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Posts posted by GiantCALBears
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4 minutes ago, James said:
You really want to take the joy out of everything, don't you
It didn't hold the OW for very long in fairness dude. Spider-Man turned out to be the game changer in expectations.
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11 minutes ago, cannastop said:
Gotta give Shrek 2 props for its Memorial Day total. Sensational.
Agreed, $32m adjusted for day 13! holiday or not is insane. In fact that was the last day in a streak of 13 over $11m in a row lol. Would go on to (again adjusted) do 61 days in a row over $1m.
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The funny thing about Shrek 2 is it is a very average animated feature, it had so much goodwill built up from the original.
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6 minutes ago, cannastop said:
Well, sure. We might never again see a year that has 1.5 billion tickets sold.
It's a different era we are in. However we have had 8/50 films adjusted coming from this century & 3/30 films coming from the last five years. Given mainstream movies have been around for almost 100 years now & the methods of release/consumption have changed so often especially during this century, Shrek 2 deserves its special place. It's run was truly historic, that first Saturday which was its fourth day of release adjusts to $61.9m. Jaw dropping. In fact Shrek 2 OW which was days 3-5 adjusts to $150m lol.
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Don't want to be that guy BUT... FD may beat Shrek 2 unadjusted but we all know it will finish lightyears behind in the attendence figures.
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45 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:
this is just embarrassing for everyone else. i'm not even good at box office prediciting.
Congrats! Well done.
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Monsters U legs is what I'm expecting for FD, not TS3 so around ~$450m, maybe even less.
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2 hours ago, Baumer said:
No, Monday wasn't inflated at all, the way I read it. If it would have had a normal Sunday, this drop would be about 50%, in line with TS3. So the Monday number isn't inflated and Tuesday should behave normally, imo.
No, Monday is really inflated because of game 7 lol.
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How did my $135m OW predict do guys?
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Anyone saying its one of the best episodes is just wrong though, it's nothing close to the Rains of Castamere or Blackwater or even Hardhomme last season.
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2 hours ago, K1stpierre said:
I still think Bran is the most interesting character of the show now, which is ironic considering he's limp.
It's absurdly obvious the Starks are going to regain control of the North whatever is left of it after the war of the White Walkers. It's a shame due to all the unexpected turns since the opening scene of the show season 1.
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I think it's pretty clear everyone is going to be fighting the White Walkers together in the end, that's what Dany setup by allowing the Iron Islands to stay independent.
We are running out of villains at this point...
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19 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
Anton Yelchin. TT
Super sad .
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Those drops among holdovers are insane, take out Alice (lol) & 3-12 all plunged 47% & most much lower than that.
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CI did better than I was expecting, that budget isn't exactly small either so it needed a decent opening.
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1 minute ago, CJohn said:
It is a hybrid really. It would never have performed like it did without Iron Man in it.
I think the budget and ad push lean it even closer to TA, RDJ was paid close to his usual fee lol.
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Maybe $450m is too generous, $425m-30m?
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1 minute ago, CJohn said:
I can see it pulling a Minions. This is not your typical family movie.
That would mean it doesn't even make $400m? Can't see that happening...
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Just now, Baumer said:
Civil War made a ton of money and it made way more than the last one. The gross is absolutely fine it's just that the Legs suck.
This goes back to whether you consider it a CA or TA sequel or a hybrid?
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So ~$450m finish probably for Dory? Legs are what interest me more here...
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Just now, CJohn said:
Yup, the problem were the legs. It opened above Iron Man 3 pretty much everywhere. And it dropped like a rock a week later.
Yeah, I feel stupid for upping my predicts before. Stupid hype affecting the BO sites.
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2 minutes ago, CJohn said:
I am still shocked a semi-Avengers movie didn't beat IM3. And Civil War only did what it did because it had RDJ's Iron Man.
Legs were worse than almost anyone predicted, I don't want to use the term SH/CBM/Marvel fatigue but...
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2 minutes ago, CJohn said:
Where are people predicting 140M for SS? We need to send them to a mental institution.
I just bumped the thread where quite a few are in that range.
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This opening confirms the high SS predicts are insane, I understand it's apples to oranges but people need to understand how difficult $140m+ openers are...
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Monday Numbers (Dory)...20M or just under RTH
in Numbers and Data
Posted
I added to my last post, Spider-Man caused a lot of hysteria on mojo. I was a lurker back then but I remember a lot of new users on the old forums that weekend.