YM! Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 Also for some nightly boldness: Pillars > Lilo and Stitch OW. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted October 23, 2018 Author Share Posted October 23, 2018 Prepare for a bit of an, erm....surprise. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 Just now, Spagspiria said: Prepare for a bit of an, erm....surprise. Uh oh. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 10 minutes ago, Spagspiria said: Prepare for a bit of an, erm....surprise. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted October 23, 2018 Author Share Posted October 23, 2018 13 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said: Uh oh. 3 minutes ago, 4815162342 said: I never said what film it would be.... 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted October 23, 2018 Author Share Posted October 23, 2018 CHAPTER 3: THE NUMBERS GAME March 6-8: Audiences 'Gotta Go, Gotta Go' to One Piece As a new studio finds its bearing in CAYOM, their first major release, an adaptation of the anime 'One Piece', is sailing off to a decent start. With a $54m opening weekend off of a B+ cinemascore, the film likely isn't going to change the world forever, but it's giving audiences a fun treat for spring break. Also, Worldwide numbers may be a keep place to watch the film's potential. Otherwise, 'Blue and Gold' began to slightly catch up to 'Pokemon' while 'The Female Man' has a nice hold, one that could potentially hint at coming close to $90m. 'Stories From Eden' doesn't look to truly catch on, but it shouldn't be too much of a loss either. One Piece: The Journey Begins - $54,627,904 (NEW) The Female Man - $13,546,985 (2nd week) (-45.8%) Pokemon: Rise of the Rockets - $12,173,789 (4th week) (-41.9%) Blue and Gold - $10,002,597 (5th week) (-35.7%) Stories From Eden - $7,369,445 (2nd week) (-50.1%) Reality Shift - $3,821,879 (5th week) (-33.0%) The Mole - $1,975,632 (8th week) (-37.6%) The Number One Dime - $1,368,361 (12th week) (-35.2%) Imagine Dragons: The 3D Concert - $1,247,666 (3rd week) (-57.7%) Baseball Boy: Swing for the Fences - $1,043,514 (7th week) (-40.7%) March 13-15: 'Pillars' Established for New Franchise Predictions were all over the place for the long awaited first entry to the new Numerical franchise 'Pillars of Eternity', and while it didn't meet the loftiest of predictions, it did manage to actually exceed studio projections with a $76m weekend. The A- Cinemascore is also quite solid, considering the density of the material. The adaptational nature of it may make it slightly frontloaded, but we have reason to believe this should have a nice run overall. 'Spirit Curse', much like the movie itself, failed to leave much of an impact, and 'One Piece' took a bit of a hit from nearly direct competition. Recovery does seem inevitable, though. 'Pokemon' also got the benefit of some double features with 'Pillars', softening its drop. Pillars of Eternity: The Hollow Vale - $76,084,415 (NEW) One Piece: The Journey Begins - $23,936,128 (2nd week) (-56.2%) Pokemon: Rise of the Rockets - $8,670,385 (5th week) (-28.8%) The Female Man - $8,158,679 (3rd week) (-39.8%) Blue and Gold - $6,524,823 (6th week) (-34.8%) Spirit Curse - $5,110,813 (NEW) Stories From Eden - $3,583,272 (3rd week) (-51.4%) Reality Shift - $2,481,579 (6th week) (-35.0%) The Mole - $1,204,253 (9th week) (-39.0%) The Number One Dime - $845,002 (13th week) (-38.3%) Khan Bernarda Alba - $236,970 (NEW) March 20-22: 'Pillars' Hold Up, Projections Hit 'Mark' 'Pillars' dropped a bit less than initially expected, a good sign for things to come. While it's unlikely to top B&G/P:RotR, it's still on track to safely ensure that a sequel will be on the way, especially with very promising overseas numbers so far. 'Marked-Up Time' balanced a niche premise with decent star power and the appeal of Lord and Miller to fall nicely in line with projections. However, the B- Cinemascore is a bit concerning, with audiences criticizing the confusing and somewhat bizarre plotting. Here's hoping in can still manage decent legs. 'Khan Bernarda Alba' also begins to have a healthy expansion, but it's uncertain if the reviews will limit its potential. 'Spirit Curse' also somehow had a good drop for a horror film so far this year, so miracles can happen, I guess. Pillars of Eternity: The Hollow Vale - $35,083,616 (2nd week) (-53.9%) Marked Up Time - $25,575,314 (NEW) One Piece: The Journey Begins - $12,835,426 (3rd week) (-46.4%) Pokemon: Rise of the Rockets - $5,312,869 (6th week) (-38.7%) The Female Man - $4,836,128 (4th week) (-40.7%) Blue and Gold - $4,602,735 (7th week) (-29.5%) Khahn Bernarda Alba - $2,415,129 (2nd week) (+919.2%) Spirit Curse - $2,131,562 (2nd week) (-58.3%) Stories From Eden - $2,101,475 (4th week) (-41.4%) Reality Shift - $1,501,494 (7th week) (-39.1%) March 27-29: Endless Defies Imagination, 'Carnosaur' Extinct Upon Arrival As the first major animated release since 'Don't Let the Pigeon Drive', the studio's first 300M animated hit, it became a question what 'Can You Imagine' would do, given its long journey to the big screen, accumulating in terrific reviews, strong buzz, and exciting visuals. The answer? Beyond your wildest imagination. The film became one of the biggest openings ever for an original film with over $85m, and the cherry on top? An A+ Cinemascore. This is going to be in it for the long haul. The same cannot be said for 'Carnosaur', whose R rating (limiting much of its potential audience) and lack of clear marketing outside of the horror elements bogged it down, causing it to open to about half of what it was projected to do. The B Cinemascore could at least help it save some face, but I wouldn't be too sure. Can You Imagine - $86,607,529 (NEW) Pillars of Eternity: The Hollow Vale - $18,121,307 (3rd week) (-48.3%) Marked Up Time - $14,073,925 (2nd week) (-45.0%) Carnosaur - $12,745,461 (NEW) One Piece: The Journey Begins - $7,432,657 (4th week) (-42.2%) Khahn Bernarda Alba - $2,945,564 (3rd week) (+22.0%) Blue and Gold - $2,910,408 (8th week) (-36.8%) The Female Man - $2,925,627 (5th week) (-39.5%) Pokemon: Rise of the Rockets - $2,608,793 (7th week) (-50.9%) Stories From Eden - $1,082,339 (5th week) (-48.5%) 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 8 minutes ago, Spagspiria said: CHAPTER 3: THE NUMBERS GAME March 6-8: Audiences 'Gotta Go, Gotta Go' to One Piece As a new studio finds its bearing in CAYOM, their first major release, an adaptation of the anime 'One Piece', is sailing off to a decent start. With a $54m opening weekend off of a B+ cinemascore, the film likely isn't going to change the world forever, but it's giving audiences a fun treat for spring break. Also, Worldwide numbers may be a keep place to watch the film's potential. Otherwise, 'Blue and Gold' began to slightly catch up to 'Pokemon' while 'The Female Man' has a nice hold, one that could potentially hint at coming close to $90m. 'Stories From Eden' doesn't look to truly catch on, but it shouldn't be too much of a loss either. One Piece: The Journey Begins - $54,627,904 (NEW) The Female Man - $13,546,985 (2nd week) (-45.8%) Pokemon: Rise of the Rockets - $12,173,789 (4th week) (-41.9%) Blue and Gold - $10,002,597 (5th week) (-35.7%) Stories From Eden - $7,369,445 (2nd week) (-50.1%) Reality Shift - $3,821,879 (5th week) (-33.0%) The Mole - $1,975,632 (8th week) (-37.6%) The Number One Dime - $1,368,361 (12th week) (-35.2%) Imagine Dragons: The 3D Concert - $1,247,666 (3rd week) (-57.7%) Baseball Boy: Swing for the Fences - $1,043,514 (7th week) (-40.7%) March 13-15: 'Pillars' Established for New Franchise Predictions were all over the place for the long awaited first entry to the new Numerical franchise 'Pillars of Eternity', and while it didn't meet the loftiest of predictions, it did manage to actually exceed studio projections with a $76m weekend. The A- Cinemascore is also quite solid, considering the density of the material. The adaptational nature of it may make it slightly frontloaded, but we have reason to believe this should have a nice run overall. 'Spirit Curse', much like the movie itself, failed to leave much of an impact, and 'One Piece' took a bit of a hit from nearly direct competition. Recovery does seem inevitable, though. 'Pokemon' also got the benefit of some double features with 'Pillars', softening its drop. Pillars of Eternity: The Hollow Vale - $76,084,415 (NEW) One Piece: The Journey Begins - $23,936,128 (2nd week) (-56.2%) Pokemon: Rise of the Rockets - $8,670,385 (5th week) (-28.8%) The Female Man - $8,158,679 (3rd week) (-39.8%) Blue and Gold - $6,524,823 (6th week) (-34.8%) Spirit Curse - $5,110,813 (NEW) Stories From Eden - $3,583,272 (3rd week) (-51.4%) Reality Shift - $2,481,579 (6th week) (-35.0%) The Mole - $1,204,253 (9th week) (-39.0%) The Number One Dime - $845,002 (13th week) (-38.3%) Khan Bernarda Alba - $236,970 (NEW) March 20-22: 'Pillars' Hold Up, Projections Hit 'Mark' 'Pillars' dropped a bit less than initially expected, a good sign for things to come. While it's unlikely to top B&G/P:RotR, it's still on track to safely ensure that a sequel will be on the way, especially with very promising overseas numbers so far. 'Marked-Up Time' balanced a niche premise with decent star power and the appeal of Lord and Miller to fall nicely in line with projections. However, the B- Cinemascore is a bit concerning, with audiences criticizing the confusing and somewhat bizarre plotting. Here's hoping in can still manage decent legs. 'Khan Bernarda Alba' also begins to have a healthy expansion, but it's uncertain if the reviews will limit its potential. 'Spirit Curse' also somehow had a good drop for a horror film so far this year, so miracles can happen, I guess. Pillars of Eternity: The Hollow Vale - $35,083,616 (2nd week) (-53.9%) Marked Up Time - $25,575,314 (NEW) One Piece: The Journey Begins - $12,835,426 (3rd week) (-46.4%) Pokemon: Rise of the Rockets - $5,312,869 (6th week) (-38.7%) The Female Man - $4,836,128 (4th week) (-40.7%) Blue and Gold - $4,602,735 (7th week) (-29.5%) Khahn Bernarda Alba - $2,415,129 (2nd week) (+919.2%) Spirit Curse - $2,131,562 (2nd week) (-58.3%) Stories From Eden - $2,101,475 (4th week) (-41.4%) Reality Shift - $1,501,494 (7th week) (-39.1%) March 27-29: Endless Defies Imagination, 'Carnosaur' Extinct Upon Arrival As the first major animated release since 'Don't Let the Pigeon Drive', the studio's first 300M animated hit, it became a question what 'Can You Imagine' would do, given its long journey to the big screen, accumulating in terrific reviews, strong buzz, and exciting visuals. The answer? Beyond your wildest imagination. The film became one of the biggest openings ever for an original film with over $85m, and the cherry on top? An A+ Cinemascore. This is going to be in it for the long haul. The same cannot be said for 'Carnosaur', whose R rating (limiting much of its potential audience) and lack of clear marketing outside of the horror elements bogged it down, causing it to open to about half of what it was projected to do. The B Cinemascore could at least help it save some face, but I wouldn't be too sure. Can You Imagine - $86,607,529 (NEW) Pillars of Eternity: The Hollow Vale - $18,121,307 (3rd week) (-48.3%) Marked Up Time - $14,073,925 (2nd week) (-45.0%) Carnosaur - $12,745,461 (NEW) One Piece: The Journey Begins - $7,432,657 (4th week) (-42.2%) Khahn Bernarda Alba - $2,945,564 (3rd week) (+22.0%) Blue and Gold - $2,910,408 (8th week) (-36.8%) Pokemon: Rise of the Rockets - $2,608,793 (3rd week) (-50.9%) The Female Man - $2,925,627 (5th week) (-39.5%) Stories From Eden - $1,082,339 (5th week) (-48.5%) Out of reactions but I am so happy right now with Can You Imagine. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddroast Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 Are we deaing with international box office as well @Spagspiria Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 OW very good. Think weekends 2 and 3 dropped too harsh given no big direct competition in Weekend 2 and Can You Imagine in Week 3 targets the family demo, something that a 2.5 hour plus fantasy film aimed squarely at more mature audiences wouldn't notice losing. But it's doing well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted October 23, 2018 Author Share Posted October 23, 2018 4 minutes ago, 4815162342 said: OW very good. Think weekends 2 and 3 dropped too harsh given no big direct competition in Weekend 2 and Can You Imagine in Week 3 targets the family demo, something that a 2.5 hour plus fantasy film aimed squarely at more mature audiences wouldn't notice losing. But it's doing well. True, but I can tip my hat and say that it stabilizes quickly into April. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 12 minutes ago, Reddroast said: Are we deaing with international box office as well @Spagspiria You won’t find out international totals until the totals come. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 58 minutes ago, Spagspiria said: Carnosaur - $12,745,461 (NEW) That's disappointing. I thought it could've done very well tbh. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 2 hours ago, Spagspiria said: As the first major animated release since 'Don't Let the Pigeon Drive', 🤔 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted October 23, 2018 Author Share Posted October 23, 2018 1 minute ago, cookie said: 🤔 LOL WHOOPS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xillix Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 The R rating limited much of the potential audience for a gory horror movie? Well guess it'll have to do bangers overseas somehow or you'll never see the crazy shit that happens in the second one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 Not counting post-March, our blue boi’s already at $240m+ @YourMother the Edgelord 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 1 hour ago, cookie said: Not counting post-March, our blue boi’s already at $240m+ @YourMother the Edgelord Y’know I wonder what Hunk is doing Y6... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 (edited) Also with that $86M OW, I’m starting to wonder if Can You Imagine? can leg it out to $400M DOM. It needs a 4.65 multiple which makes things a bit tough but no competition until Our City 2 helps and the weekend after it, it can have double features with GOM. Edited October 23, 2018 by YourMother the Edgelord 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookie Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 Estimated totals as of April 2nd: The Mole - ~$145m Blue & Gold - $240m+ Pokémon: Rise of the Rockets - $260m+ The Female Man - $75m+ One Piece: The Journey Begins - $125m+ Pillars of Eternity: The Hollow Vale - $175m+ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted October 23, 2018 Share Posted October 23, 2018 Think Pokemon's probably pushing 270 or so, but I think I'm where you are on Pillars (around 170) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...