July 3 - 9:
1. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. Captain America: Civil War
4. The Good Dinosaur
5. Regression
6. Finding Dory
7. Mission: Impossible 5
8. The Hateful Eight
9. Zootopia
10. Spectre
Yeah. I had AoU making 1.6-1.7 billion before release. I thought ni April that F7 would be the biggest story of the year and now we have this. Nothing is locked in box office, never.
June 26 - July 2:
1. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. Captain America: Civil War
4. The Good Dinosaur
5. Regression
6. Finding Dory
7. The Hateful Eight
8. Mission: Impossible 5
9. Zootopia
10. Spectre
For the moment, I do not have enough time to do it. Anyway, it requires a lot of time to do it, so maybe if I start now, I can finish the list by December...
June 19 - 25:
1. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice
2. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3. Captain America: Civil War
4. The Good Dinosaur
5. Regression
6. Finding Dory
7. The Hateful Eight
8. Mission: Impossible 5
9. Zootopia
10. Spectre
We will have 3 $900m OS films this year (one of them 1.1 billion) with crappy exchange rates. With better exchange rates we would be talking about 3 1.1-1.2 billion OS... and who knows what can happen with SW7... it is insane.
If I am not wrong, both TDK and Transformers 2, with 5 days, so if it keeps the $20m, it will set a new record.
Just as a curiosity, Titanic never had a day over $15m...
What about Matrix? I do not say it is the most unbelievable, but quite remarkable. It had a 6.33 multiplier (27/171). The biggest drop in the first 12 weeks was a 36% and it was because Phantom Menace opening.
It depends on when do you fix the start day. JW was released in China on Wednesday 10th. So we would be on day 12th by Sunday And it will not get the billion on Sunday.
In fact, if we adjust we have that ROTK did $167m for the 5-day opening, how much would it mean with 3D, $180-185m? We will never know what would have happened if it had opened on Friday, but you are right about that it is difficult to think that SW7 can open lower than $150m with these antecedents, considering that SW is a bigger draw DOM than LOTR.