opening weekend after a lackluster weekend at the box office.

no way Deadline believes the summer will be under 3 billion? Also, saying 40m opening weekend for Fall Guy From Deadline- What happens now in this cruel summer box office that might not hit $3 billion? This coming weekend, it’s Universal’s The Fall Guy, starring Emily Blunt and Ryan Gosling. If it’s lucky after a SXSW world premiere over a month ago, it will hit $40M, and the expectation is that movie will hold and pull in women thanks to post-Barbie Gosling Ken. https://deadline.com/2024/04/box-office-challengers-zendaya-1235896116/

The embargo lifts May 10th a week after its release, Sony isnt going to let bad reviews hurt its opening weekend.

I dont think something like The Fall Guy bombing changes anything but what will the excuses be? During the strikes, when a lot of movies weren't opening well, a common excuse was the stars of the films can't promote the movie...i saw that excuse a lot for The Marvels. The Fall Guy has had it's stars promoting the movie same with all releases this year. Can't use that excuse anymore. @Porthos has an interesting comment in the tracking thread responding to the lack of 100m dollar openers and the strike being the cause. Movies that got delayed because of the strike to 2024 Dune 2, Ghostbusters, Challengers have come out. Kraven the Hunter keeps getting moved but do we expect much from that before the strikes. Captain America Brave New World was supposed to come out May 2024, moved to July 2024 and moved to Feb 2025 but is going to have extensive reshoots for months. So, was the delay because of the strikes or because it tested poorly and The Marvels bombing caused Disney to try and fix it. Snow White was supposed to come out March 2024 and was delayed a year again was that movie even ready to release in 2024? Deadpool was supposed to come out November 2024 and moved up. My point is, what movies that moved from 2023 because of strikes are missing or would have changed 2024 box office as of today? I agree, starting with Deadpool it looks like we have some nice hits coming but some are going to disappoint.

Prequel lovers are very vocal online will be interesting to see if they show up next weekend. 23 tickets sold for The Fall Guy on T-5 seems insanely low.

The trades have been reporting on movies budgets for over a 100 years. Which movies are seen as financial winners and losers have been a part of Hollywood forever. It's always been a dick measuring contest....from RKO Pictures to MGM to WB to Disney.

I think the Fall Guy opening to 30m in March or May would be seen as a failure either way because of the budget. The two most commonly used comps for this are The Lost City (68-74m budget) and Bullet Train (85-90m budget). Once, Variety reported the budget for Fall Guy was 125m it immediately raises expectations. From Variety - Chill factor: Leitch, whose credits include “Deadpool 2” and “Bullet Train,” has a solid track record of blending gonzo with goofy. But big-budget action films have mostly fallen out of favor at the box office. At the same time, all of those practical effects are pricey. “The Fall Guy cost $125 million and requires outsized global ticket sales to justify its existence. Verdict: Early buzz indicates a fun and funny action-adventure, but it’s hard to make these movies stick, even with two likable stars.

From Deadline - Some might snipe that for a movie of this budget to do this kind of number is meh, or really harp on “Oh, this is how much Zendaya is worth without a franchise,” however, the whole industry should just count its blessings in a funky marketplace, this weekend delivering some $65M, off 36% from the same weekend a year ago. I love Deadline Anthony. Man really missed his calling being a spokesperson for politicians. No idea how he'll handle The Fall Guy opening to 25m next weekend. https://deadline.com/2024/04/box-office-challengers-zendaya-1235896116/

Match Point and Wimbledon sure as hell didnt get an all out marketing push like Challengers. Match Point played in barely 500 theaters. Wimbledon barely played in 2k theaters. Are we trying to spin Challengers weekend as a success? The numbers are bad. Zendaya got 10m and good for her but this is the result for 10m bucks....has to be a disappointment.

That seems overly optimistic based on the preview numbers but 420m is what I predicted for the month's total in the 2024 thread. So, I'll take it, lol

This weekend's total box office will be around 50m'ish. Should be just enough to get the total box office gross for April to 400M. https://www.boxofficemojo.com/month/april/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses

IDK, Tarot feels like a dump, no buzz. At least with First Omen and Abigail I saw commercials on ESPN during the NBA games. Ive seen nothing for Tarot if I wasnt a movie nerd I wouldnt even know it was coming out.

I know its only one theater but if this forum says a movies presales are popping I like checking my local Cinemark and will see sales are doing great like the forum says. This theater is probably the busiest theater in Jacksonville and its in a nice area of town...lots of homes, apartments, restaurants and a huge outdoor mall. The area would be the prime demo for a movie like Fall Guy, Fall Guy sales are just DOA. 5 sales for two showtimes 5/1 early access. 5 sales for six showtimes 5/2 Thursday. https://www.cinemark.com/theatres/fl-jacksonville/cinemark-tinseltown-jacksonville-and-xd?showDate=2024-05-01