GiantCALBears
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Posts posted by GiantCALBears
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Just now, robertman2 said:
I blame Pokemon
Hasn't been a thing for months (I know you were joking but still...).
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13 minutes ago, kswiston said:
Why are you guys expecting a Potterverse film to have better than average blockbuster legs?
It's delusional. Legs won't be great at all outside of the usual holiday bump.
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Rogue one & $600m is happening people! LMAO.
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Where is @EmpireCity to tell all of us pessimists we're wrong again. lmao what a weak preview.
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Anyone know if there is a noticeable Election Day effect during presidential races on the BO?
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2 hours ago, Baumer liked Blair Witch said:
Some of the boys on our WhatsApp chat pointed out to me several times now that the Thursday preview numbers are getting bigger and bigger as a portion of the weekend number. So I guess it shouldn't be that shocking if it comes in that around 75 or 80.
ROGUE ONE will be the exception dude! HOLIDAYS & STAR WARS even if it's shit...
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$90-$100m OW?!? THE DROUGHT IS OVER, see ya fall!
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6 hours ago, robertman2 said:
Did they look like this?
I always thought this is what BKB looks like.
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3 minutes ago, cannastop said:
Hoot isn't an animated movie lol. Threw me a curveball there.
LOL you are right, I was thinking about the Owl movie for some reason. Hahaha.
Edit: fixed.
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In 2006 a family comedy opened as counter programming opposite a pretty weak MI3. It opened in 3,018 theaters & grossed $3.368m, not for its opening day but opening weekend. $3.368m or the worst opening by a movie in 3k+ theaters. The production budget was $15m so I'm sure New Line was thrilled when after the usual 2 week commitment, their movie lost 75% of their screens & finished with a horrific $8.1m (I guess it could've been worse given the 31.9% second week "hold"). Hoot was clearly unbelievable.
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On October 10, 2016 at 8:20 AM, Goffe said:
I'm sure it has been already mentioned before, but My Greek Fat Wedding run is simply astonishing. An indie comedy making almost 360m adjusted? Unbelievable.
Pretty sure it been brought up more than any other film
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On October 10, 2016 at 7:38 AM, cannastop said:
I don't think people fully appreciate how huge TFA was.
I think you are wrong ESP on here. Everyone remembers/knows how crazy TFA was.
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Did we ban @CJohn for life yet? Hoping that's what the title refers to.
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Just now, Krissykins said:
Ghostbusters passed Central Intelligence.
Biggest comedy of the year
That's a statement on the strength of comedies this year lol.
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11 minutes ago, Jay Beezy said:
With J. Law, she's had success in three things in the past five years: Hunger Games, X-Men, and David O. Russell films. Problem is everything outside of those haven't done well and now Hunger Games are done, David O. Russell has stalled and she looks bored with X-Men.
This is why it's a legit discussion. Well said.
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2 minutes ago, trifle said:
Is there likely in the real world ever going to be the kind of data that would change your mind though? It would in fact take something very clear cut to make me think Jen isn't a draw, since I know for a fact she draws me and others like me. I admit the bias, but I'm also a data point, however anecdotal. I am not sure the two sides are going to meet, even acting in good faith. We might eventually just agree to disagree.
Fair point, but over time it will be easier to form a general consensus one way or another. Right now opinions/biases rule on those 2 due to lack of stand alone films they've been in. It is largely a speculative discussion.
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1 minute ago, trifle said:
I'm pretty sure I'm as open to changing my mind as you are open to changing your mind.
I don't say we have enough data though. I just believe stars can be draws based on my own experience and how my friends and I select films.
Well of course, we all have our opinions. I guess the ? is how much you are willing to change it based on data that isn't personal & if you aren't what's the point of having the discussion anyways?
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2 minutes ago, trifle said:
I said in both directions. But why do I have a Jennifer Lawrence avatar? Do you think it might influence what movies I see?
Haha, glad to see you got the joke. The truth is you should be open to changing your mind on both JLaw & Pratt being true A-list draws. Like I said above, we really don't have enough stand alone data on either yet.
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1 minute ago, trifle said:
I think the debate is a given regardless of how Passengers does. A lot of people have entrenched opinions and no proof one way or the other is likely to be sufficiently determinitive.
Says the person with the JLaw avatar...
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3 minutes ago, grey ghost said:
I bet Passenger neither breaks out or disappoints meaning the Pratt/JLaw box office draw debate will continue until the end of time.
I know this is partially a joke but clearly one film doesn't make a trend anyways. We need a bigger sample & we will for sure get it over the next few years as they both branch out a bit.
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31 minutes ago, Blair Witch failed Baumer said:
Well it helps. Or else you could just put two no name actors in it.
Clearly it helps, my point was more about is she a true draw like we've historically described other actors who their name alone could pull in viewers. She's been in mostly successful ensemble films so it's hard to accurately judge it.
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The relative outperformance of the original THG compared to the sequels should (if anything) point to the franchise itself being the draw. If they had cast another actress in that role, we can't prove it but it's not a stretch to say it grosses very similar.
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JLaw is such a draw guys! Without her THG, Xmen, American Hustle would have made substantially less... /rollseyes
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Just now, Celedhring said:
Without Jennifer Lawrence starring, Joy makes less than 20 domestic. If that. Absolutely nothing going for that movie but her.
Of course Passengers has a higher bar than 60 domestic, but there's a sizable audience out there that wants to see her in movies.
Are you seriously going to argue that just because she was in a movie as opposed to a random actress that makes her a "draw?" Please... This analysis is so shoddy it's not even worth discussing.
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I don't say we have enough data though. I just believe stars can be draws based on my own experience and how my friends and I select films.
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Weekend Numbers: Fantastic Beasts 75M, Strange 17.6M, Trolls 17.5M, Arrival 11.8M, Edge of 17 4.8M, Bleed 2.35M, Billy Lynn 930k
in Numbers and Data
Posted
It's a major red flag towards massive RO expectations. Baumer's club is very much in play.