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Squire

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Everything posted by Squire

  1. Reviews are really positive so far. Hard to really quantify YouTuber reactions. We’ll know soon enough if the movie has traction with general movie goers, which is always the real test any movie needs to pass. Dune 2 did it earlier this year. Now it’s Furiosa’s turn to go through the fire.
  2. Yeah, reviews are really strong so far. Not as great as Fury Road, but don’t need to be. Still early, though, and a lot of reviews will crop up in the coming days. Scores will likely fluctuate a bit, but the fear of bad or really mixed reviews should be gone.
  3. Seems MC hasn’t counted the mixed reviews yet. Weird. Still be surprised if the MC is lower than 80 when all is said and done.
  4. If the Variety and Hollywood Reporter reviews are to be believed, not even close. Could be in for a significant downshift in critical reception compared to Fury Road.
  5. “Hate to be a grouch when legions of social media film bros are breathlessly worshipping at the altar of The Demi-God of Cinema, George Miller, but Furiosa is a big step down from Mad Max: Fury Road. Whereas the 2015 instant action classic had grit, gravitas and turbo-charged propulsion that wouldn’t quit, this fifth installment in the dystopian saga grinds on in fits and starts, with little tension or fluidity in a narrative whose shapelessness is heightened by its pretentious chapter structure.” That’s the intro to THR review. Ouch.
  6. I sadly don’t have a lot of confidence in this given all the production turmoil. I also question whether it is a good idea to set a prequel series that is 10,000 years in the past, especially since the costume design resembles what we saw in the movies (fashion stayed the same for 10,000 years?).
  7. It probably helps that part of D&D’s failure was due to its release date. If they had released it in December 2022 as counter-programming to Avatar 2, I think it could have done $350-$400M WW.
  8. War also made $490M WW, and $112M of that came from China, which won’t be repeated this time. Probably only $25M this time. It’s obviously early, but I can see a scenario where this makes $100M less than War given the current box office environment around the world.
  9. Any update on how this movie might be performing internationally? That could really be the determining factor on whether Disney makes a sequel. Even with a 3x multiplier domestically (and assuming a $55M OW), that results in $165M. So, the movie would need another $235M internationally to break even. I know the movie was looking to disappoint in China, but not sure elsewhere.
  10. And is this the director we really want directing a Zelda movie? No room for misses with that one, and Ball doesn’t seem like a slam dunk to me.
  11. That’s one of the bad things about RT. If a movie is not in the 90s, then it isn’t “good enough” to go see. People see a score in the 70s and 80s and assume the movie is mediocre.
  12. I have nothing against Bell being involved, but I still think live action is the wrong way to go for a Zelda movie.
  13. That’s not that great at this stage. Edit: Up to 67 now, so much improved and more in line with RT reviews now.
  14. We’ll see. Tickets go on sale on Wednesday, so we’ll soon find out whether the hype goes beyond cinephiles.
  15. He’s a very snobbish critic and more aligned with Film Twitter. I do trust that the movie is good, but Ehrlich’s review alludes to what I think will be the movie’s biggest challenge, which is comparison to Fury Road. And the further challenge, which a lot of people forget, is that critics and Film Twitter loved Fury Road, but most general audiences that saw it just liked it. While not a surefire metric, Quorum numbers for the movie are also pretty bad for a movie less than 30 days from release. I’m thinking this movie may be Fall Guy 2.0.
  16. I get the feeling this movie is gonna suffer from comparisons to Fury Road. People going in expecting more of the same are gonna be disappointed. That’s why I think Vieweanon is reporting some mixed reactions from people that have seen it. And, we’ve already seen how the trailers have been received with all the complaints about the CGI.
  17. Maybe this is controversial, but I don’t think Furiosa is gonna open that high. I’m thinking more like $35-40M. I can’t remember the source, but it was reported screenings had a divisive audience reaction because the movie isn’t paced or structured like Fury Road. Miller has basically confirmed the comparison with Fury Road in interviews. Plus, it seems the trailers haven’t worked for a good chunk of people. My prediction is the movie becomes a Dial of Destiny situation where mixed reception out of Cannes leads to poor pre-sales and fan excitement for the movie.
  18. I have to think Legendary is feeling vindicated about throwing a fit about WB’s day-and-date streaming strategy in 2021 after how Dune and Kong have performed in March.
  19. Kind of a bummer if it does. People will be talking about Dune 2 in 20 years. Pretty sure nobody will remember this Kong movie.
  20. Looks like a great hold. Only 12% drop from last Thursday.
  21. I’d like to see it hit $700 million WW.
  22. If it can have a solid hold this weekend, should be a good sign of strong legs in April.
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