Sckathian
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Everything posted by Sckathian
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Tbf my original post is not clear and makes it sound like I am disagreeing with the idea the original poster stated. Disney need to get realistic and actually budget. They have bloat in every one of their creative studios, needs heavily reigned in.
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Then why isn’t Bob reducing budgets and run times? Instead their budgeting everything to be a massive hit rather than balancing out the risk.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Sckathian replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
It’s a difficult one to do comps on I guess but would be good if people had data on the other successful action blockbusters with an eighty year old lead actor. -
It has to increase its International by even less though. So it could increase its international further to make up a lower dom vs maverick. I think 1.5bn is too much but it’ll be over 1bn.
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Especially with how everything else is looking this summer. People are going to want that tangible escapism Cruise offers and they are going to remember Top Gun.
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Next weekend is going to be even nicer and competition is increasing. Am not sure how that helps here.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Sckathian replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Psst also - The Flash is also just not a popular character and once again DC has hindered themselves by skipping straight to the team ups rather than build a brand. The only way you know Ezra as Flash is if you watched JL which opened to sub 100M despite having much more popular characters. But don’t tell anyone else. Fans can be strange beasts - /Psst Over Its going to be tiring this summer seeing people wring their hands over poor performances - we are simply seeing new trends in the market but it takes a long time for studios to adjust (see The Flash which has been in the can forever) meanwhile some of the major releases we do have are just not great decisions. It’s up to Tom Cruise to save the box office once again. -
Its ratings interest me. The trailer has Barbie getting assaulted - its clearly not a family film but also their keeping the Barbie aesthetic and so theres no language that suggests a more mature film. I do wonder if their holding things back for the trailers - Farrells character might also be a doll? So the real world is maybe a bit rougher? Its a really difficult one to market clearly. I think the best WB can hope for is a decent box office and a cult hit which brings the home audience money.
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I really get fed up with this. Every film is budgeted for reshoots and they happen for a million reasons. It can have positive reactions but there are certain elements the audience responded to that they want to focus on. Reshoots are expensive and are already planned in development. I don't really trust preview claims anyway as its easy to create rumours/control your audience to generate some hype.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Sckathian replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Keaton - I don't think will have much nostalgia buy in, it's actually just been too long. Only thing I'll give here is he's before my time but I still watched his films as a kid. Affleck - I mean he's the Batman from very poorly received films and financial failures. I like him but I doubt wider audiences care. Shannon - 600M film hardly going to explode now. But as I say it's an interesting one to watch especially how reviews impact it. If it follows a GotG sequel trajectory then clearly audiences have adapted to over saturation by seeking out what's worth watching. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Sckathian replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
I don’t really understand why some are so hot on Flash being a massive hit. For me it’s got a lot going against it - definitely an interesting one. Will be good to see how it performs, GotG showed there might be some ‘let’s see if it’s good first’ for CBMs. -
I kind of get Eternals vibes. It’s super easy to get too sucked up in your own feelings especially in the creative industry. I guess the rumours Disney were super excited for it were true but I think that covered up the fac Expecting a change of marketing tactic from nostalgia to focusing on action. Mangold probably just the wrong fit for the franchise again with parralells to Eternals. Abrams probably would have been a better fit (not suggesting he was in the running or interested) in terms of the sort of action sequences Indiana needs.
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Yeah this has so much going against it. They already tried the nostalgia sequel and it became an example of just bad filmmaking in general rather than even a bad sequel. CGI young Indie, not convinced audiences have embraced this technology. Personally I think it’s too much like the studio patting you on the head and saying “see!” - Star Wars is the only one to really embrace it and it’s not exactly flying right now. Captain Marvel it worked but I suspect a lot of the audience just didn’t notice. It’s amazing how bad Lucas Film took their understanding gof why Solo bombed. I like PWB but she’s not exactly star quality for the secondary lead in a 300M film? Finally it’s a direct sequel to a 1980s franchise. How it got that budget is beyond me - obviously it’s mostly Harrison and their CGI recreation but that’s a reason not to go into development to begin with. Probably opens decentish but unless it gets a surprise audience response it’ll drop fast.
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The Disney Thread | Happy 90th to Donald Duck!
Sckathian replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in Box Office Discussion
There’s literally zero point breaking streaming into domestic and non-domestic. It’s not like movies where you get a different cut. You are the platform holder, D+ is struggling here. -
The Disney Thread | Happy 90th to Donald Duck!
Sckathian replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in Box Office Discussion
Subscriber loss is expected but they still have no announcements to change that. They continue with their failing Star Wars/Marvel strategy whilst they undermine their kids films. Disney + is not a good offering and has just proven to be an error on their part. -
The Disney Thread | Happy 90th to Donald Duck!
Sckathian replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in Box Office Discussion
I would hate to be his lawyer as pretty clear JM is driving the messaging and it’s awful. -
I still think peoples expectations are being coloured by low expectations. It seems to be performing in the range you would expect if we hadn’t had the Ant Man debacle. anyway Reddit posts are always funny to see. Some people don’t understand data.
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GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL. 3 WEEKEND THREAD
Sckathian replied to Eric S'ennui's topic in Numbers and Data
Just back from watching it. This is not a dark film, mental that critics would claim that. Only negative is what I think most felt - Gamora had no real place in the film, she would have been better left dead honestly.