Week 16 - Gotta Predict Fast

[chasmmi]

 1. Will Sonic make more than $25M? 1000 

2. Will Sonic make more than $35M? 2000 

3. Will Sonic make more than $30M? 3000 

4. Will Sonic make more than the next three highest New Entries Combined? 4000 

5. Will Sonic Make it into the Domestic top 20 for the Game by the end of the Game? 5000  

 

6. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 55%?  1000 

7. Will Jumanji finish closer Domestically to Little Women or Star Wars? 2000 

8. Will Fantasy Island make more than $12? 3000 

9. Will Fantasy Island make more than $15? 4000 

10. Will Parasite enter the top 10? 5000 

 

11. Will Doolittle drop more than 25%? 1000 

12. Will Star Wars stay in the top 12?  2000 

13. Will Jojo Rabbit Increase? 3000 

14. Will Sonic turn out to be a beautiful butterfly? 4000 

15. Should I put in a better 2nd free question here next year?  5000  

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Sonic's Weekend be? 

2. What will 1917's percentage drop be? 

3. What will Knives out's PTA be? 

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. 

4. 

6. 

8. 

10. 

12. 

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

 

Deadline is midnight, Thursday Night/Morning some part of America time (maybe Hawaii or Guam)

 

Oh and don't forget this:

 

[glassfairy]

1. Will Sonic make more than $25M? Yes

2. Will Sonic make more than $35M? Yes

3. Will Sonic make more than $30M? Yes

4. Will Sonic make more than the next three highest New Entries Combined? Yes

5. Will Sonic Make it into the Domestic top 20 for the Game by the end of the Game? Yes

 

6. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 55%?  No

7. Will Jumanji finish closer Domestically to Little Women or Star Wars? Little Women

8. Will Fantasy Island make more than $12? Yes

9. Will Fantasy Island make more than $15? No

10. Will Parasite enter the top 10? Yes

 

11. Will Doolittle drop more than 25%? Yes

12. Will Star Wars stay in the top 12?  No

13. Will Jojo Rabbit Increase? No

14. Will Sonic turn out to be a beautiful butterfly? No

15. Should I put in a better 2nd free question here next year?  No

 

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Sonic's Weekend be? 40.3M

2. What will 1917's percentage drop be? -11.26%

3. What will Knives out's PTA be? $1,516

 

 

Part 😄

 

2.  Birds of Prey

4.  The Photograph

6.  Bad Boys For Life

8.  Jumanji

10. The Gentlemen

12.  Knives Out

[BobDole]

1. Will Sonic make more than $25M? Yes

2. Will Sonic make more than $35M? Yes

3. Will Sonic make more than $30M? Yes

4. Will Sonic make more than the next three highest New Entries Combined? Yes

5. Will Sonic Make it into the Domestic top 20 for the Game by the end of the Game? Yes (I thought the domestic was for top 15?)

 

6. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 55%?  No

7. Will Jumanji finish closer Domestically to Little Women or Star Wars? Little Women

8. Will Fantasy Island make more than $12? Yes

9. Will Fantasy Island make more than $15? Yes

10. Will Parasite enter the top 10? Yes

 

11. Will Doolittle drop more than 25%? No

12. Will Star Wars stay in the top 12?  No

13. Will Jojo Rabbit Increase? No

14. Will Sonic turn out to be a beautiful butterfly? No

15. Should I put in a better 2nd free question here next year?  No

 

Bonus:

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Sonic's Weekend be? $55M

2. What will 1917's percentage drop be? 0%

3. What will Knives out's PTA be?  $1,585

 

 

Part C

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. Birds of Prey

4. Fantasy Island

6. 1917

8. Jumanji: The Next Level

10. The Gentlemen

12. Downhill

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

Edited February 14, 2020 by BobDole

[Wrath]

1. Will Sonic make more than $25M? 1000 YES

2. Will Sonic make more than $35M? 2000 YES

3. Will Sonic make more than $30M? 3000 YES

4. Will Sonic make more than the next three highest New Entries Combined? 4000 YES

5. Will Sonic Make it into the Domestic top 20 for the Game by the end of the Game? 5000 YES 

 

6. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 55%?  1000 NO

7. Will Jumanji finish closer Domestically to Little Women or Star Wars? 2000 Little Women

8. Will Fantasy Island make more than $12? 3000 YES

9. Will Fantasy Island make more than $15? 4000 YES

10. Will Parasite enter the top 10? 5000 YES

 

11. Will Doolittle drop more than 25%? 1000 YES

12. Will Star Wars stay in the top 12?  2000 NO

13. Will Jojo Rabbit Increase? 3000 NO

14. Will Sonic turn out to be a beautiful butterfly? 4000 Sonic IS a beautiful butterfly

15. Should I put in a better 2nd free question here next year?  5000 If it was possible, sure. BUT ITS NOT. 

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Sonic's Weekend be? 44M

2. What will 1917's percentage drop be? -21%

3. What will Knives out's PTA be? 1,420

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. Harley Quinn

4. Fantasy Island

6. 1917

8. Parasite

10. Gentlemen

12. Little Women

Edited February 14, 2020 by Wrath

[Fancyarcher]

1. Will Sonic make more than $25M? 1000 - Yes.

2. Will Sonic make more than $35M? 2000 - Yes.

3. Will Sonic make more than $30M? 3000 - Yes.

4. Will Sonic make more than the next three highest New Entries Combined? 4000 - Yes.

5. Will Sonic Make it into the Domestic top 20 for the Game by the end of the Game? 5000 - No.

 

6. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 55%?  1000 - No.

7. Will Jumanji finish closer Domestically to Little Women or Star Wars? 2000 - Star Wars

8. Will Fantasy Island make more than $12? 3000 - Yes.

9. Will Fantasy Island make more than $15? 4000 - No.

10. Will Parasite enter the top 10? 5000 - Yes.

 

11. Will Doolittle drop more than 25%? 1000 - Yes.

12. Will Star Wars stay in the top 12?  2000 - No.

13. Will Jojo Rabbit Increase? 3000 - Yes.

14. Will Sonic turn out to be a beautiful butterfly? 4000 - Yes, and that's no good. 

15. Should I put in a better 2nd free question here next year?  5000 - I guess, it depends on how desperate you seem.

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Sonic's Weekend be? - 45m

2. What will 1917's percentage drop be? 19%

3. What will Knives out's PTA be? - $1,630

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. Birds of Prey

4. Fantasy Island

6. 1917

8. Parasite

10. The Gentleman

12. Little Women

Edited February 14, 2020 by Fancyarcher

[Inceptionzq]

1. Will Sonic make more than $25M? 1000 Yes

2. Will Sonic make more than $35M? 2000 Yes

3. Will Sonic make more than $30M? 3000 Yes

4. Will Sonic make more than the next three highest New Entries Combined? 4000 Yes

5. Will Sonic Make it into the Domestic top 20 for the Game by the end of the Game? 5000 Yes

 

6. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 55%?  1000 No

7. Will Jumanji finish closer Domestically to Little Women or Star Wars? 2000 Little Women

8. Will Fantasy Island make more than $12? 3000 Yes

9. Will Fantasy Island make more than $15? 4000 No

10. Will Parasite enter the top 10? 5000 Yes

 

11. Will Doolittle drop more than 25%? 1000 Yes

12. Will Star Wars stay in the top 12?  2000 No

13. Will Jojo Rabbit Increase? 3000 Yes

14. Will Sonic turn out to be a beautiful butterfly? 4000 Yes

15. Should I put in a better 2nd free question here next year?  5000 No

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Sonic's Weekend be? $51,426,822

2. What will 1917's percentage drop be? 12%

3. What will Knives out's PTA be? $1684

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. Birds of Prey

4. Fantasy Island

6. 1917

8. Dolittle

10. The Gentlemen

12. Downhill

[chasmmi]

1. Will Sonic make more than $25M? 1000 Yes

2. Will Sonic make more than $35M? 2000 Yes

3. Will Sonic make more than $30M? 3000 Yes

4. Will Sonic make more than the next three highest New Entries Combined? 4000 Yes

5. Will Sonic Make it into the Domestic top 20 for the Game by the end of the Game? 5000 Yes

 

6. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 55%?  1000 No

7. Will Jumanji finish closer Domestically to Little Women or Star Wars? 2000 Little Women

8. Will Fantasy Island make more than $12? 3000 Yes

9. Will Fantasy Island make more than $15? 4000 No

10. Will Parasite enter the top 10? 5000 Yes

 

11. Will Doolittle drop more than 25%? 1000 Yes

12. Will Star Wars stay in the top 12?  2000 No

13. Will Jojo Rabbit Increase? 3000 Yes

14. Will Sonic turn out to be a beautiful butterfly? 4000 He is in all of our hearts

15. Should I put in a better 2nd free question here next year?  5000 I may just skip straight to 16

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Sonic's Weekend be? $49.4M

2. What will 1917's percentage drop be? 14.2%

3. What will Knives out's PTA be? $1215

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. Birds of Prey

4. Fantasy Island

6. 1917

8. Dolittle

10. The Gentlemen

12. Jojo Rabbit

 

[ZeeSoh]

1. Will Sonic make more than $25M? 1000 Yes

2. Will Sonic make more than $35M? 2000 Yes

3. Will Sonic make more than $30M? 3000 Yes

4. Will Sonic make more than the next three highest New Entries Combined? 4000 Yes

5. Will Sonic Make it into the Domestic top 20 for the Game by the end of the Game? 5000 Yes

 

6. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 55%?  1000 No

7. Will Jumanji finish closer Domestically to Little Women or Star Wars? 2000 Little Women

8. Will Fantasy Island make more than $12? 3000 Yes

9. Will Fantasy Island make more than $15? 4000 No

10. Will Parasite enter the top 10? 5000 Yes

 

11. Will Dolittle drop more than 25%? 1000 Yes

12. Will Star Wars stay in the top 12?  2000 No

13. Will Jojo Rabbit Increase? 3000 Yes

14. Will Sonic turn out to be a beautiful butterfly? 4000 Sonic x Mothra

15. Should I put in a better 2nd free question here next year?  5000 make it even more abstract

 

Part B:

 

1. What will Sonic's Weekend be? 49m

2. What will 1917's percentage drop be? 15%

3. What will Knives out's PTA be? $1700

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. Birds of Prey

4. Fantasy Island

6. 1917

8. Dolittle

10. The Gentlemen

12. Downhill

[Sheikh]

1. Will Sonic make more than $25M? 1000 YES

2. Will Sonic make more than $35M? 2000 YES

3. Will Sonic make more than $30M? 3000 YES

4. Will Sonic make more than the next three highest New Entries Combined? 4000 YES

5. Will Sonic Make it into the Domestic top 20 for the Game by the end of the Game? 5000 YES

 

6. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 55%? 1000 NO

7. Will Jumanji finish closer Domestically to Little Women or Star Wars? 2000 Little Women

8. Will Fantasy Island make more than $12? 3000 NO

9. Will Fantasy Island make more than $15? 4000 NO

10. Will Parasite enter the top 10? 5000 YES

 

11. Will Doolittle drop more than 25%? 1000 NO

12. Will Star Wars stay in the top 12?  2000 NO

13. Will Jojo Rabbit Increase? 3000 NO

14. Will Sonic turn out to be a beautiful butterfly? 4000 YES

15. Should I put in a better 2nd free question here next year?  5000 NO

 

Bonus: 

 

9/15    5000

10/15   8000

11/15    12,000

12/15   16,000 

13/15    20,000

14/15    24,000 

 15/15   30,000  

 

 

Part B:

 

The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

 

Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

 

1. What will Sonic's Weekend be? $56.25m

2. What will 1917's percentage drop be? -0%

3. What will Knives out's PTA be? $2,060

 

 

Part 😄

 

There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

 

2. Birds of Prey

4. Fantasy Island

6. 1917

8. Parasite

10. Downhill

12. Knives Out

 

Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

 

1/6   4,000

2/6   10,000

3/6   18,000

4/6   25,000

5/6   36,000

6/6 - 50,000

Edited February 14, 2020 by Sheikh