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Posts posted by GiantCALBears
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1 minute ago, Tele the Jet Baller said:
I don't agree -- I think there are movies that are hugely frontloaded due to their hardcore fanbase. (DH2, for one). Now, SS is obviously pretty mixed in terms of WOM, but I wouldn't say it's absolutely toxic.
Tele, you still agree though that in general a movie that legs it out is way more productive for growing the base and building demand for a franchise right? That's why I used POTC 1, if you want your CBM examples the two easiest are BB & IM1 (I guess we can throw TA in there too & what it did for phase 2).
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Actually that's exactly what a toxic WOM is lol @UrosepsisFace. That's basically saying that all $300m grossers are the same. Let's compare what happened with POTC 1 & MOS.
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6 minutes ago, RichWS said:
MovieMan REAAAAAALLY wants you to know SS is falling. Just in case.
The DCEU is like a bad Picasso (so far), you either love the concept to finished product or you are like the rest of us wondering wtf did I just watch?
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Just now, The Futurist said:
Ben Hur will kill the legs of all these pitiful movies, mark my words.
Morgan Freeman, His POWAH.
The legs are already crippled (pardon the pun) for pretty much everything out. Ben Hur looks awful btw lol.
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1 minute ago, JennaJ said:
Magnificent Seven and Doctor Strange.
Is that a guess or is it tracking?
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How did people not expect a weak bump today after last Saturday? Why the $50m+ predicts seemed way too optimistic to me for SS.
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1 minute ago, Biggestgeekever said:
Per Deadline:
Now, SS clearly had a pretty interesting first Friday (as seen by the tumble on Saturday), and I'm not sure how useful this is without comparing to other blockbusters. But still, this made me laugh.
Often that total is a massive drop off from OD, but yeah it's funny. Repeat viewings must be really low.
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Just now, No Prisoners said:
There are no dead periods any more. Any month can have a $200 movie now
Mid August-mid November is still pretty dead overall, I assume you meant $200m. What is doing that this year?
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We are officially crossing into the dead point of the year, it's been good knowing ya boys. See you in November.
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Second weekend Friday bumps have been collectively awful across the board this summer...
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2 minutes ago, a2knet said:
Gitesh is thinking 51M for SS after the Thu number.
1st full week for
#SuicideSquad ends at $179,104,728. Shd reach $230M range after 2nd wknd. Breaking $300M domestic seems a good bet.I'd bet the under even though I respect Gitesh a decent amount.
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4 minutes ago, Baumer loves Dory said:
In fact of all the pure animated films I've seen this year (JB not included ) Dory is the best at 6/10
Well... We all know how much you love Dory.
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Just now, Jayhawk said:
Lol, "no correlation between Thursday night previews and the weekend." Talk to better BO analysts.
Agreed, what absurdly bad analysis lol.
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Need more dick jokes/puns in this thread... & GO!
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2 hours ago, mrqe93 said:
$70m with that kind of cast? Are they getting filming equipment from RadioShack, and resorting to child labor?
It is a female cast
. In all seriousness nice to see the budget be more than reasonable here.
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6 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:
It's a shame that Gibson pretty much destroyed his career with his behaviour. Most directors would dream about having a movie the quality of Braveheart or Apocalypto.
Despite his despised personal infractions, I'd still take that career/$$$ man. It's up there as one of the better ones in recent history.
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7 minutes ago, Tele the Jet Baller said:
I'm eating breakfast at a cafe, and these two ladies next to me are talking about how hot Margot Robbie is.
One of them is specifically talking about how much she related to Harley in SS.
Margot Robbie is hot?
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Btw what happened to the second weekend ou 65% drop thread? Mods?
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Just now, Krissykins said:
The haters would be partying with anything over 55% lol.
Thats just the way trolls work.
I think anything under 65% is solid so they shouldn't be...
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Is "not Asgard" code for Nile specifically or anyone who isn't RTH? I see he has the purp tag now.
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1 minute ago, Tele the Jet Baller said:
I don't care where SS ends up as long as it doesn't cross 300 until after the Labor Day weekend.
Really, though, before the first comic-con footage, who would've thought that SS would outgross MOS?
There clearly are some diehard SS fans so I'd say more than you'd probably think lol. Objective analysis? Maybe not so much.
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Just now, langer said:
There's a very big difference between projections and predictions.
Lol so what? He makes a big show of it with his clubs. A prediction should be close to a projection or its just total bs & shouldn't be taken seriously in the future.
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Just now, Blaze Heatnix said:
Well, that's exactly my point, lol. We shouldn't care.
Point is, WB isn't worried about numbers. People shouldn't be, either. I guess I can't say anything else in that regard, lol.
You should flip around your thoughts, if this place isn't concerned about the quality of your numbers then they probably are fine or completely insignificant lol.
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42 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:
9.7 million is a fine number. Movie is performing fine.
If WB isn't sad about it, nobody should. Movie is making money and it'll be profitable in the long haul.
Lol this sort of thinking is total nonsense. Why should I care what WB thinks about its own movie or that they are making $? How does that benefit us (or provide better analysis) ESP when the movie isn't that good?
Weekend Thread | Estimates SS 43.7m, SP 33.6m, PD 21.5, JCIJB 13.6m, BM 11.45m, SLOP 8.8m, STD 6.8m, FFJ 6.58m
in Numbers and Data
Posted
MOS 2, SS 2 are guaranteed to make less OW than their predecessors & legs maybe worse based on WOM. Sure SS is a nice performer but what does it really setup? I don't see it moving the needle for WW/JL etc & a big portion of that reasoning is the bad holds since previews/OD.