My ranges for all atm:
AIW: 575-650
BP: 415-500
DP2: 300-350
AM2: 200-250
VENOM: 150-200
AQM: 150-200
DARKP: 125-175
ITSV: 125-175
I definitely think this will be the peak gross year of the genre for a very long time.
Is this in order of release date or which one gets there first?
My guess:
191. Black Panther
192. A Wrinkle in Time
193. Infinity War
194. Deadpool
195. Solo
196. Incredibles 2
197. Jurassic World 2
198. Ant Man and the Wasp
199. Mission: Impossible - Fallout
200. The Grinch or Fantastic Beasts 2 (Grinch by release date, maybe FB2 by which gets there first)
Give a slight chance for The Greatest Showman and/or Venom to throw a wrench in there.
R huh? Wow, this really is trying to be Die Hard knockoff I guess. I definitely think this is a ding against its box office, a movie like this would do better as a PG-13. And The Rock's only three R's are also his few box office duds DOM this decade (Faster, Pain and Gain, and Baywatch).
I feel like this movie has more potential to harm her draw power/image at this point. I can definitely see a chunk of her fanbase being put off by this.
That seems unlikely. 50m or so above RN is about the best we can hope for DOM, so that would still leave OS to have to increase like 270m+ from RN for 1b. Not sure what would cause such a massive spike, especially since RN already did well in China so I don't think it has a lot of room to jump much there.
It is crazy, but we do have to consider no CBM last year opened above 150, and CW was already two years ago so it might not be the best comparison for pre-sales. Though certainly not irrelevant either, pre-sales were already a huge thing back then too. If it's outpacing CW and it's not a sequel like that was, I can't imagine it's opening to less than 160.
Levi doesn't have the build though of a Cavill or Evans or Hemsworth. Doesn't matter how much he works out, he's not gonna get that kind of physique. Not a big deal to me, it's just interesting because it would be a huge deal to most if they had cast him to play say Superman. And like I said, Shazam is probably even more overbuffed than Supes in comics.
Given Shazam is an even more overbuffed superhero than Superman in the comics, it's kind of funny they went with a guy who probably has one of the most average joe physiques in Hollywood.
If the marketing remains as balls to the wall nuts as this first trailer and the film is up to par with 4 and 5, then I can see 250 happening DOM. Maybe even as high as 275. Would be awesome to see Cruise finally score a 300 grosser, but that's probably too out of reach for the franchise.
Yeah, still not feeling the hype here. SB spot reception seems pretty muted/poor. Maybe reviews are great and its a WOM hit, but as of now can't see an opening above 25.