SentryTrans Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 SM3 made 19m in China(about 4.9m admissions) and average ticket price was about $3.87 for SM3 in 2007.TASM is in 3D, it will make about 32m in China even if TASM's admissions would stay flat compared to SM3.Overall box office of China in 2007 was about 0.437b.Overall box office in 2012 would be more than 2.7b.2.7b/0.437b x 19m = 117mOverall admissions of China in 2007 reached about 120m.Overall admissions in 2007 would reach around 480m.That means TASM's admissions would reached about 20m(about $130m). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SentryTrans Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 (edited) SM3 was bigger than both POTC3 and HP5 in 2007. POTC4 and HP8 both made over 65M in 2011. I'd say 80M is the minimum TASM will make in 2012. 80m? Journey 2 made about 61.5m in spring in China. Journey 2 is not as well-known as Spiderman in China at all. The reason why 8.7m people paid for it just because it was in IMAX + native 3D. Edited May 2, 2012 by SentryTrans Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SentryTrans Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 SM3 had broken the historical OD and OW record of imported films in China.If TASM could do those again, $250m would be in the range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 2, 2012 Author Share Posted May 2, 2012 80m? Journey 2 made about 61.5m in spring in China. Journey 2 is not as well-known as Spiderman in China at all. The reason why 8.7m people paid for it just because it was in IMAX + native 3D. Minimum. I am predicting 120M+ BTW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SentryTrans Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Minimum. :)I am predicting 120M+ BTW. Chinese audiences are crazy for IMAX + native 3D.The 3D effects will be TASM's potential.If TASM was in 4D, 1b in China! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SentryTrans Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 The release date of TASM might be put off three weeks.I hope it could be put off until August. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 hmm one thing that might hinder this movie's gross is Dark Knight Rises opening just a couple weeks after Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SentryTrans Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 If TASM could be released in July 3 in China, those local movies would be completely dead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 2, 2012 Author Share Posted May 2, 2012 hmm one thing that might hinder this movie's gross is Dark Knight Rises opening just a couple weeks afterTDKR won't get a day-and-date release in China.Even if it does, TASM can comfortably keep playing on 3D screens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 TDKR won't get a day-and-date release in China.Even if it does, TASM can comfortably keep playing on 3D screens.not just China but everywhere Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 SM3 made 19m in China(about 4.9m admissions) and average ticket price was about $3.87 for SM3 in 2007.TASM is in 3D, it will make about 32m in China even if TASM's admissions would stay flat compared to SM3.Overall box office of China in 2007 was about 0.437b.Overall box office in 2012 would be more than 2.7b.2.7b/0.437b x 19m = 117mOverall admissions of China in 2007 reached about 120m.Overall admissions in 2007 would reach around 480m.That means TASM's admissions would reached about 20m(about $130m).We can bet big on TASM, $100m is very likely Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cedarpoint1111 Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 (edited) I don't know if I believe some of you anymore lol. You guys made me think Battleship would do like 500m OS! Edited May 2, 2012 by CEDAR Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 I don't know if I believe some of you anymore lol. You guys made me think Battleship would do like 500m OS! We're humans We can't see the future.And we talk about Spiderman, not an unknown license as Battleship. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cedarpoint1111 Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SentryTrans Posted May 2, 2012 Share Posted May 2, 2012 I don't know if I believe some of you anymore lol. You guys made me think Battleship would do like 500m OS! Avengers is a smaller name than Spiderman, but TA can make about 700m OS now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fake Posted May 2, 2012 Author Share Posted May 2, 2012 We're humans We can't see the future.And we talk about Spiderman, not an unknown license as Battleship.Yup. Brand value is the biggest thing that matters overseas (especially in Asia). Spider-man has a lot of that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SentryTrans Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 (edited) Yup. Brand value is the biggest thing that matters overseas (especially in Asia). Spider-man has a lot of that.Brand value is very important.Both POTC4 and TF3 were bad movies, but they made more than 1B WW. Edited May 3, 2012 by SentryTrans Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted May 3, 2012 Share Posted May 3, 2012 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 (edited) this movie has big potential in Brazil, Mexico, France, China, Japan, Russia, Italy, Spain, and India. Hell pretty much all of Asia. The problem is Dark Knight Rises will cut it off Edited May 4, 2012 by Shriekofthevulture Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 This will crush TA everywhere OS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
