chasmmi's Winter 2014 Game : Top 7 Domestic Opening Weekends

chasmmi · November 25, 2014

Part of me would laugh my arse off if penguins, exodus, hobbit, Into the woods and taken all open to 50M and interstellar gets knocked off the list

sakskidz · November 25, 2014

i mean i really didn't even hear of exodus until like 2 weeks ago but i saw like everything putting it on their list so i did... i hope i'm not gonna regret this

JJ-8 · November 26, 2014

Still don't get why some put 60m for the hobbit 3. That would be outright embarrassing for its 5 day

JJ-8 · November 26, 2014

Part of me would laugh my arse off if penguins, exodus, hobbit, Into the woods and taken all open to 50M and interstellar gets knocked off the list

Is horrible bosses 2 possible to make 50m over its 5 days ? I could see penguins making it. Hb2 isn't out of the question either.

Wrath · November 26, 2014

Is horrible bosses 2 possible to make 50m over its 5 days ? I could see penguins making it. Hb2 isn't out of the question either.

Possible for HB2. Not likely, but I think its possible. I think Penguins is very likely to beat 50m for 5. In fact, I think its got a real shot at breaking out now that its getting half-way decent reviews, modest direct competition, and its getting *massive* advertising on kid programming like Nickelodeon.

chasmmi · November 26, 2014

Is horrible bosses 2 possible to make 50m over its 5 days ? I could see penguins making it. Hb2 isn't out of the question either.

I would say yes, but even though they are not in competition with each other, I don't see both new releases getting 50M so I picked the most likely in my opinion.

JJ-8 · November 27, 2014

I would say yes, but even though they are not in competition with each other, I don't see both new releases getting 50M so I picked the most likely in my opinion.

if the early numbers are true... HB2 ain't coming close to 50m... frankly it will be lucky if it makes the top 7 on that early number.

JJ-8 · December 2, 2014

Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend Standings

Top 7 Opening Weekends as of December 1st 2014.

(Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD)

1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 - 121.898m

2. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m

3. Interstellar - 49.662m **

4. Gone Girl - 37.513m

5. Annabelle - 37.134m

6. Dumb and Dumber To - 36.112m

7. Penguins of Madagascar - 35.439m **

Not in top 7 (but predicted below)

10. Horrible Bosses 2 - 22.771m **

** # includes all grosses till first Sunday.

The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7 Opening Weekends:

If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points!

If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points!
If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points!
If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points!

If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points!

If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points!
If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)!

The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends:

If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)!

If your prediction is in ~~RED strikethru~~, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)!

OCTOBER
GONE GIRL (7/23)
avi - 57m

grim22 - 52m

Alpha - 50m

iceroll - 43m

Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m

Actual OW - 37.513m

bcf26 - 37m

Spaghetti - 33m

ANNABELLE (1/23)
Grey Ghost - 38m

Actual OW - 37.134m

NOVEMBER

BIG HERO 6 (23/23)

mahnamahna - 68.5m

avi - 68m

Spaghetti - 67m

Empire - 66m

Alpha - 65m

Snoopy of Suburbia - 65m

DAJK - 65m

Blankments - 64m

bcf26 - 64m

iceroll - 63m

Geraldino - 62m

darkelf - 61m

Telemachos - 59m

chasmmi - 57m

laguy03 - 57m

Jajang - 56.3m

Actual OW - 56.216m

Wrath - 55m

grim22 - 53m

Filmovie - 50m

The Panda - 50m

Grey Ghost - 48m

cmasterclay - 48m

Punishment - 40m

INTERSTELLAR (23/23)
mahnamahna - 97m

Jajang - 91.4m

darkelf - 89m

bcf26 - 88m

The Panda - 85m

chasmmi - 84m

Geraldino - 84m

Empire - 83m

DAJK - 83m

Blankments - 81m

Alpha - 80m

Filmovie - 80m

Wrath - 80m

grim22 - 79m

Spaghetti - 78m

iceroll - 78m

Telemachos - 78m

cmasterclay - 74m

avi - 65m

laguy03 - 61m

Punishment - 55m

Snoopy of Suburbia - 54m

Grey Ghost - 52m

Actual OW - 49.662m

DUMB AND DUMBER TO (4/23)
chasmmi - 41m

mahnamahna - 40.5m

The Panda - 40.000000001m

Filmovie - 40m

Actual OW - 36.112m

THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 1 (23/23)
Jajang - 173.4m

Punishment - 165m

avi - 162m

iceroll - 161m

Wrath - 160m

cmasterclay - 160m

Geraldino - 157m

DAJK - 156m

Snoopy of Suburbia - 155m

darkelf - 155m

laguy03 - 155m

Telemachos - 155m

Filmovie - 154m

Spaghetti - 154m

Empire - 153m

Blankments - 153m

grim22 - 152m

Grey Ghost - 150m

The Panda - 150m

mahnamahna - 148.5m

chasmmi - 147m

Alpha - 145m

bcf26 - 133m

Actual OW - 121.898m

PENGUINS OF MADAGASCAR (21/23)

Wrath - 75m

iceroll - 60m

grim22 - 60m

Telemachos - 60m

Geraldino - 57m

Blankments - 54m

laguy03 - 51m

Empire - 50m

Filmovie - 49m

Jajang - 47.5m

darkelf - 47m

mahnamahna - 46.5m

Alpha - 45m

cmasterclay - 45m

avi - 44m

DAJK - 44m

chasmmi - 43m

Snoopy of Suburbia - 43m

The Panda - 40m

Spaghetti - 36m

Actual OW - 35.439m

Punishment - 25m

HORRIBLE BOSSES 2 (3/23)

~~Empire - 58m~~

Filmovie - 51m

Jajang - 39.2m

~~Actual OW - 22.771m~~

JJ-8 · December 2, 2014

So, Horrible Bosses 2 already missed the top 7 and I would Penguins is all but locked to miss the top 7 at this point unless the hobbit 3 completely collapses (which I just don't see as possible :ph34r: especially given it has 5 days to make more than penguins did.. )

FYI - the lowest prediction for the hobbit 3 is 60m. And also nearly everyone had Exodus in their top 7 which means dumb and dumber to should drop off this chart also.

Realistically, both Annabelle and gone girl could survive in the top 7 opening weekends of the season... who saw that coming ?

Wrath · December 2, 2014

I see a whole lot of pain coming my way on these projections.

Empire · December 2, 2014

I way over predicted a lot of these movies. :lol:

Ezen Baklattan · December 3, 2014

Wait...I thought I was predicting the 3-day for Madagascar. Thank goodness for my blissful ignorance.

Filmovie · December 26, 2014

Top OW

1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 - 121.898m

2. Hobbit 89.132m

3. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m

4. Interstellar - 49.662m **

5 and 6 shold be Unbroken and Into the Woods (both + 40 M)

7. Gone Girl - 37.513m (other options are Taken 3, American Sniper and Wedding Ringer)

I did a disaster. Only 4/7

JJ-8 · December 27, 2014

Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend Standings

Top 7 Opening Weekends as of December 22nd 2014.

(Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD)

1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 - 121.898m

2. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - 89.132m **

3. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m

4. Interstellar - 49.662m **

5. Gone Girl - 37.513m

6. Annabelle - 37.134m

7. Dumb and Dumber To - 36.112m

Not in top 7 (but predicted below)

8. Penguins of Madagascar - 35.439m **

9. Exodus: Gods and Kings - 24.116

12. Horrible Bosses 2 - 22.771m **

15. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb - 17.101m