CAYOM Year VI - Advanced Schedule (Phase 1)

[cookie]

30 minutes ago, Spaghetti said:

I’d expect maybe $400m is the ceiling for Dragonborns. 

I wouldn't mind that ceiling 

[Ezen Baklattan]

1 minute ago, cookie said:

I wouldn't mind that ceiling 

I imagine if you deliver on quality plus with the holidays, a Spark Rising esque run wouldn’t be unreasonable.

[YM!]

Way too early pre Y6 predicts:

1.) Spark: A Hero’s Promise: $215M/$630M

2.) Voltron: The Hunted: $100M/$175M/$445M

3.) Untitled Matt Reeves Flick (I have a concept of what is): $155M/$380M

4.) Super Mario Bros: $65M/$100M/$370M

5.) Pokémon: The Cinnabar Conspiracy: $125M/$150M/$330M

6.) DragonBorns/Pigeon 2: $75M/$325M and $90M/$325M

7.) Mass Effect: Ascension/Blue and Gold II: $115M/$300M and $100M/$125M/$300M 

8.) Carmen’s Voyage: $70M/$300M

9.) Scrooge 0.5 (cause no time to remember that long name): $75M/$280M

10.) Children Of Eden/Silent Hill: Rebirth: $85M/$250M or $90M/$250M

Edited April 21, 2019 by YourMother the Edgelord

[cookie]

23 hours ago, Spaghetti said:

I imagine if you deliver on quality plus with the holidays, a Spark Rising esque run wouldn’t be unreasonable.

I hope it goes down well. The central theme of the story if done right I think can really resonate with audiences.

[YM!]

I think to offset the animation/family over-performance this year (2LBH is settling with about $440M, TUSG will do over $300M, Medusa, Sylvarius, American Dragon, and Olive all did in the range of $250M+. Even Splatoon did $200M), the sheer number of family films and it being @Xillix‘s turn to spin the wheel, I think we may see softer returns for some of the animated films like 2016/2017.

Edited April 20, 2019 by YourMother the Edgelord

[Blankments]

Maybe I shouldn’t bother making blockbusters 

[Ezen Baklattan]

1 hour ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Way too early pre Y6 predicts:

1.) Spark: A Hero’s Promise: $215M/$630M

2.) Voltron: The Hunted: $100M/$175M/$445M

3.) Untitled Matt Reeves Flick (I have a concept of what is): $155M/$380M

4.) Super Mario Bros: $65M/$100M/$370M

5.) Pokémon: The Cinnabar Conspiracy: $125M/$150M/$330M

6.) DragonBorns/Pigeon 2: $75M/$325M and $90M/$325M

7.) Mass Effect: Ascension/Blue and Gold II: $115M/$300M and $100M/$125M/$300M 

8.) Carmen’s Voyage: $70M/$290M

9.) Scrooge 0.5 (cause no time to remember that long name): $75M/$280M

10.) Children Of Eden: $85M/$250M 

Thoughts on XJ9 or Lumberjanes? I’m personally seeing maybe FB1 numbers for the former if all goes right.

[YM!]

3 minutes ago, Spaghetti said:

Thoughts on XJ9 or Lumberjanes? I’m personally seeing maybe FB1 numbers for the former if all goes right.

That’s what I’m thinking. Maybe a bit more around what Bartimaeus did. Lumberjanes I am thinking what Earthsong did.

 

3 minutes ago, Blankments said:

Maybe I shouldn’t bother making blockbusters 

Full disclosure: I still think SG is doing over $200M. 

 

Also why?

Edited April 21, 2019 by YourMother the Edgelord

[Ezen Baklattan]

3 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

That’s what I’m thinking. Maybe a bit more around what Bartimaeus did. Lumberjanes I am thinking what Earthsong did.

 

Full disclosure: I still think SG is doing over $200M. 

 

Also why?

Sounds fair for both. XJ9 is going to be a really fun franchise moving forward, and as long as it doesn’t tank overseas I’ll have a good time with it.

[YM!]

@Blankments also bumping Carmen’s Voyage to $300M. To be honest it’s between it, Pigeon 2, Scrooge 0.5 and Mario for the top animation spot at the box office. Pigeon 2 and Scrooge I’m leery of an increase and Mario I’m using TUSG and CYI? as comparisons though truth be told, that is only if it gets the same love critic wise.

[Rorschach]

1 hour ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

3.) Untitled Matt Reeves Flick (I have a concept of what is): $155M/$380M

I think Pillars 1 numbers are more realistic for the Reeves film.

[YM!]

Just now, Rorschach said:

I think Pillars 1 numbers are more realistic for the Reeves film.

That too sounds like a better comparison but I’d list reasons but can’t cause reasons.

[4815162342]

The untitled Matt Reeves film will be lucky to crack 200m imo

[Blankments]

I’d predict lower than Numbers; course correction is coming

[Blankments]

19 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

 

 

Full disclosure: I still think SG is doing over $200M. 

 

Also why?

Impossible to compete with established brands that have already broken out hugely 

[YM!]

9 minutes ago, Blankments said:

Impossible to compete with established brands that have already broken out hugely 

I still think there’s a lot of potential in your films at the box office. Carmen’s Voyage has massive potential to win the year in the animation field cause if By The Balls is any indication, you and EGK are an excellent duo and you open at he perfect spot and space operas are yuge. Children of Eden has the potential to pull a mini Prince of Egypt as we haven’t had a biblical musical epic. And again I can easily see SG over $200M with a good shot at $300M.

 

Besides Olive The Other Reindeer is looking at $240M-$250M DOM and all of the praise it’ll get will help CV and the Shining Star Animation brand.

Edited April 21, 2019 by YourMother the Edgelord

[YM!]

Also I’ll post my predictions for the rest later.

[Reddroast]

20 minutes ago, 4815162342 said:

The untitled Matt Reeves film will be lucky to crack 200m imo

It might crack 300m imo. Considering the hype surrounding it. 

[YM!]

Okay here’s more the way too early predicts ie films over $100M DOM excluding my top ten cause I have no life: no untitled btw:

 

January: 

Amityville 3: $70M/$150M

Mole 2: $55M/$70M/$170M

SWAT KATS 3: $30M/$100M

Expidition Everest: $45M/$150M

 

February:

Norris/Nesson 2: $50M/$135M

Kirby: $35M/$105M

Psyren: $45M/$135M

 

March:

Oddparents: $50M/$175M

Heroes Within: $65M/$160M

 

April:

Earthsong V2: $60M/$165M

Rescuers: $65M/$200M

 

May:

Friday The 13th: $80M/$180M

The Music In Me: $55M/$190M

Lumberjanes: $45M/$130M

 

June:

Pikmin: $40M/$140M

Mob Psycho 100: $45M/$145M

 

July:

Star Fox: $60M/$200M

 

August:

He Man and Furry Snakes: $70M/$190M

RDR: $45M/$170M

 

September: 

Lightspeed: $55M/$70M/$155M

More Miraculous: $35M/$115M

Daughters: $50M/$200M (legs)

London: $55M/$180M

Police pew pew: $30M/$125M

My Hero Academia (love to waifus and best girls: Midnight, Toga, Momo, Mina, Uraraka and Tsuyu): $30M/$160M (Celloluid Heroes anyone?)

Shiverin Gulch: $85M/$230M

 

October:

Sharks 2: $65M/$170M

One Piece II: $60M/$165M

Until Dawn: $55M/$125M

 

November: 

NID: $45M/$180M

Phoenix: $75M/$225M

Aeroplane: $40M/$160M

XJ-9: $70M/$215M

 

December:

Duck Hunt: $35M/$200M

Britian: $50M/$190M

My Life: $25M/$175M

Tintin 2: $18M/$28M/$100M

 

 

Edited April 21, 2019 by YourMother the Edgelord

[Blankments]

Chuck and Liam increasing? In a Xillix year?