BO Germany/Austria: Deadpool&Wolverine #1

[el sid]

The second trend from insidekino.de - hopefully Mark_G is just very conservative:

#1 Indiana Jones 160k
#2 Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir 200k (with previews; now in line with expectations)
#3 Insidious - The Red Door 100k (still above expectations)
#4 Elemental 90k
#5 No Hard Feelings 47.5k
#6 Spider-Man - Across the Spider-Verse 32.5k
#7 TLM 30k

...

Mein fabelhaftes Verbrechen 20k
 

[IndustriousAngel]

and let's not forget Mission Impossible 7, opening today in Austria and of course #1 but I have to say, this doesn't look very blockbustery either - nowhere even close to a sellout situation.

[Taruseth]

1 hour ago, el sid said:

The second trend from insidekino.de - hopefully Mark_G is just very conservative:

#1 Indiana Jones 160k
#2 Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir 200k (with previews; now in line with expectations)
#3 Insidious - The Red Door 100k (still above expectations)
#4 Elemental 90k
#5 No Hard Feelings 47.5k
#6 Spider-Man - Across the Spider-Verse 32.5k
#7 TLM 30k

...

Mein fabelhaftes Verbrechen 20k
 

With how hot it is - I doubt it and the temperature tomorrow is predicted to be as high or even higher than today.

[el sid]

The unpleasant final trend from insidekino.de:

#1 Indiana Jones 155k
#2 Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir 190k
#3 Insidious 87.5k
#4 Elemental 87.5k
#5 No Hard Feelings 42.5k
#6 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 30k
#7 TLM 27.5k

...

Mein fabelhaftes Verbrechen 15k

[Taruseth]

19 minutes ago, el sid said:

The unpleasant final trend from insidekino.de:

#1 Indiana Jones 155k
#2 Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir 190k
#3 Insidious 87.5k
#4 Elemental 87.5k
#5 No Hard Feelings 42.5k
#6 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 30k
#7 TLM 27.5k

...

Mein fabelhaftes Verbrechen 15k

Hoping next weekend the weather will be cooler and cloudier (than predicted), think the drops should be very small, maybe, if it turns out a bit rainy, we could even see increases, I wouldn't bet on it (being rainy) though. At least should be not as hot as this weekend.

Most of these drops are BIG.

[el sid]

The Monday update from insidekino.de - all films improved:

#1 Indiana Jones165k/605k total admissions
#2 Miraculus - Ladybug & Cat Noir 207.5k (with previews) - started in line with expectations
#3 Elemental 95T/585k
#4 Insidious: The Red Door 95k - slightly above expectations
#5 No Hard Feelings 45k/270k

...

Mein fabelhaftes Verbrechen 20k

[IndustriousAngel]

Germany's Top14 last weekend:

	title	admissions	th.	PTA	total adm.	total €	drop	week
1	Indiana Jones 5	164.150	714	230	604.667	6.819.454	-51	2
2	Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir	150.891	618	244	207.241	1.705.325	-	1
3	Elemental	95.750	615	156	585.285	4.988.228	-54	3
4	Insidious - The Red Door	94.388	375	252	94.388	965.885	-	1
5	No Hard Feelings	44.167	529	83	298.257	2.807.818	-50	3
6	Spider-Man - Across the Spider-Verse	32.850	439	75	791.869	7.859.719	-44	6
7	The Little Mermaid	29.679	402	74	1.107.882	11.163.152	-55	7
8	Transformers 7	19.288	349	55	391.733	4.369.999	-53	5
9	Ruby Gillman	17.607	450	39	79.394	621.881	-60	2
10	Fast & Furious 10	17.591	318	55	1.520.926	17.147.665	-53	8
11	The Flash	12.632	340	37	268.601	2.770.523	-65	4
12	Asteroid City	12.098	157	77	151.452	1.405.575	-53	4
13	Mon crime	11.623	142	82	20.528	165.781	-	1
14	Guardians of the Galaxy 3	11.035	201	55	1.951.606	22.771.903	-46	10

Dreadful weekend, and Austria didn't fare any better this time. New kids CGI Miraculous had an OK start under these conditions and that's it.

Next weekend: Since summer is here to stay, don't expect any miracles … of course, Mission Impossible 7.1 should win the weekend but it will be a deflated start once more - like with Indy, I'd be surprised if it can hit a 500k OW (Thu-Sun).

[Flip]

Inside Kino july forecast has MI7 just over 2m admits. not sure what ATP will be but maybe something around 12 euros so 24m?

[el sid]

19 hours ago, Flip said:

Inside Kino july forecast has MI7 just over 2m admits. not sure what ATP will be but maybe something around 12 euros so 24m?

I would guess a little bit lower. E.g. in the Mathäser it's 11.49€ (standard) and 9.49€ (discount).

 

Yesterday it was really hot in Germany but today - at least where I live - it rains since noon and it's also way colder. Should help M:I today.

[Flip]

9 hours ago, el sid said:

I would guess a little bit lower. E.g. in the Mathäser it's 11.49€ (standard) and 9.49€ (discount).

 

Yesterday it was really hot in Germany but today - at least where I live - it rains since noon and it's also way colder. Should help M:I today.

Is it doing a 5-day opening or what?

[el sid]

6 hours ago, Flip said:

Is it doing a 5-day opening or what?

Idk how comprehensive the shows on Wednesday were.

In the Insidekino.de forum preview shows on Tuesday were mentioned. So I guess that the Wednesday was more or less a full day. Mark_G predicted (no actual numbers so far) that M: I will have ca. 60k admissions before the weekend.

[el sid]

The first trend from insidekino.de (not too beautiful):

#1 Mission: Impossible 275k (including previews) - I wonder if only the weather is too blame because that's far under the predictions
#2 Indiana Jones 115k/790k total admissions
or Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir 115k/390k
#4 Elemental 90k/730k - a very good hold
#5 Insidious - The Red Door 60k/185k - also acceptable

[IndustriousAngel]

that's indeed far worse than expected for MI ... I was thinking about something like a 350-400k OW (without previews) - so that's maybe half of what I was hoping for. Ugly ugly ugly ...

[Brainbug]

Weather is just too good and tickets + food are just too expensive. But i think its mainly the weather.

[upriser7]

Glad that Elemental is holding up well after big drop last week 

[el sid]

The second trend from insidekino.de - no changes:

#1 M: I 275k
#2 Indiana Jones 115k
#3 Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir 115k
#4 Elemental 90k
#5 Insidious: The Red Door 60k
#6 No Hard Feelings 37.5k
#7 TLM 25k
#8 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 25k

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

Wow thats almost flat for Elemental, I wonder why it dropped so hard last weekend. The weather is great this weekend too so it can't have been that. Maybe Ladybug took a lot of its showings?

[pepsa]

7 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Wow thats almost flat for Elemental, I wonder why it dropped so hard last weekend. The weather is great this weekend too so it can't have been that. Maybe Ladybug took a lot of its showings?

 

You said it yourself, it was 100% and only because of the weather. Last weeks weather was good, this weeks as well, that why it isn't dropping cause its a quite equal playing field (last weekend was tiny bit better weather). The week before last week the weather was quite meh, had some rain meaning a lot of people went to the cinema. This effect is exagerated for kids movies so yeah if you see a big drop in germany expect the weather to be the cause like 70% of the time.

 

I mean if the next 3 weeks are rainy Elemental would double it's total after this weekend in thos 3 weeks. Same goes for other movies (to a lesser extend).

Edited July 15, 2023 by pepsa

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

Just now, pepsa said:

 

You said it yourself, it was 100% and only because of the weather. Last weeks weather was good, this weeks as well, that why it isn't dropping cause its a quite equal playing field (last weekend was tiny bit better weather). The week before last week the weather was quite meh, had some rain meaning a lot of people went to the cinema. This effect is exagerated for kids movies so yeah if you see a big drop in germany expect the weather to be the cause like 70% of the time.

Gotcha, so if Germany had bad weather then it probably would have increased? Fingers crossed the UK has a tasty hold this weekend then since it's been raining every day here.

[pepsa]

Third trend

#1 M: I 275k
#2 Indiana Jones 122.5k
#3 Miraculous - Ladybug & Cat Noir 122.5k
#4 Elemental 100k
#5 Insidious: The Red Door 70k
#6 No Hard Feelings 40k
#7 TLM 25k
#8 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 25k

 

Up a bit for Indiana Jones and Ladybug. Both Insidious and Elemental up 10k, Elemental up week to week and +2.5k for No hard feelings. All in all a positive trend for most movies.

Edited July 16, 2023 by pepsa