JimmyB

The total sales are low. Gxk started going crazy on T-3 839 sold and 1196 sold T-2.

Sunday the weekend it opened. I remember waiting in line with my mom and sister. The line was into the parking lot. We finally got tickets and were lucky to find 3 seats together. The movie ended and I just remember the dead silence as everyone left a packed theater. I wouldn't call it disappointment. It felt like everyone knew something was off but no one said anything, lol

I know expectations are low but what a fucking disaster of a weekend at the box office. One movie over 9 million. The holds for the other releases in the market place arent great. Movie Title Distributor Gross %LW Theaters Theaters Change Per Theater Total Gross Weekends In Release - (-) Star Wars Ep. I: The Phantom Menace 20th Century… $8,080,000 2,700 $2,993 $482,624,677 1,303 - (1) Challengers Amazon MGM S… $7,642,617 -49% 3,477 n/c $2,198 $29,462,046 2 - N Tarot Sony Pictures $6,500,000 3,104 $2,094 $6,500,000 1 - (3) Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire Warner Bros. $4,500,000 -38% 2,884 -428 $1,560 $188,067,000 6 - (4) Civil War A24 $3,550,396 -48% 2,689 -829 $1,320 $62,006,311 4 - (2) Unsung Hero Lionsgate $3,000,000 -61% 2,832 n/c $1,059 $13,143,890 2 - (8) Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire Sony Pictures $1,800,000 -45% 2,025 -602 $889 $109,903,000 7 - (6) The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare Lionsgate $1,600,000 -58% 2,068 -777 $774 $18,410,943 3 - (9) Dune: Part Two Warner Bros. $785,000 -62% 702 -632 $1,118 $281,344,000 10 - (13) Spy x Family Code: White Crunchyroll $245,000 -78% 407 -1,602 $602 $7,805,000 3 - (-) The First Omen 20th Century… $191,000 -73% 400 -600 $478 $19,685,566 5 - N I Saw the TV Glow A24 $116,340 4 $29,085 $116,340 1 - (-) Arthur the King Lionsgate $82,000 -67% 186 -225 $441 $25,022,345 8

Gen Z wants IP they know. Like FNAF. I think the Minecraft movie is going to be huge even if it's bad like FNAF.

Captain America was supposed to release this weekend. Get a Happy Meal today and you'll get a Captain America toy. I don't know if bad test screening or The Marvels bombing scared Disney off the date since the movie was done.

ABY was released when Christmas Eve was Sunday. That's going to depress the opening weekend of any movie. Plus, the Holiday-New Years weekdays is like box office steroids. I wouldnt compare any release over the holidays to a normal release date.

If they did a man on the street type interview and randomly asked people do you know who Emily Blunt is I'm going to bet the majority wouldnt know and the ones who do are white. If they just asked Black people well Im guessing it might take awhile to find one who knows who she is. Most people would have to be told its the lady from A Quiet Place.

The trailer gave me Hop vibes mixing live action with cartoon creatures. Yeah, DP is a good comp minus the IP. The point about movie habits...I think have changed forever. Its so different from when I was kid or even 10 years ago. I can really only use my kid and his friends as what they have interest in but they can play video games all day or scroll on their phone and never once look up at the TV. I played video games as a kid but now they have 100s of online friends to game with, Youtube, Tiktok. Tiktok changed the game. Last week, the weekend tread was debating how popular Saltburn was and I stayed out of it but my kid asked if he could watch it last year, lol. I know why, Tiktok.

I have to see what the tracking thread has for IF when they all start pulling numbers for it. The couple trackers that did pull numbers for IF looked okay. My kid has zero interest in IF which doesnt mean much. The last movie he and his friends wanted to see was FNAF. Honestly, him and his friends really dont care about going to theater unless everyone is talking about it, everyone talking about it = Tiktok @TwoMisfits has a big family maybe she can add some input into what her kids think of IF.

IF opening higher or matching Ghostbusters? IDK, about that. Shawn's long range forecast of 28-35m seems more realistic.

48% verified audience score for Tarot https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/tarot_2024

Bullet Train started at 83% Verified........84% All Audience

This is the new normal. The decline in theater attendance plus an all time high cost for tickets prices. Add in you can own an 80 inch TV for under 500 bucks and you can find pretty much any movie you want online with a few clicks. A movie needs a hook (well known IP like Garfield) or FOMO factor to get the average person or family to the theater. Kingdom of Heaven lead the first weekend of May 2005.....19 years ago the weekend total box office was 87 million. Total box office the weekend of May 2024 probably 77 million. https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/weekend/2005/05/06

Those are still huge numbers from what we seen these past couple years. Disappointment is Indy 5 only grossing 178m or Flash 108m. 220m for Beetlejuice would be the 7th highest grossing movie at the domestic box office last year.

IDK what that has to do with anything but no one saw movie after movie disappointing last year. At least GOTG3 came close to matching GOTG2 box office.

Barbenhemier saved the summer. A one off pop culture event. Hoping that happens again vs a much of movies disappointing,

Someone at Paramount called in a favor to Deadline. It takes balls to say a Barbie and Mario movie wasnt greenlight with merch sales in mind.

I was looking at last year's thread and people were locking in 300m for Indy and Flash. 400m for Mermaid. 200m plus for Mi7, The Marvels, Fast X. 100m plus for Haunted Mansion. Some 200m love for Aquaman. My point is a bunch of movies coming out in the 2nd half of 2024 will disappoint.

Theaters are already in bad shape losing another major studio to provide content would hurt....badly. From Variety: If it happens, the combination of Sony Pictures with Paramount Pictures would likely result in mass layoffs — and knock the number of major Hollywood studios from five to four,

Re-watched all 3 during Covid and TPM was like Ambien...it was putting me to sleep multiple times. AOTC is just a bad movie IMO.....the detective story, the love story...woof. ROTS is the best of the 3 by far. Watching all 3 in the same day probably makes ROTS seem like a better movie than it is but it's like the Godfather compared to the other two.

What I got right about April 2024 pretty much everything, lol. Box Office Mojo has April's box office at 420m but that's missing Tuesday's numbers so probably around 430m is the real number for April. I think Summer will be around 3.4 billion. Summer of 2022 numbers. Kids movies are going to lead the way. May isnt going to be pretty under 700m. But, June has Garfield coming in hot from Memorial weekend, Bad Boys, Inside Out 2 should lead to June just being under a billion. Maybe Horizon can pull a Sound of Freedom. July with Twisters, Deadpool and DM4 plus the holdovers from June should lead to a billion dollar month. August is filled with wild cards and late summer movie dumps. Looks like last year's August IMO. 700-800m August.

How much would it take to finish in 2nd? 7.5m? I think it'll finish in 2nd place this weekend.

If Fall Guy does Bullet Train numbers offshore that seems like a win. From Deadline: As noted above, the weekend was good for $8.7M in 38 markets and is coming in above The Lost City and just off Bullet Train in the same markets and excluding previews. Australia was a No. 1 opening with $2.9M across 132 screens, above Bullet Train and The Lost City. The release capitalized on Thursday’s Anzac Day holiday, and 40% of schools are also on holiday this week. Here in Spain, a $1M opening was a clear No. 1 and above The Lost City and Mad Max: Fury Road. In the Netherlands there was also a No. 1 start. Israel, releasing into Passover, saw Thursday deliver the biggest opening day of 2024 with $400K which marks the best non-animated opening weekend of the year (excluding previews). The start is above John Wick: Chapter 4 and The Lost City, and more than double Bullet Train. Other No. 1s include Ukraine, Belgium, Sweden, Finland and Norway. The Top 5 so far are: Australia ($2.9M), Spain ($1M), Netherlands ($556K), New Zealand ($435K) and Hong Kong ($381K).

Yeah, Im down on the box office and I was looking for a little hope...maybe false hope, lol