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Sam

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Everything posted by Sam

  1. Sam
    Lmao. So the Rth’s number was spot on. I admittedly overestimate Disney’s undying love for the 40% drops. But hey, it’s a learning process and a step in the right direction for Disney. After the million times of sticking with 40% Sun drops for BP, at least they show improvements with IW.
  2. Sam
    If y’all want a true pessimistic prediction, then the one to ask is @fabiopazzo2. He will redefine the meaning of pessimistic for y’all.
  3. Sam
    Aw, sorry about that. I was indeed kidding lol. Sarcasm is like 50% of how I go about with my posts on here lol. I’m so used to it that I don’t even think to add any connotations/indications. My bad.
  4. Sam
    About 917M OS-China. I think it should add at least 2x this weekend for 980M OS-China on the low end. 1B OS-China is on life support, but 2B WW is still very well alive. After the good drop against DP2, I think 670M domestic at least. 350M China is also locked (according to the Chinese BO experts) So it needs 980M OS-China, which as mentioned, I think is the low end of what it should end up at. And Dom number certainly could go higher than 670M to lessen the OS’s burdens.
  5. Sam
    Sat number could be lower than Rth’s. Maybe at 12.5M or something. If so, -28% Sun drop is not too bad. Otherwise, they’re predicting -35% lol. And Disney, you cowards! You could have given us $28.69
  6. Sam
    I think the problems with Solo’s presales at my local theaters are about the same as what our members been posting here. Prime night time showings (7-10p) selling well, I see 80% capacity in lots of them. But it’s dead in all other time slots. And the number of showtimes is lower than DP2 at same point. Gonna see if that can change and pick up big time around Tuesday or so, like it should.
  7. Sam
    Watch Disney gonna give an estimate of 28M for IW, sticking to their much loved 40% Sun drop.
  8. Sam
    I don’t know about that. I think you’re underestimating the impact of Ranger Solo.
  9. Sam
    Oh. Yikes. Did Tele forecasted those numbers I mean, haven’t we always treat boxofficepro ‘tracking’ more as predictions than actual trackings? 130M opening would be absolutely terrible for Fallen Kingdom.
  10. Sam
    Why is over 150M for JW:FK even a question of uncertainty in any way lol Granted, there is not that big a sample size, but sequels to 200M+ megaopeners simply don’t drop that much. 180M OW should be the low end for Fallen Kingdom.
  11. Sam
    @narniadis looks like your May 2007 comparisons could be very apt. Can’t believe POTC:AWE has been holding onto the 4-day Memorial Day OW record for 11 years. If Solo’s presales not picking up to the pace of a SW movie soon, AWE gonna keep that record for another year.
  12. Sam
    Taika doesn’t take lightly to the betrayal of Julian, Son of Denni.
  13. Sam
    It’s not gonna drop over 30% on Sun. And it’s not gonna have a sub 2x multi. Pull yourself together, man. I think you need to go to sleep and calm yourself lol.
  14. Sam
    That sounds like a fitting job for @WrathOfHan tbh.
  15. Sam
    Aww man, I was hoping it would go up. Fri: 53.3M Sat: 41M (-23%/+18%) Sun: 31M (-24%) Total: 125.3M weekend
  16. Sam
    They didn’t bother to report Friday estimates yesterday’s late night so probably won’t do so today either. But @Rthanos was updating in the OS threads earlier, so maybe he’ll grace us with another update in the domestic thread too
  17. Sam
    Aside from no holiday boosts, I’d say “novelty” is another big luxury of DP that DP2 loses. So to be able to match the original opening weekend, that is pretty good.
  18. Sam
    Sat midpoint for IW was at ~2:30p 50M at 12:30pm is good right? On pace to get to around 60M+ by 2:30p?
  19. Sam
    If it hits the 45.5M figure of EmpireCity, that’s an excellent +31% jump from true Friday, which is on par with GOTG2 Sat bump, so I’d say walk ups is definitely big. Even with Rth’s 43M, that’s an improvement in Sat jump compare to the first Deadpool’s
  20. Sam
    You told me that you would try to do better. This is not doing better, Goffe. I’m disappointed.
  21. Sam
    Base on Friday and Saturday numbers, I would say in the range of 120-125M without the holiday boosts.
  22. Sam
    80M OS means 30M OS-China weekend. That’s a 62% drop. Yikes, got hit hard by DP2. Would be the first weekend where OS hold is significantly worse than domestic.
  23. Sam
    45.5M would be a great number and guaranteed 130M+
  24. Sam
    @MovieMan89 @Lordmandeep Why are y’all doing this?
  25. Sam
    2.5M for IW is -53% from last weekend (5.32M). In line with domestic drop. Pretty good.
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