filmlover Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 A thread to discuss the crowded Christmas weekend (and New Year's after) frame with 6 wide releases (plus The Shape of Water expanding to 700-800 theaters and Darkest Hour going "wide"). Star Wars will be #1 but #2-3 will be between Jumanji and Pitch Perfect 3, with Jumanji having the edge. The Greatest Showman and Ferdinand will be duking it out for spots #4-5. Then there's the other openers, which won't factor too much tbh. Downsizing will likely open to a high single digits. All the Money in the World feels like a bit of a dud even with the Spacey/Plummer change (no one's really gonna want to see something so dark over the holidays). Father Figures is obviously a flop in waiting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 I think Downsizing's aggressive marketing will at least push it into the double digits for its opening. Coco is probably going to hold well. I'm not sure what it means for Ferdinand at the moment. Jumanji and Pitch Perfect are going to be fine. However, if they're marketing The Greatest Showman as an event (which they are), there's a chance it surprises. There's a lot of room for my opinion to change, there's a lot of room for a film to surge forwaes, and there's a lot of room for a film to fall flat on its face. This'll be an interesting holiday season for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Atreides Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Christmas 4-Day Weekends (Even though I suck at it, so this is me just pulling out of my but lol): Star Wars: $150M Jumanji (6-Day): $45M Pitch Perfect 3: $32M The Greatest Showman (6-Day): $28M Ferdinand: $19M Coco: $11M All the Money: $10M Disaster Artist: $8M Downsizing: $8M Wonder: $7M Father Figures: $7M Darkest Hour: $4M Shape of Water: $3M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 3 day predictions: Star Wars: 138M Jumanji: 35M Pitch Perfect 3: 30M The Greatest Showman: 20M Ferdinand: 15M Downsizing: 9M All the Money in the World: 7M Father Figures: 6M Coco: 5-6M The Shape of Water: 4.5M Wonder: 4M Darkest Hour: 4M The Disaster Artist: 3.5M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 6, 2017 Author Share Posted December 6, 2017 I'm really curious how "wide" Focus plans on taking Darkest Hour that weekend. Its numbers have been very similar to The Danish Girl so far (which expanded to 400-something theaters on Christmas weekend). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
babz06 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 26 minutes ago, filmlover said: I'm really curious how "wide" Focus plans on taking Darkest Hour that weekend. Its numbers have been very similar to The Danish Girl so far (which expanded to 400-something theaters on Christmas weekend). Probably about the same. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 I think SW8 will fall more like 55% in its 2nd weekend but Monday and Tuesday will be Gigantic so it evens out and the third weekend should see a 30% drop or so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
