WrathOfHan Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Estimated answers: 1. What will Heart of the Sea gross OW? $11,005,000 2. What will Legend gross this weekend? 301k 3. What will Krampus' percentage drop be? 50.8% 4. What will Creed gross on Friday? $2,975,000 5. What will Peanuts' Friday increase be? 197.7% 6. What will Macbeth's PTA be this weekend? $2,324 7. What will be the difference in weekend gross between Secret in Their Eyes and Love the Coopers? 137k 8. What will Spectre's total be by end of Sunday? $190,767,660 9. What will Hunger Games gross on Sunday? $2,923,000 10. How many positions will separate Spotlight and Victor Frankenstein? 16 (when including both movies) 11. What will be the gross difference between Good Dinosaur's Friday and Saturday? $2,634,000 12. What will Night Before's percentage drop be this weekend? 22.5% 13. What will Trumbo's Sunday percentage drop be? Dailies not released 14. How much will The Martian's gross differ from the film that finishes the weekend in 10th place? 575k 15. What will Jem and the Holograms gross this weekend? (I want to keep tradition of having the one question everyone gets right ) BOM isn't listing it but about $350. Placements: 2. ITHOTS 4. Creed 7. The Night Before 9. Spotlight 12. Love the Coopers 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Messed up on Legend, I thought it'd be in more theaters than it was. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Man, not a single placement right for me... But its all really close. With even some little, but favourable, ups and downs I may get 4 or even all 5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Interesting week. Depending on actuals I could get closest on as many as 4 questions, but then I kinda bombed on the rest. I don't think most people realized the theater counts for Macbeth and Legend this week based on the answers, but worked out well for me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 11 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said: Interesting week. Depending on actuals I could get closest on as many as 4 questions, but then I kinda bombed on the rest. I don't think most people realized the theater counts for Macbeth and Legend this week based on the answers, but worked out well for me. Yeah, same here I think I nailed Creed's Friday and MJ2's Sunday too. And seems like I am second closest on gross difference between coopers and secret in their eyes and on diff in gross between Martian and 10th place. Still it looks like the guys who usually win the Part 2's - Filmovie, darkelf, glassfairy etc. - will be the winners here too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted December 14, 2015 Share Posted December 14, 2015 Second weekend in a row it looks like I will just barely miss getting the ranking questions perfect. Damn you Chris Hemsworth and your spectacular bombage! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 15, 2015 Share Posted December 15, 2015 For SOTM 5, presales have crossed 100M and could reach 120+: http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/star-wars-force-awakens-advance-849156 Mockingjay was the highest everyone went, and considering it only needs 2M more to pass that I don't see how it won't happen. Everyone who answered is a winner! Chasmmi: +20,000 darkelf: +20,000 damienroc: +20,000 Jajang: +20,000 kayumanggi: +20,000 MikeKaye42: +20,000 MovieMan89: +20,000 sakskidz: +20,000 Telemachos: +20,000 Blankments: +15,000 misafeco: +10,000 WrathOfHan: +10,000 grey ghost: +7,000 DAJK: +5,000 Filmovie: +5,000 Exxdee: +5,000 glassfairy: +5,000 Infernus: +5,000 ThatOneGuy: +5,000 Wrath: +5,000 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said: For SOTM 5, presales have crossed 100M and could reach 120+: http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/star-wars-force-awakens-advance-849156 Mockingjay was the highest everyone went, and considering it only needs 2M more to pass that I don't see how it won't happen. Everyone who answered is a winner! Chasmmi: +20,000 darkelf: +20,000 damienroc: +20,000 Jajang: +20,000 kayumanggi: +20,000 MikeKaye42: +20,000 MovieMan89: +20,000 sakskidz: +20,000 Telemachos: +20,000 Blankments: +15,000 misafeco: +10,000 WrathOfHan: +10,000 grey ghost: +7,000 DAJK: +5,000 Filmovie: +5,000 Exxdee: +5,000 glassfairy: +5,000 Infernus: +5,000 ThatOneGuy: +5,000 Wrath: +5,000 Well, its still not confirmed. They are saying thats what their 'sources' tell them. It may still be an exaggerated number due to the hype train. I would wait till disney reports a figure themselves. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 16, 2015 Share Posted December 16, 2015 4 minutes ago, Infernus said: Well, its still not confirmed. They are saying thats what their 'sources' tell them. It may still be an exaggerated number due to the hype train. I would wait till disney reports a figure themselves. No, it's basically official. If it's written up like this by The Hollywood Reporter, it's as official as we're going to get. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted December 16, 2015 Author Share Posted December 16, 2015 Ok I am pretty much back now, Hopefully may get this scoring done tomorrow (24 hours from now) unless somebody beats me to it. (remember the winner of the upcoming week, will get to create an SOTM ) 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 (edited) Estimated answers: 1. Will Star Wars' OW exceed $150M? Yes 2. Will Star Wars' OW exceed $200M? 2000 Yes 3. Will Star Wars' OW exceed $250M? 3000 No 4. Will Star Wars' OW exceed $300M? No 5. Will Star Wars' Opening Day (including previews) exceed $100M? 2000 Yes 6. Will Star Wars' Opening Day (including previews) exceed 33.33% of it's OW total? Yes 7. Will Alvin open to more than $15M? No 8. Will Alvin's OW be at least 5% of Star Wars' OW? 2000 Yes 9. Will Sisters Open in the top 3? Yes 10. Will Alvin and Sisters' OW combine to more than $25M? Yes 11. Will Star Wars' OW exceed 85% of the entire weekend gross of all films? No 12. Will Star Wars' OW exceed 90% of the entire weekend gross of all films? 3000 No 13. Will Heart of the Sea drop less than 65%? No 14. Will Hunger Games stay in the top 5? 2000 Yes 15. Will Creed have the best drop in the top 10 (excluding anything that may be expanding)? Yes 16. Will Extraction have a PTA above $2500? ? 17. Will The Good Dinosaur have a Friday Increase of at least 190% No 18. Will Star Wars' Thursday Previews total exceed the total gross of 2nd to 5th places' 3 day weekend? 3000 Yes 19. Will Chipmunks have a better Sunday drop than Peanuts? Yes 20. Will The Night Before drop less than 35% this weekend? No 21. Name any one film in the top 15 that drops more than 70% (or state none)? 3000 The Night Before 22. Will The Good Dinosaur cross $100M? 2000 No 23. Will Mojin: The Lost Legend enter in the top 18? No 24. Will Peanuts have a weekend above $1M? No 25. Will Star Wars cross $400M WW by the end of Sunday? Yes 26. Will Star Wars cross $500M WW by the end of Sunday? 3000 Yes 27. Will Brooklyn end the weekend with 400k of Spotlight? Yes 28. Will Frankenstein have a weekend below 125k? 2000 ? 29. Name the film that finishes 4th this weekend? Mockingjay 30. Were there enough Star Wars questions in this week's section? NO Part 2 1. Fine! What will the OW actually be? 238M 2. What will Alvin and Sisters' combined OW be? $27,820,000 3. What will Hunger Games total gross be by sunday? $254,438,774 Part 3. 1. Star Wars 3. Sisters 5. Creed 8. ITHOTS 10. Bajirao Mastani 12. Spectre Edited December 20, 2015 by WrathOfHan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Looks like I got 25 out of 30 in Part 1 (Still can't believe what happened to Night Before, even after taking into account the theater drop) and was really close to all 3 of Part 2's (unfortunately it doesn't matter ). The placements failed me once again though. I foresaw dilwale getting in the top 12 but forgot about Bajirao. I also had MJ at 4th and creed at 5th till the last moment until I suddenly got convinced TGD would benefit from Star Wars and put it at 4th position (really sad what happened to it btw). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Some takeaways: I did well with this week's questions, I have at least 20 correct if estimates hold and could go higher when we have answers for 16 and 28. Peanuts' drop this weekend killed it's chances at 130M and I'm going to lose points for the DOM total TGD continues to screw us all. SOTM 1 should be ready to score in a few weeks. The Walk has been done for a while but Pan and Sicario's final totals are nearly complete and The Martian should be ready to score the weekend after New Year's. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Ended up doing the scores for SW's OW now, any changes I'll update the post tomorrow: http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/20537-chasmmis-winter-2015-game-top-7-domestic-opening-weekend-standings/?do=findComment&comment=2312468 MovieMan89 is the only person to gain points, and he was within 2.5M! Myself, DAJK, Tree, Jajang, and Panda are the only ones that will lose nothing. If it adjusts down, Wrath and Alfred will lose nothing. Some of your predictions were over 100M off! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 (edited) 3 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: Ended up doing the scores for SW's OW now, any changes I'll update the post tomorrow: http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/20537-chasmmis-winter-2015-game-top-7-domestic-opening-weekend-standings/?do=findComment&comment=2312468 MovieMan89 is the only person to gain points, and he was within 2.5M! Myself, DAJK, Tree, Jajang, and Panda are the only ones that will lose nothing. If it adjusts down, Wrath and Alfred will lose nothing. Some of your predictions were over 100M off! Wow, now I kinda don't want it to go up to 245m+ in the actuals. But I think it is. Edited December 21, 2015 by MovieMan89 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 1 minute ago, MovieMan89 said: Wow, now I kinda don't want it to go up to 245m+ in the actuals. But I think it is. You're still getting the bonus 10k 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted December 21, 2015 Author Share Posted December 21, 2015 Sorry for the lack of marking last week's questions, flu has felled me a fair bit. Will get the weekly questions for this week done now (ish) and will hope to be alive enough in the coming couple of days to grade everything together when things are a bit less foggy when I try to think and do math type stuff. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted December 21, 2015 Author Share Posted December 21, 2015 Week 11 is up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Infernus Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 (edited) 1 hour ago, Jar Jar Chasmmi said: Sorry for the lack of marking last week's questions, flu has felled me a fair bit. Will get the weekly questions for this week done now (ish) and will hope to be alive enough in the coming couple of days to grade everything together when things are a bit less foggy when I try to think and do math type stuff. Is it allowed for others to score? I or someone else may do it, then, whoever has the time and will, if you don't feel like doing it. Oh and also - Get well soon Edited December 21, 2015 by Infernus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 Get better soon Chasmmi. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...