ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' stronger than predecessor

[fabiopazzo2]

28.8M for BR 

 

INSANE

[fabiopazzo2]

Very good reviews for US here! I'm really excited 😃. 

 

 

 

Lets see what happen with Dumbo 

[Omni]

23/03/19 (Saturday)

 

1	A UN METRO DA TE (FIVE FEET APART)	21/03/2019	USA	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 592.453	83.670
2	CAPTAIN MARVEL	06/03/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 338.010	47.237
3	SCAPPO A CASA	21/03/2019	ITA	MEDUSA FILM S.P.A.	€ 258.508	38.048
4	ESCAPE ROOM	14/03/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 183.220	25.433
5	MOMENTI DI TRASCURABILE FELICITA'	14/03/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 182.404	28.087
6	PEPPERMINT - L'ANGELO DELLA VENDETTA	21/03/2019	USA	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 177.408	26.180
7	IL PROFESSORE E IL PAZZO (THE PROFESSOR AND THE MADMAN)	21/03/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 170.477	25.539
8	MY HERO ACADEMIA THE MOVIE - TWO HEROES	23/03/2019	JPN	NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A.	€ 150.326	15.462
9	GREEN BOOK	31/01/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 83.287	11.518
10	UN VIAGGIO A QUATTRO ZAMPE (A DOG'S WAY HOME)	14/03/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 64.933	10.451

 

What the heck happened? Five Feet Apart, which one would expect to get weak increases on Friday and Saturday, is looking at a 12/13x OD-to-weekend multiplier - for a movie opening above 1 million, it's almost kid's flick territory!

Captain Marvel is an anomaly of the opposite kind, as it was supposed to come very close to a +150% instead of just doubling its Friday gross and getting the worst increase of the top 10.

 

Increases from Friday:

Five Feet Apart > +175%

Captain Marvel > +116%

Scappo a Casa (It) > +166%

Peppermint > +130%

Escape Room > +150%

Momenti di Trascurabile Felicità (It) > +171%

The Professor and the Madman > +193%

Green Book > +140%

A Dog's Way Home > +209%

Edited March 26, 2019 by Omni

[fabiopazzo2]

Shazam reviews are already out 😯
And they are normal / mediocre reviews

6,5/7 

Edited March 24, 2019 by fabiopazzo2

[fabiopazzo2]

4 hours ago, Omni said:

m

 

Increases from Friday:

Five Feet Apart > +175%

Captain Marvel > +116%

Scappo a Casa (It) > +166%

Peppermint > +130%

Escape Room > +150%

Momenti di Trascurabile Felicità (It) > +171%

The Professor and the Madman > +193%

Green Book > +140%

A Dog's Way Home > +209%

Not good for CM. 

[Omni]

24/03/19 (Sunday)

 

1	A UN METRO DA TE (FIVE FEET APART)	21/03/2019	USA	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 396.563	57.571
2	CAPTAIN MARVEL	06/03/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 254.567	36.570
3	SCAPPO A CASA	21/03/2019	ITA	MEDUSA FILM S.P.A.	€ 200.615	30.620
4	MY HERO ACADEMIA THE MOVIE - TWO HEROES	23/03/2019	JPN	NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A.	€ 153.223	15.758
5	MOMENTI DI TRASCURABILE FELICITA'	14/03/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 150.441	24.080
6	PEPPERMINT - L'ANGELO DELLA VENDETTA	21/03/2019	USA	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 142.792	21.732
7	IL PROFESSORE E IL PAZZO (THE PROFESSOR AND THE MADMAN)	21/03/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 136.728	21.149
8	ESCAPE ROOM	14/03/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 102.742	14.697
9	UN VIAGGIO A QUATTRO ZAMPE (A DOG'S WAY HOME)	14/03/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 72.893	11.732
10	LA CONSEGUENZA (THE AFTERMATH)	21/03/2019	GBR	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 52.220	8.426

 

Weak Sunday holds all around. I guess weather was just too good.

Edited March 26, 2019 by Omni

[fabiopazzo2]

On 4/7/2015 at 12:30 PM, edroger3 said:

FF7 1,595M€ on Monday (holiday). Total € 9.238.689 (1.262.555 admissions).

Cinderella is over Maleficent also in Euro (€ 14.171.217 - 2.268.691 adm), could pass 15M. This is a very good achievement for Cindy: Mal was the bigger movie of 2014, had 3D and a star like Jolie acting (even if Cindy has Frozen Fever boost).

[fabiopazzo2]

On 6/12/2015 at 7:08 AM, edroger3 said:

Jurassic World big summer OD: 1M€, 137k ADM and a far better movie than FF7 and Age of Ultron.

Edited March 25, 2019 by fabiopazzo2

[Tower]

1 hour ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

You're right JW wasn't great, I would take FF7 over that or Ultron.

[fabiopazzo2]

4 minutes ago, Tower said:

You're right JW wasn't great, I would take FF7 over that or Ultron.

3 normal movie 😃👍🏻

[Omni]

WEEKEND ACTUALS 21 - 24 MARCH

- all in million € -

 

RANK	MOVIE	WEEKEND GROSS	HOLD	TOTAL GROSS	PROJECTED GROSS
1	Five Feet Apart	1.34	NEW	1.34	3.40
2	Captain Marvel	0.85	-58%	9.10	10.00
3	Scappo a Casa (It)	0.63	NEW	0.63	1.40
4	Peppermint	0.46	NEW	0.46	1.10
5	Momenti di Trascurabile Felicità (It)	0.44	-43%	1.39	1.90
6	Escape Room	0.40	-47%	1.36	1.80
7	The Professor and the Madman	0.40	NEW	0.40	0.80
8	My Hero Academia - The Movie (Jp)	0.31	NEW	0.31	0.50
9	Green Book	0.19	-57%	9.31	9.50
10	A Dog's Way Home	0.17	-62%	0.71	0.90

 

Weekend was down 19.3% from the same weekend last year. 2019 losing to 2018 by 10.1%.

 

This march is the proof that a few successful blockbusters cannot save the market. Captain Marvel was supposed to finish around 7/8 millions, and beat that by 30%+. Despite that, we're looking at one of the worst March in history.

 

That said, not much to say about this abysmal weekend. Captain Marvel fell very very hard despite the weakness of the openers and the many showtimes it still had. The double digit milestone is still in sight but not assured at all. This weekend we have Dumbo and local comedy Bentornato Presidente that should boost the box office - but the real problem for Captain Marvel is the weather. On Saturday it was very sunny, and Sunday was so hot that many beaches where already filled before noon.

Green Book should pass The Nutcracker (9.45) by less than 1% (but not in admissions).

 

This Thursday:

Dumbo > Disney live actions are very successful here (Alice is still the #1 Hollywood movie by abolute numbers and incomplete Cinetel data; Cinderella and Maleficent both sold more than 2 million tickets, BatB has been the highest grosser since 2016 until Bohemian Rhapsody exploded). Considering even Nutcracker managed a 9.5M total and 1.5M admissions, I fully expect Dumbo to open above 3 millions. I'd say 4+ but the state of the market is just too troublesome.

Bentornato Presidente is the sequel to a successful local comedy - and it's a bit tricky. Many suggest they waited for way too long and expect the movie to fail, others suggest the opposite. Let's see.

Other than that...Captive State, The Prodigy, On the Basis of Sex. All sub-100K admission openers.

[fabiopazzo2]

LOOL

 

SM FFH will be released on July 11.

 

This is a really stupid choice 

[Omni]

25/03/19 (Monday)

 

1	A UN METRO DA TE (FIVE FEET APART)	21/03/2019	USA	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 89.158	15.845
2	CAPTAIN MARVEL	06/03/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 57.055	9.736
3	GAUGUIN A TAHITI - IL PARADISO PERDUTO	25/03/2019	ITA	NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A.	€ 55.124	6.289
4	PEPPERMINT - L'ANGELO DELLA VENDETTA	21/03/2019	USA	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 40.485	7.257
5	SCAPPO A CASA	21/03/2019	ITA	MEDUSA FILM S.P.A.	€ 40.239	7.271
6	ESCAPE ROOM	14/03/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 27.669	4.904
7	IL PROFESSORE E IL PAZZO (THE PROFESSOR AND THE MADMAN)	21/03/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 25.474	4.730
8	MOMENTI DI TRASCURABILE FELICITA'	14/03/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 22.364	4.431
9	GREEN BOOK	31/01/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 18.789	4.193
10	LA MIA SECONDA VOLTA	21/03/2019	ITA	DOMINUS PROD. S.R.L.	€ 14.778	3.509

 

*yawns*

[Omni]

26/03/19 (Tuesday)

 

1	A UN METRO DA TE (FIVE FEET APART)	21/03/2019	USA	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 122.178	22.401
2	GAUGUIN A TAHITI - IL PARADISO PERDUTO	25/03/2019	ITA	NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A.	€ 97.331	11.054
3	CAPTAIN MARVEL	06/03/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 61.254	10.620
4	SCAPPO A CASA	21/03/2019	ITA	MEDUSA FILM S.P.A.	€ 42.688	7.878
5	PEPPERMINT - L'ANGELO DELLA VENDETTA	21/03/2019	USA	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 39.366	7.289
6	IL PROFESSORE E IL PAZZO (THE PROFESSOR AND THE MADMAN)	21/03/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 38.647	7.504
7	MOMENTI DI TRASCURABILE FELICITA'	14/03/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 30.313	6.222
8	ESCAPE ROOM	14/03/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 29.166	5.229
9	GREEN BOOK	31/01/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 26.534	6.539
10	LA CONSEGUENZA (THE AFTERMATH)	21/03/2019	GBR	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 13.187	2.689

 

Some very strong increases. Five Feet Apart is looking at a solid drop this weekend. Possibly more than just "solid".

[Omni]

27/03/19 (Wednesday)

 

1	A UN METRO DA TE (FIVE FEET APART)	21/03/2019	USA	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 147.792	27.590
2	GAUGUIN A TAHITI - IL PARADISO PERDUTO	25/03/2019	ITA	NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A.	€ 101.137	12.463
3	CAPTAIN MARVEL	06/03/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 71.548	12.800
4	IL PROFESSORE E IL PAZZO (THE PROFESSOR AND THE MADMAN)	21/03/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 51.135	9.974
5	SCAPPO A CASA	21/03/2019	ITA	MEDUSA FILM S.P.A.	€ 50.278	9.525
6	PEPPERMINT - L'ANGELO DELLA VENDETTA	21/03/2019	USA	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 45.089	8.613
7	MOMENTI DI TRASCURABILE FELICITA'	14/03/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 38.961	7.896
8	ESCAPE ROOM	14/03/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 35.279	6.632
9	GREEN BOOK	31/01/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 23.895	5.426
10	LA CONSEGUENZA (THE AFTERMATH)	21/03/2019	GBR	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 15.198	2.992

 

Another strong day for Five Feet Apart. It may very well drop in the 20's this weekend.

Captain Marvel should pass Green Book tomorrow to become the 3rd movie of the solar year (behind Ralph 2 and Aquaman) and the 8th of the 18-19 season.

[fabiopazzo2]

I try to give you a little update for  Shazam  presales. 

 

6days to go

 

This movie theater is really different than any others, is one of the best cinema in Italy so many people come here to see the movies.

This is the situation in the other  theaters

[Omni]

28/03/19 (Thursday)

 

1	DUMBO	28/03/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 371.425	59.376
2	A UN METRO DA TE (FIVE FEET APART)	21/03/2019	USA	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 80.400	13.212
3	BENTORNATO PRESIDENTE	28/03/2019	ITA	VISION DISTRIBUTION	€ 43.326	7.452
4	CAPTAIN MARVEL	06/03/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 35.301	5.684
5	THE PRODIGY - IL FIGLIO DEL MALE	28/03/2019	CAN	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 34.359	5.418
6	IL PROFESSORE E IL PAZZO (THE PROFESSOR AND THE MADMAN)	21/03/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 26.626	4.681
7	SCAPPO A CASA	21/03/2019	ITA	MEDUSA FILM S.P.A.	€ 23.586	3.856
8	PEPPERMINT - L'ANGELO DELLA VENDETTA	21/03/2019	USA	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 22.559	3.811
9	GREEN BOOK	31/01/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 19.730	4.265
10	CAPTIVE STATE	28/03/2019	USA	ADLER ENTERTAINMENT S.R.L.	€ 19.187	3.239

 

Disney live-action remakes just can't fail here. Only a boiling hot weekend can now prevent Dumbo from opening above 4 millions.

 

Useful comparisons:

Cinderella > 345K OD, 5.1M weekend, 15M total gross

The Jungle Book > 427K* OD, 3M weekend, 10.4M total gross

Mary Poppins > 239K** OD, 2.6M weekend, 12.1M total gross

 

* Jungle Book opened on the last day of Cinema festival, with highly discounted ticket prices

** Mary Poppins opened before Christmas

So Dumbo's OD is 7% higher than Cinderella. It won't get the same gross as the Branagh remake totally exploded during the weekend, but FB2's 2nd position in the seasonal chart is definitely in trouble.

 

Bentornato Presidente...failed. Congratulations to those who saw that coming. This makes things look even better for Dumbo, as it will have all the market for itself. It will also benefit from 4 days of CinemaDays: almost all tickets will only cost 3 euros from April 1st to April 4th.

 

Captain Marvel is falling like a stone. 60%+ drop from previous Thursday and a double-digit finish now less likely.

[Omni]

29/03/19 (Friday)

 

1	DUMBO	28/03/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 502.367	80.117
2	A UN METRO DA TE (FIVE FEET APART)	21/03/2019	USA	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 166.869	25.461
3	BENTORNATO PRESIDENTE	28/03/2019	ITA	VISION DISTRIBUTION	€ 92.226	15.592
4	CAPTAIN MARVEL	06/03/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 58.959	9.185
5	IL PROFESSORE E IL PAZZO (THE PROFESSOR AND THE MADMAN)	21/03/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 44.749	7.406
6	THE PRODIGY - IL FIGLIO DEL MALE	28/03/2019	CAN	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 43.453	6.474
7	SCAPPO A CASA	21/03/2019	ITA	MEDUSA FILM S.P.A.	€ 35.780	5.705
8	PEPPERMINT - L'ANGELO DELLA VENDETTA	21/03/2019	USA	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 31.310	4.958
9	UNA GIUSTA CAUSA (ON THE BASIS OF SEX)	28/03/2019	USA	VIDEA S.P.A.	€ 30.822	5.288
10	CAPTIVE STATE	28/03/2019	USA	ADLER ENTERTAINMENT S.R.L.	€ 28.036	4.582

 

Dumbo sure didn't fly. Very disappointing 30% rise on Friday and a 4M debut suddenly in jeopardy. A sigh of relief for Fantastic Beasts 2.

 

The only comparison remained:

Jungle Book:  356K (-16%) - end of CinemaDays

 

Cinderella's SECOND Friday was just 7% behind Dumbo's 1st, despite Dumbo's OD being 7% higher than Cinderella's. Nuts.

 

Bentornato Presidente recovered a little. Captain Marvel didn't. The rest...oh well...

[Omni]

30/03/19 (Saturday)

 

1	DUMBO	28/03/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 1.206.073	180.998
2	A UN METRO DA TE (FIVE FEET APART)	21/03/2019	USA	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 471.034	65.512
3	BENTORNATO PRESIDENTE	28/03/2019	ITA	VISION DISTRIBUTION	€ 277.121	42.242
4	CAPTAIN MARVEL	06/03/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 136.628	19.234
5	IL PROFESSORE E IL PAZZO (THE PROFESSOR AND THE MADMAN)	21/03/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 123.367	18.511
6	THE PRODIGY - IL FIGLIO DEL MALE	28/03/2019	CAN	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 107.914	14.921
7	SCAPPO A CASA	21/03/2019	ITA	MEDUSA FILM S.P.A.	€ 95.195	13.842
8	UNA GIUSTA CAUSA (ON THE BASIS OF SEX)	28/03/2019	USA	VIDEA S.P.A.	€ 81.883	12.519
9	PEPPERMINT - L'ANGELO DELLA VENDETTA	21/03/2019	USA	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 71.781	11.398
10	CAPTIVE STATE	28/03/2019	USA	ADLER ENTERTAINMENT S.R.L.	€ 68.603	10.170

 

Dumbo's pattern is very dull. +140% on Saturday, which is lower than Cinderella and even Jungle Book, and also very weak compared to the rest.

A 4M+ opening is now out of question and even 3.5+ is not totally guaranteed.

 

Five Feet Apart's down 20% from previous Saturday. Nice.

[Omni]

2018-2019 SEASON - TOP 10

 

1	BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY	29/11/2018	USA	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 28.859.247	4.111.679
2	ANIMALI FANTASTICI: I CRIMINI DI GRINDELWALD (FANTASTIC BEASTS: THE CRIMES OF GRINDELWALD)	15/11/2018	GBR	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 12.784.264	1.828.516
3	HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 3: UNA VACANZA MOSTRUOSA (HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA 3: SUMMER VACATION)	22/08/2018	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 12.254.767	1.935.066
4	IL RITORNO DI MARY POPPINS (MARY POPPINS RETURNS)	20/12/2018	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 12.148.477	1.825.907
5	GLI INCREDIBILI 2 (INCREDIBLES 2)	19/09/2018	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 12.057.679	1.877.208
6	RALPH SPACCA INTERNET (RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET)	01/01/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 10.836.856	1.680.102
7	AQUAMAN	01/01/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 10.765.506	1.537.270
8	CAPTAIN MARVEL	06/03/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 9.571.031	1.433.193
9	GREEN BOOK	31/01/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 9.472.570	1.498.023
10	LO SCHIACCIANOCI E I QUATTRO REGNI (THE NUTCRACKER AND THE FOUR REALMS)	31/10/2018	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 9.439.560	1.483.465

 

Captain Marvel entered the chart at #8 (though #10 in admissions). On normal conditions I'd say it will barely miss the 10M mark as this weekend's hold is bad once again, but with CinemaDays (3 euros tickets from 1st to 4th April) it may just get there.