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Sam

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Everything posted by Sam

  1. I think the movie will do fine. Competitions don’t look that heavy and it’ll enjoy the major advantage of summer weekdays that Ultron didn’t have. I can see 170-180M OW, 2.6x for $440-470M total. OS is trickier because of World Cup but the release dates seem to work around that period. 1B OS could still be in play if China delivers $300M
  2. Pre-sales are like Marvel and then if it behaves like Star Wars over the weekend, then Solo is not a really smart one, huh?
  3. No chance in South Korea. Will end around 95M or so. I’m not sure about UK, but Rth indicated it should be able to get into UK all-time Top 10, which requires around £70M, or $95M. Gonna be close between SK and UK for #2 OS market.
  4. Last Monday was 22.9M 8.5M would mean roughly 63% weekly drop. Which I think is decent considering last Monday was boosted by holidays in some countries.
  5. I can see IW playing out like this 3rd Mon-Thu: 18M 4th weekend: 28M (-55%) 4th Mon-Thu: 10M Memorial Day weekend: 16.5M 3-day/21M 4-day 32-day total up to Memorial Day is 625M
  6. Great analysis. A quick look at theaters near me also had me doubt the 150M prospect. Obviously things can change with major walk-ups business, but my main point of comparisons for DP2 is GOTG2, so the walk-up factor already accounted for. And so far, at least in my area, DP2 presales look to be below GOTG2. I think EmpireCity said somewhere tracking for DP2 is currently pointing to around 135M. That could very well be spot-on.
  7. Digged through the thread to find some numbers that could be useful to follow DP2’s run that’s about to start. Deadpool OD (officialy opened on Wed but the movie already started previews the Saturday before, hence that total) And since Kingsman: The Golden Circle seems a good comparison, here’s its OD: Kudos to @efialtes76 for all these numbers.
  8. 4.7M Monday is a -43.3% weekly drop. Thursday drop this week will be harsher due to DP2’s previews, but Tuesday increase should help balance things out, so I can see Mon-Thu total close to 18M (off around 45% from last week’s 33M).
  9. Watching Amazing Spider-Man 2 on FX. Damn, this shit is hilarious.
  10. Yup. Down with this movie! (though I’m a bit uncomfortable with the fact that boycotting this movie means we’re on the side of Vin Diesel)
  11. Well, he predicted around 430M total for IW. And the movie took like a full 10 days to pass that mark. So all in all, I think that qualify it as a flop. Follow the trend, I think Solo will most likely be a 350M+ flop as well.
  12. Infinity War will face a lot more direct and tougher competitions from this weekend on, so I think it will trend closer to Civil War later legs. But even with 663M total, that would give an overall multiplier of 2.57x. Very good. I think adding 2x more this weekend for 670M+ finish is likely. And that domestic Dom will go a long way in ensuring 2B WW.
  13. Great weekend for IW. One of the better 3rd weekend drops for MCU. Will be pretty close to 600M after Sunday. Very interested in seeing how it’ll fare against direct competitions.
  14. Considering the first Deadpool made ~$24M total, that would be quite a jump. But Ryan Reynolds has been promoting really hard in South Korea, and pre-sales so far seems really good. So it could surprise.
  15. As @chasmmi would agree, all the Song Kang Ho movies But in all seriousness, aside from the obvious big movies, I would recommend some of my personal favorites: - Miracle in Cell No.7 (prepare your tissues) - My Sassy Girl (a classic romcom for those who are fond of this dying genre) - Memories of Murder - The Thieves (weirdly enough, I didn’t like it the first time, but it grew on me, bit of a subversion of the heist genre) - The Good, The Bad, and The Weird (a Korean-style Western movie) - A Frozen Flower - Miss Granny (a great dramedy with delightful lead performance) That’s just a few. I leave some more recommendations to other members lol.
  16. Train to Busan I found it a quite average movie, but it’s true that foreign audiences respond to the movie very well. And I still would recommend it, if only for the performances of the supporting cast, especially Ma Dong Seok, who hands down, gave the best performance as well as having the best character in that movie. Wasn’t too fond of the male lead but he was serviceable. I also think they nailed the atmosphere and utilize well the train settings to the movie’s advantages.
  17. Still maintaining my opinion before Infinity War blew up, even more so now actually, that Avengers 4 will see a decrease from Infinity War. Probably around TA numbers.
  18. Took a look at the slate for 2019, and I think Gambit is an easy shoo-in for 1B.
  19. Gotta appreciate Hayley for that. She did it for all them thirsty women (and men) out there
  20. Hey I don’t judge but you can totally just ignore the video and not having to suffer for even those 2 minutes lol.
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