Sam

I think under BP WW is locked now (with China not breaking out to bigger number than JW1) Even with 850M OS (which is the most optimistic scenario), it’s gonna need 500M domestic to pass BP.

China opening didn’t increase much from JW so there wasn’t a big boost. FK still has Japan and Latin America to come. But you’re right. Don’t see over 800M OS either. For China, it will have a hard time matching JW’s 225M. 258M OS-China now. The goal is 400M from current markets. Japan and Latin American brought in ~200M for JW. But with I2 doing incredible business in South America atm, I think FK will decrease there. Japan will too since its BO behavior is more comparable to European countries than Asian ones. 150M total maybe. 750M-800M OS

IW already passed its biggest milestone of 2B. And with no chance at TFA WW either way, anything more now is just extra gravy.

-60% from the 151M debut. But a good -45% from FSS of last week. 258M OS-China total.

Excuse me, but best drop in Top 10 this weekend belongs to A Wrinkle in Time. Please show some respect. Dat 1600% jump!

Possible if Japan can manage around 35M. SW franchise is on a decline in that market too, so that 35M might be tough. Possible, but tough.

Under Solo’s OS weekend this week. What a flop.

Dat 100.00M Finally.

Very harsh drops for both Book Club and Adrift. Expected though. Good for DP2 and Hereditary

Oh boy, didn’t see this thread before. FK only needs a 3.45x off of the 110M 3-day weekend to have a shot at IW. There is a chance, gotta keep hope alive, right @Brainbug?

Should pass JW in dollars next Thursday I think. This week Mon-Thu was $6.8M, a 60% weekly drop will give 2.7M for next Mon-Thu. Enough to push it pass 42M. Final total is heading to $50M. Quite disappointing, similar to DP2 where it’ll be sub-2x its opening. But 50M total could be enough to make SK the 2nd biggest OS market for Fallen Kingdom, beating out UK (assuming also beating out Japan, if that one drop like Europe)

You’re right. 710M yuan is about $110M. Overestimate by $15M Someone should help point Universal to the Disney’s (under)estimation playbook.

Awww, guess we’re not gonna get to see the 2.4B IW poster.

165M seems to be more on pessimistic side for I2. Also way too low on IW. 1.42M Friday is a substantially bigger jump than what GOTG2 got. Even if it only follow GOTG2 trajectory for Sat/Sun, it’ll get close to 6M weekend (unless Disney planned to distribute them money somewhere else for the greater good )

China Sat looks earlier to bump +30% from Friday, so closer to mid-$40M. But yeah, you’re right, 125.3M means Sun has to increase from Sat. No chance of that. Estimates most likely gonna adjust down tomorrow morning. ~$120M 3-day opening for China is still good though. Edit: China Sat estimate just got posted and yup, $125.3M is way overestimating. Closer to the initial projection of $115M opening.

It’s only ~1M away from 100M off of a 750k Friday. Disney will make it happen this week and thankfully give their poor BO interns a deserved rest after all the creative accounting they had to do this past month for one damn movie lol.

Look at them PTA for AWIT! 3k PTA. Easily second best in the Top 10, leaving #3 Tag in the dust.

60M FSS put it at $256M OS-China through Sunday. 2x this weekend should be the more conservative multiplier FK can manage for $375M in the 48 currrent OS territories.

Fantastic number for I2!! But story of the weekend gotta be AWIT. Disney fudge beating everyone’s expectations like a champ. DP2 continues to chase Solo daily lol. It’s like a game of catch me if you can.

Solid Sat jump for FK. Heading for about 65% second weekend drop, ~5.4M weekend for close to $40M total in South Korea.

Not Sunday with China 3-day weekend estimate at 110-115M 202M up to Thursday. 115M China weekend. That means it’ll need 83M FSS OS-China to reach 400M. And that’s not gonna happen because that requires a 26% drop from last week FSS (unless there are some other big markets it’s gonna open in this weekend that I’m not aware of) Should be close to 400M or even pass it with holiday in China on Monday though.

193M up to Wed. That’s 42M for Mon-Wed, averaging of 14M per day. Pretty good. 55% drop from last week FSS gives 50M for OS-China this weekend. Anything above that (which I’m pretty sure it’ll manage since it just had 3 weekdays of 42M) would be very solid.

That was a hell lot of fingers exercises y’all had me doing from having to scroll through those long-ass posts. Please no more. Thank you.

Imma need to see it in action more. Right now, looks to be about on par with Whitaker’s Rogue One hairpiece. So it’s getting up there.

Keaton’s hairpiece. Sold.