emoviefan
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Posts posted by emoviefan
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3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
I think Furiosa gonna end well below 4. Something like 3.75M.
Awful trending.Once again says more about GA interest in the movie than it says about moviegoing itself. The interest was probably never there.
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2 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
I just hope they both have better than expected IMs. I guess one thing I have never gotten in the world of box office in the modern day, and I swear I'm not judging, is like....who buys tickets for Garfield six weeks in advance? Who buys tickets for either of these movies even six days in advance? The only time I've ever bought tickets more than a week in advance are the Star Wars sequels and the Batman because I was going with large groups. I understand they are very predictive and good numbers and I appreciate our trackers! I just don't see why 99% of people aren't just waiting until Saturday of a long weekend to buy Garfield tickets. You'd think the sample size of advanced tickets for a movie like Garfield would be so small that predicting the weekend total and IM would be impossible, but I know it is not.
I have been saying that for awhile.As big a movie person as I am I do not buy tickets weeks in advance. Last time was probably EndGame. I have not bought my Furiosa ticket yet because you know it's a 3 day weekend and I have nothing major planned and I am sure tickets will not be hard to get.
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The thing with Furiosa is this always had the potential to happen. We hope it was not going to but it is. The Casuals do not give a shit and they probably never did. The Qurom metrics were pointing to that result. Enough of them saw Fury Road to get it to 150+ DOM and 375+WW but they did not love it and probably have not even thought or cared about it since. It's just us Movie Nerds and Cinephiles that do. This is just where we are right now it sucks. A bunch of movies are coming out right now that GA just do not give a shit about enough to bother seeing in a theater. Apes was the only one that could buck that trend to a large enough number to at least get to 100 DOM since GXK. Like I said earlier if BB ROD and IO 2 and Quiet Place should all do well next month and seem to have a lot more going for them than this month's movies. If they do not do well then not sure what to say.
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2 minutes ago, YM! said:
Got to say with Furiosa and Garfield looking to underperform, and most of May’s slate: if Bad Boys and IO2 get the right reception - I honestly wouldn’t be surprised at a breakout for either. I mean something has to fill in seats, right?
If IO 2 and BB ROD do not break assuming good reviews and buzz for both, Be afraid be very afraid. It would be even worse than we fear and think around here.
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10 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:
FLORIDA
FURIOSA
Thursday
T-1
SHOWINGS
SEATS SOLD
TOTAL SEATS
PERCENT SOLD
560
3854
109578
3.5%
*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST
SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY
142 SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY
0
COMPS
T-1
(1.250x) of Civil War $3.62M
(0.793x) of Planet Apes $3.97M(0.475x) of Godzill and Kong $4.51M
Comps average: $4.03M
Just yikes. Not sure if this gets to $4M for Thursday
Sigh I get all the reasons this might not break out but the way some of these movies seem to be falling off the cliff in the home stretch anymore. The reviews and buzz should be good enough to get close to Fury Road numbers even if the casuals and GA do not bite. They did not really embrace that either.
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6 minutes ago, MysteryMovieMogul said:
Theater culture. Not, like, political culture war. There's more than one type of culture.
You mean in a war between people who go to the theaters vs those or do not. Okay....
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1 hour ago, dudalb said:
Nice going with the audience stereotypes.
If you don't like Westerns, just be honest and say so.
Holy Shit dude. I do not know where in my post you got that I do not like westerns. I do. Or that I do not watch and enjoy Yellowstone despite being a somewhat younger white man who is def much less conservative. I do. But that is the core audience it caters too. And that is the audience I am sure WB was hoping for to fuel the success for this movie. My original post was referring to a earlier post that El Sid made about not discounting that audience going despite the reviews in order to thumb their noses at the snooty critics.
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Just not sure the Core Yellowstone audience of Conservative Old White Men is going to get off their butt's to see a 3 hour movie with these reviews just to thumb their nose at those snooty liberal elitist critics. If it was maybe 1 hour shorter. And that is the only audience that may even be interested at this point. Yeah this movie may be in trouble.
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1 hour ago, Cookson said:
Kinda weird GxK might miss 200. Its holds have been great for like 2-3 weeks now. Would like to see it do like 1.3 this weekend.
With this being a holiday weekend and WB having another movie coming out where they can just shift money around between the two movies it should have a good hold and next weekend having no wide releases it will get close.
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I think the disappointment with Furiosa is that 50 for the 4 day weekend is looking unlikely even though Keyser earlier said he thought it would. But unless it just fall off a cliff in these last few days it should still do 45 or so for the 4 days. Which for a prequel without Max and Charlize in the title role is not bad. Once again the budget is the problem. But they greenlit it knowing that Fury Road was not a monster performer either. It's their money.
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3 minutes ago, Spidey Freak said:
Without Charlize, ppl didn't really want this if it wasn't going to be Fury Road great at the least. All things considered, the numbers are fine
As Cmaster said, the real shocker is Garfield. Did IF hurt it that bad? Considering IF itself has a mid performance instead of breaking out, looks like families checked out until IO2
Like I said I do not think Garfield is the shocker some think it is. Universal and Illumanation might have been able to generate some excitement for it but Sony nope.
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4 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
Furiosa sales are slowing down because it was always going to be a product of cinephile fan rush, a Mad Max prequel without Mad Max is probably topping out around 40m OW these days. Garfield numbers much more shocking and shitty. Thought that was a legit 150m grosser.
Honestly I felt the same way about Garfield you felt about the Fall Guy. There never seemed to be any real excitement for it or reason for it to break out. Family audiences are being choosy and holding on to their money until IO2 and DM4. As for Furiosa not shocking either just would have liked it to break out a little bit this weekend and shock a little life into the coma of a BO. June should be better. Bad Boys, IO2 and QP: Day One should all do well. and all 3 have the potential to make more than the top movie this month which is going to be Apes it seems.
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4 minutes ago, Porthos said:
I... I don't think the D&W ticket drop is mattering all that much. It's not like Furiosa was showing much signs of acceleration (outside of @abracadabra1998 market) before DP3 tickets went on sale.
Personally I think the slightly less stellar than expected reviews is mattering much more.
Yeah but even that is proving the thin line with moviegoers anymore. 85% on RT is not even close to being bad but because it is not Fury Road great it's like people go eh I can wait to streaming. It's really frustrating.
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The thing with Furiosa is it does not seem like a Walkup movie. This is not a Casual audience type franchise and those are the franchises that have strong walkups. Bad Boys is a walkup/casual friendly franchise so I think that will really break out in two weeks.
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11 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:
FLORIDA
FURIOSA
Thursday
T-2
SHOWINGS
SEATS SOLD
TOTAL SEATS
PERCENT SOLD
560
3712
109578
3.4%
*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST
SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY
473 SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY
55
COMPS
T-2
(1.435x) of Civil War $4.16M
(0.889x) of Planet Apes $4.45M(0.546x) of Godzill and Kong $5.18M
Comps average: $4.60M
Yeah, idk this had a great pace up until Deadpool x Wolverine just sucked the air out of the room. Don't really know if $5M previews is happening anymore.
This really proves how razor thin the line is on current theatrical movie going. Disney could have waited a little longer on DP and W sales but nope do it now and kill the breakout BO chances for the R Rated movie coming out this week because people spent their current movie budget for something that comes out 2 months from now.
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I still don't know if James Gunn and/or Marvel should be flattered or sue based on how hard they are trying to sell this as a Guardians ripoff down to the August opening and everything.
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Said a few days ago this weekend should be the first to go over 100 m total since easter weekend but if Furiosa does not break out much past the fan base and Garfield does not explode in walkups from families it might need the holiday Monday to do it. Will be interesting.
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1 hour ago, Asyulus said:
Unpopular opinion but I'm digging the visuals of this one. It's very distinct from other Hollywood tentpoles and it gives me a Twisted Metal/videogame-ish vibe which suits the apocalyptic nature of Mad Max well.
Honestly I do not understand the complaints. I did my rewatch of Fury Road the other night and there is a ton of noticeable CG in that too. And people basing it on watching clips on their phone or computer is silly.
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27 minutes ago, John Marston said:
This movie is fucked. Universal should have swapped its date with DM4
Would have made way more sense on the 4th of July weekend esp with it's appeal to the middle of the country. DM 4 would have been even better counter to DP and W. Still think it can open big on the 19th though if the reviews are good. The bigger the opening at least may buffer the second week drop.
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30 minutes ago, YM! said:
Did a Q&D for Garfield to monitor growth and with EA, it’s currently at 72 tickets (however only 22 tickets are for Thursday). Not seeing any movement for Garfield at any of the theaters, feels like it’s dead. It should get to a total similar to IF T-6 hours before opening (so idk like Thursday at 6:00 AM) but that’s mainly because of EA.
Never understood the feeling some had that this would be some mini Mario like breakout. Eh maybe it will blow up in Walkups.
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4 hours ago, Eric the IF said:
We're really going to listen to a bunch of blue checks over a movie that still opened to relatively fine numbers? Sure. Okay. Yeah.
Yeah a mid by all accounts movie like IF opens above 30 million is not an example of the WOES of theatrical moviegoing.
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36 minutes ago, WorkingonaName said:
This could be avoided if Hollywood wasn't filled with nonces.
I mean Sharon Stone and Liam Neeson coming out and saying Kevin Spacey should be welcomed back is probably not helping the perception.
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31 minutes ago, Flip said:
This should move up to July 12th
It would make sense but Universal has DM 4 releasing on the 3rd so I assume they want to spread their movies out. I think they feel they can counterprogram DP and W in that second weekend esp if it does hit big with Red State America who may not care as much about the Comic Book movie.
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1 hour ago, excel1 said:
Now feeling unshakable confidence we are heading for a Jurassic World type of huge break out if this is any good. Positive review and I think $100m + opening is possible.
This entire thing with blasting country rock, roaring Dodge Rams, Glenn Powell swaggering in a cowboy hat, and tornados destroying everything is going to be such a mid-summer vibe from Wakita to Queens.
If this breaks out that big on the 19th and does not get killed by DP &W the following week and acts as counter programing to it we may see some of the biggest box office numbers since the same time last year with Barbenheimer. Would love to see it.
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Yeah been thinking that. That's the Covid affect. Those people are lost and maybe never coming back except for the occasional water cooler movie like DP and W or some of the other big hits like No Way Home, TG Maverick, Avatar, Mario Barbie ect.