Filmovie

These are Baumer's exact words. So WWZ counts. (unfortunately, I put NO to aswers A, B and D) MU is a prequel but it's a sequel in a Boxoffice prospective.

if Bo.com's weekend projections hold we'll have two preseason questions' answers. Question 13: Will any of the top 7 grossing sequels domestically this summer have a second weekend drop of less than 44.5%? YES - MU does. 17) A) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com gross more than 150 million dollars this summer? YES - WWZ will likely hit +180 mln B ) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com open to more than 40 mill? YES - WWZ did C) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com have a second weekend drop of less than 47%? YES - NYSM did D) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com have an opening day of more than 18 mill? YES - WWZ did

If WHD disappoints there are good news for TLR and PR

Predictable numbers: 1. This has been the best June of all time so far and by far 2. Almost all movies have matched their original expectations ( Purge, Internship, MOS, MU) or surpassed them ( NYSM, WWZ) This situation couldn't continue, unfortunately. Boxoffice bomb and boxoffice disappointments are always around the corner.

1) What film finishes number 3? WHD 2) Will WHD open to more than 38.5 mill? NO 3) Will The Heat open to more than 42.5 mill NO 4) Will Monster's University have BOTH a Friday increase of more than 35% and a Saturday increase of more than 30%? NO 5) Will WWZ fall less than 55.5%? NO 6) Will MOS decrease more than 50%? NO 7) Will any film in the top 12 have a Friday increase of more than 52.5%? YES 8) Will NYSM fall more than 30%? YES 9) Will TITE have a Saturday increase of more than 20%? YES 10) Will either WHD or Heat increase by more than 2.9% on Saturday? NO 11) Will WWZ and NYSM combine to make more than MOS, The Purge, TITE and FF6? NO 12) Will The Heat get at least an A- Cinemascore? YES 10/12 3000 11/12 5000 12/12 7000 Bonus 1: What will the top 10 cume be for the weekend? 169.555 MLN Bonus 2: What will The Heat and WHD combine to gross? 69.432 MLN Bonus 3: If you add up the % drops of WWZ and NYSM, what do they add up to? 97.456 % Bonus 4: What finishes in spots: 6 TITE 7 NYSM 10 THE PURGE 13 IRONMAN3 14 EPIC filmovie: Will WWZ have a Friday increase of more than 40%? NO Will FF6 have a Thursday decrease of more than 5.5%? YES Will The Purge finish in the top 11 YES

MU: 200 mln YES

It doesn't. I was simply trying to be cautious because I didn't want to deceive myself. I'd love if these number don't drop!

We will have real estimated numbers in 19 hours. We will have reliable numbers in 12 hours. How can someone trust these figures? Come on, 32 could become easily 28.... or 34? WWZ will stay in the 17-24 range. A 6-7 million difference on Friday can give 16-20 milion difference on the OW.

14 mln and 48 mln Weekend for MOS

November 2005

A) Before Midnight: 5 mill YES B] Now You See Me: 102 mill YES C) After Earth: 62 milll NO D) IM3: 403.5 mill YES E) The Purge: 61 mill YES F) Pain and Gain: 49.4 mill ---

1) Will the first place film make at least 10 mill more than the second place film? YES 2) Will MU open to more than 65 mill? YES 3) Will WWZ open to less than 50 mill? NO 4) Will MOS drop less than 55%? NO 5) Will MOS's Saturday drop less than 45% from last Saturday? YES 6) Will WWZ make more than 2 mill at midnights/sneaks? NO 7) Will any film in the top 12 besides Bling Ring have a Friday increase of more than 105%? NO 8) Will Bling Ring make more than 3.5 mill NO 9) Will MU fall less than 5% on Sat? NO 10) Will WWZ drop more than 25% Sunday? YES 11) Will NYSM fall less than 38% NO 12) Will TITE have a Friday increase of more than 65%? YES 13) Will WWZ and MU combine to make more than 100 mill? YES 14) What film finishes in first? MU 12/14 4000 13/14 5000 14/14 7000 What finishes in spots 2 MOS 3 WWZ 7 INTERNSHIP 8 STID 9 EPIC 2000 each 3000 bonus if all correct Bonus 2: Whats the combine gross of MOS and TITE 64,777 MLM Bonus 3: What % does MOS drop? 57,567 %

Yes, I agree. So far we had only two +50 mln OD (MOS+IM3) and so the answer should be "NO" until an another movie has a +50mln OD

1) Will MOS make more than 7.5 mill at midnight? YES 2) Will MOS make more than 42 mill OD? YES 3) Will MOS make more than 47.5 mill OD? ABSTAIN 4) Will MOS make more than 98.5 mill OW? YES 5) Will MOS make more than 110 mill OW? YES

1) Will MOS have one of the top 3 opening days for June of all time? 5000 YES 2) Will MOS make at least 5 mill from early/midnights? 3000 YES 3) Will MOS make less than 45 mill OD? 3000 YES 4) Will MOS make more than 15 mill OW in UK? 2000 YES 5) Will MOS have a WW opening of more than 175 mill? 2000 YES 6) Will MOS make more than 90 mill OW? 2000 YES 7) Will MOS have a Saturday drop? 2000 YES 8) Will MOS make more than 100 mill OW? 5000 YES 9) Will MOS make more than 10 mill at IMAX domestically? YES 10) Will MOS have a per theater average of more than $25,000? YES 11) Will MOS have a cinemascore of at least A? YES 12) Will MOS make at least 26.1 mill on Sunday? YES 13) Will MOS make at least 30 mill on Sunday? YES 14) Will MOS drop less than 25.5% on Sunday? YES 15) Will MOS make at least 90 mill more than IM3 and After Earth combined? YES 16) Will MOS make more than 120 mill OW? 2000 NO 17) Will This is the End make more than 3.5 mill for sneaks? 2000 NO 18) Will TITE make more than 10 mill OD? 2000 YES 19) Will TITE drop more than 32.2% on Thurs? 2000 YES 20) Will TITE have a 5 day of more than 40 mill? 2000 YES 21) Will TITE have a Friday increase of more than 75% NO 22) Will TITE's 5 day be at least half of MOS's 3 day? NO 23) Will the top 10 films combine to make more than 170 million? YES 24) Will The Purge drop less than 62.5%? NO 25) Will The Purge finish top three? NO 26) Will The Purge finish with at least half of TITE's 3 day? YES 27) Will The Internship drop more than 45%? YES 28) Will Nikki's first Friday report come out before 1pm PST time (just go to deadline and see when she posts her tentpoles)? YES 29) Will Nikki's first posting about MOS contain the phrase "NOT A RECORD" or mention anything that resembles MOS not setting any kind of record? NO 30) Will Nikki's first "projection" about MOS be higher than the number reported with official Friday estimates? 3000 NO 31) On the first three days, will BKB post anywhere at anytime about how the film is not meeting expectations from a box office standpoint? NO 32) Will the Weekend Numbers thread (this starts with Thurs midnights and goes until Sunday estimates) reach 250 pages by 9AM on Monday? YES 33) Will NYSM drop less than 40%? YES 34) Will any film in the top 10 drop less than 15% on Wednesday? YES 35) Will any film in the top 12 (besides Before Midnight) drop less than 35%? NO 36) Will Before Midnight make more than 2.5M? NO 37) Will IM3 drop less than 50%? NO 38) Will AE, TH3 and TGG all drop more than 50%? YES 39) Will The Internship jump more than 30% on Saturday? YES 40) Will The STID jump at least 60% on Friday? YES 35/40 5000 36/40 8000 37/40 10,000 38/40 12,000 39/40 15,000 40/40 25,000 Bonus 1: What will MOS's weekend gross be? 114,765MLN Bonus 2: What will TITE's weekend gross be (3Day)? 26,666 MLN Bonus 3: What will TITE's 5 day be? 42,654 MLN Bonus 4: What will AE, TH3 and Mud's combined weekend gross be? 6,567 MLN Bonus 5: What finishes in spots: 6 EPIC 8 STID 10 TH3 11 TGG 13 MUD 2000 each and a bonus of 5000 if all correct Bonus 6: On Wednesday, what finishes in spots: 3 FF6 4 PURGE 6 EPIC 2000 each one correct and a bonus of 3000 if all three correct.

6) Watchmen

Due regular time: All questions worth 1000 UOS 1) What film finishes number 1? THE PURGE 2) Will FF6 finish in one of the top 3 spots? YES 3) Will After Earth fall less than The Happening did in it's second weekend? YES 4) Will any film in the top 12 have a Friday increase of more than 83.5%? YES 5) Will any film in the top 12 have a Saturday increase of more 51.6%? NO 6) Will The Purge open to more than 20 mill? YES 7) Will The Internship open to more than 20 mill? NO 8) Will NYSM fall less 39.4%? NO 9) Will The East increase more than 200%? NO 10) Will FF6 have a Saturday increase of more than 43.2%? YES 11) Will IM3 drop less than 40%? NO 12) Will STID increase more than 65% on Friday YES 13) Will The Hangover 3 make more than 50 mill internationally? YES 14) Will The Internship have a better Sunday decrease than The Purge? YES 15) Will TGG stay in the top 10? YES What finishes in spots: 1 THE PURGE 2 FF6 3 NYSM 12 YEW JAVAANI HAI DEWAANI 15 BEFORE MIDNIGHT 2000 each spot correct 5000 bonus if all 5 correct Bonus 2: What will the cume be for the top three films? 58,678 MLN Bonus 3: What will Epic, The Croods and Oz gross combined for the weekend? 11,567 MLN Makeup questions for anyone who has missed one week so far. I missed Week 1. All questions due by Thurs at 11:59 pm All questions worth 1000 points 1) Will This is the End make more than 5 mill on Wednesday (includes midnights/early) on Tues YES 2) Will This is the End drop more than 30% on Thurs? YES 3) Will Epic have an increase of more than 40% on Saturday (this weekend) YES 4) Will The Purge drop more than 72.5% on Monday? YES 5) Will NYSM have a Tuesday increase of more than 25%? NO 6) Will After Earth have a Tuesday increase of more than 25%? NO 7) Will The Internship or the Purge have a Tuesday increase of more than 7.5%? NO 8) Will FF6 drop more than 25% on Wed? NO 9) Will The Hangover 3 drop less than The Purge on Wed? YES 10) Will film in the top 12 will have the best Tuesday increase? TGG 8/10 2000 9/10 3000 10/10 5000 Bonus 1: We will only go by whatever information is available to us by Tuesday June 11th. What films internationally (for the weekend) finish in spots: 2 AFTER EARTH 3 FF6 4 ST2 3000 each bonus of 4000 if all three correct. Good luck. Bonus number 2: What will This is the end gross for midnights/early shows on Tuesday? 1 MLN

The Happening

In Italy TH3 is really doing insane numers: 4.2 mln euro in 3 days (thur-sat). By comparision TH2 made 3.2 mln in its 5-days debut (wed-sun). But today it's Sunday, the biggest day here. So it's going to make +6 mln euro in 4days (almost a +100% increase on TH2's first 5 days, if it's strong today, +100 is still possible). Its result is on par with FF6's one week ago.

Toy Story 3

3 mln $ in 2 days (+120% over TH2, however it had wed-thur while TH3 had thur-fri), it's really doing a lot of business in Italy. Didn't expect such a breakout after FF6 success. It's without any doubt going do outgross TH2 5days Opening today.

It's still to early to say where it's headed to go, 400 mln would be amazing (considering possible sub-120 mln DOM)

In Italy it had a fantastic start (OD 1,4 mln $)), it's really impressive, it's 75% better than the OD of TH2 and on par with FF6 (without previews).

Alll questions are based on the drops regarding the 3 DAY WEEKEND FROM MEMORIAL WEEKEND. 1) What film will finish #1? AFTER EARTH 2) Will After Earth finish with at least 10 mill more than NYSM? NO 3) Will TH3 drop more than 50%? YES 4) Will Epic increase more than 50% on Saturday? YES 5) Will ST finish higher than TH3? YES 6) Will NYSM make more than 10 mill OD? YES 7) Will TGG drop more than 45%? YES 8) Will The East have a theater average of more than $5000? YES 9) Will F6 drop less than 50%? NO 10) Will F6 increase more than 25% on Saturday? YES 11) Will After Earth have an increase on Saturday of more than 10%? NO 12) Will Fast 6 make more that ST, TH and Epic combined? NO Bonus 1: What will Fast 6 gross on Friday? 10.734 MLN Bonus 2: What will the top 3 films gross? 107.897 MLN Bonus 3: What will finish in positions: 2 FAST AND FURIOUS 6 5 EPIC 9 MUD 13 OBLIVION

A) choose one film that you did not put on your list. Predict what it's final gross will be. Your deadline to pick this film and predict the gross is the day before it comes out. For example, if you choose The Purge, then your deadline to predict its final gross is Thursday June 6th at 11:59pm. This will give you time to use tracking to decide what it will open to and subsequently what it will finish with. The Internship: 35,456 mln