GiantCALBears
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Posts posted by GiantCALBears
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41 minutes ago, junkshop36 said:
Going to see FB in a couple of hours. Not super pumped or anything. I enjoyed the HP movies for the most part and it looks solid so we'll see.
If it hits 75m OW I can see it doing 190-200m DOM
If this is a multi film franchise, that's a weak domestic opening for a first film. Really no other way to spin it. Or your argument could be the USA continues to be less important for certain properties that have gone global.
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1 hour ago, Christmas Baumer said:
Fantastic Beasts is not getting a2.9x.
I guess the ? is how long can this stay relevant over the next month. How many theaters will this still be in by the time RO comes out?
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16 minutes ago, thunder storm said:
Is $21.2m for Friday day really that huge?
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25 minutes ago, filmlover said:
God help us all when actual numbers come in in a few hours.
I'll be watching the movie then though so...
Damage is already done.
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Just now, Fullbuster said:
The Hardship of Fandom
He was very lukewarm to FB, imagine his predict had he felt like it was another Potter or Hunger games
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2 minutes ago, Noctis said:
I predicted $105m/$270m
I'm surprised given how skeptical you were to begin with.
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3 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:
451m is even better
Nah $449m
(no fudging Disney for the love of god).
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So you guys think I should see DS before FB this weekend? Heavily leaning that way.
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Just now, Water Bottle said:
450 million about. Wouldn't be surprised it's lower or higher but the trailer are great, the buzz is good, and even though it's a spinoff it has familiar Star Wars characters and objects. I think it has a story audiences will care about.
In Disney I trust.
Is the implication there that FB doesn't really have a story the GA would care about?
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1 minute ago, Water Bottle said:
This is not a Harry Potter film. This is a Fantastic Beasts film. We don't know how stable this series is yet but frankly the reception to this event among the hardcore hasn't been what it needed to be for me to be confident about stability.
People seem to think that just because it's set in the same universe, it'll follow the same rules as the main series. Nope. Same universe, different franchises.
WB I like your opinions, whats your current feeling on RO? Curious...
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Do we have a preview database? Any reasonable comparables guys?
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Already out of likes & it's 9am PAT. DA Fuq Fantastic Beasts?!
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2 minutes ago, John Marston said:
sure this will be a little less frontloaded than the DH movies since it won't open as high but its still going to be frontloaded. Why would it have legs?
I guess the argument is holidays plus weaker opening= slightly better legs? I don't really get it either.
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1 minute ago, MovieMan89 said:
This is the foreshadowing to Rouge One, y'all have been warned. I knew the two spin offs this Holiday were going to disappoint everyone's box office expectations.
Is Rouge One the spin off to Moulin Rouge?
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12 minutes ago, Nutella of Arabia said:
That feels like an insane reach to me. I've literally never thought about TPM while watching TFA.
If anything it's (almost) a rip off of ANH.
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Dude, you were abrasive first. People have different opinions, it's not a huge deal. Take it down a notch.
I put him on ignore so I'm done man, no worries. -
If R1 disappoints its core audience the same way this did (and, for that matter, THE HOBBIT did), then yes, of course Baumer's club becomes a likely success. But one new would-be franchise failing to meet expectations doesn't automatically translate to the same thing happening with another.
It doesn't automatically translate but to say it's a good or OK indicator is not looking at the facts and again this is a domestic discussion since we all know internationally they both were always going to do well.-
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Lol. He called me out specifically in a post. I hadn't mentioned or said anything to him. He also called me out for no reason and is gloating like a fucking child over who knows what because he won't explain it.
You want to tell someone to settle down, then you are talking to the wrong person. Get it right next time or send me a PM if you want to discuss it further, but don't call me out publicly if you can't even get it right.
You've been basically trolling Baumer, myself and others in the RO under 450m, I'm not the only one to get annoyed by it.-
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And I answered your question, and looks like I am absolutely correct in what I told you, yet for whatever reason you called me out as if I was wrong about something.
Now of course you don't want to address it or talk about it. Huh.... wonder why that is? What was I wrong about in my response to you?
Address what? I don't even know what you are talking about. If you were pessimistic on here on FB you will be closer than those (like you) who were optimistic. End of discussion. -
Just now, Michael Gary Scott said:
This opening has nothing to do with how Rogue One will perform.
Spin off from a popular franchise that was hyped well beyond tracking. No similarities at all, got it.
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So are you going to actually address how you are wrong on what you said or are you going to flail around like a child about a completely different and unrelated topic that is a month away from release?
I asked a question, did I say fantastic Beasts was going to bomb? No. Thanks for playing. -
exactly, it doesn't indicate anything in either way, but yes it's funny that one can take it in either direction on their preference though [emoji14]
If you think this number means NOTHING or is even good for RO then your opinion really is irrelevant. That's my personal feeling because it makes zero sense logically. -
Could be. Personally, I've always said Baumer's club was possible. Guess what I'm saying is that you could read this as a tea leaf in whatever direction you think fits your preferred narrative.
You can do that with almost anything in life Jay. If you honestly think this number means NOTHING in forecasting RO, then I can't help you. -
Wrong about what? You asked if this would bomb and LOL if you think that is a bomb level number.
Want to bet $ on RO performance? Can't wait to bump all of your comments on OW & beyond.
(no fudging Disney for the love of god).
Weekend Numbers: Fantastic Beasts 75M, Strange 17.6M, Trolls 17.5M, Arrival 11.8M, Edge of 17 4.8M, Bleed 2.35M, Billy Lynn 930k
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Most studios take a lessor share of international revenue compared to the US take so I'm sure WB won't exactly be pleased in the same year BvS was rather meh here as well.